[Question] Should Twitter have prediction markets in Community Notes?

I think there is a small but non-trivial chance I can get the community notes team to make it much easier to reference prediction markets.

Is this a good idea?

Pros:

  • Prediction markets have good incentives towards accuracy

Cons:

  • It’s a change to a huge information ecosystem. In general I think that massive changes run on the back of Nathan has a good idea are unwise.

I’d value comments on this doc https://​​docs.google.com/​​document/​​d/​​1dsOKcn7rZhFa3yDC83IWASKtiwRAoF-xmjbCLesgySo/​​edit

Thanks for your time.