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Last update: 2024-04-28
Milli | Martin
Karma: 192
My 2 cents: Holding is status quo bias. In any situation buying OR selling is better, but you never know which. What you can manage is your risk exposure.
So I’d suggest for people who have significant parts of their wealth in crypto to sell to make sure they can’t get wiped out and for people who are under-invested by their assessment to buy.
An easy heuristic is to think about what proportion of you wealth you want to have in crypto and work towards that. I suggest buying / selling on a schedule or with limit orders to reduce variance.
For anyone tracking this thread: Distill Web Monitor is a handy plugin (Chrome, FF, Opera) that can track web pages for changes.
For me it’s not black and white. The (expected) amount of good from the money has to be considered in consideration to the (expected) bad PR.
And I don’t feel the EA movement was advertising for FTX so turning this against EA would be in bad faith.
We might change the location to Teamwork. Is an decision on Friday fine for you?
PM sent.
The location will be Teamwork in Wedding this time.
I disagree. This was only the second time I’ve heard about Torres and it caused me to warn my contacts in Hannover about him who had not heard of him. They have since then come into contact with his writing.
Voting started, head to http://www.projectforawesome.com/.
Some of the links direct to Facebook and then to project for awesome. Can you change them to go to P4A directly?
Hey everyone,
the next Shenanigans have been scheduled for March 21st. It’s on Yes/No debate, a simple ruleset for running an effective debate with another person on any disagreement you may have.
Check it out: Yes/No Debate (Shenanigans Workshop)
Hey all,
thanks to everyone for making the workshop great, especially Georg. I’ll post his blog article here and on the Telegram group as soon as it’s done. Message me if you are somehow not in the group yet and want in.You can also message me if you are interested in anything else: https://t.me/truemilli
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Here are Georg’s slides: https://yesnodebate.org/slides/eaberlin
Hey everyone,
The next workshop will be on Forecasting!
More details are in the event:
Forecasting (Shenanigans Workshop)I hope you don’t get too bothered when you receive notifications here, on Slack and on Telegram.
Thank you very much for the interesting case study. It not only gives good insight into your method, but also showcases a promising intervention.
Do you know what the current state of it is? Is it being developed further? Is it looking for funding?
I’m confused by “Anti-Malaria Foundation”. Do you mean “Against Malaria Foundation” or is this an organization I’m not aware of?
There’s a new sequence on the EA Forum about forecasting / predicting the effectiveness of different interventions. I find it very interesting so far: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Everything: Predicting the Cost-Effectiveness of Deploying, Evaluating, and Developing New Interventions, and Beyond
The methods are probably too complex for personal use, but a demonstration of how forecasting can be applied on an institutional scale.
Reminds me of the saying, “The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now.”
Since we talked about calibration and I suggested exercising the right confidence intervals: There’s a website for that!
https://programs.clearerthinking.org/calibrate_your_judgment.html
b. Moreover, the usage of insect feed may provide chickens the ability to forage and select what specific insect they want which is a behavioral trait insects keenly prefer as opposed to not having that choice.
Should the second “insects” be a “chickens”?
Great article, I’ve not thought about it in that much depth.
In Germany, the debate focuses solely on insects for human consumption at the moment.
I’ve just created the event for the next workshop on May 16, Teaching how to teach (Shenanigans Workshop).
An amateur’s unqualified musings on learning and relating
Weaving together mindfulness, rationality, teaching and authentic relating.
We’ll explore something in the direction of how to teach yourself, teaching as a metaphor for relating, and how to apply insights from it to what you care about.
I’m happy to see you there again if you’re interested in that topic as well. :)
I was just notified of this event but it’s scheduled for 2022-06-23, what’s up with that?
€: Seems to be fixed now or was a bug on my side.