Professional profile: https://cv.martinmilbradt.de/
Anonymous feedback form: https://www.admonymous.co/martin-milbradt
1-1s: https://calendly.com/martin-milbradt/30min
Last update: 2024-04-28
Professional profile: https://cv.martinmilbradt.de/
Anonymous feedback form: https://www.admonymous.co/martin-milbradt
1-1s: https://calendly.com/martin-milbradt/30min
Last update: 2024-04-28
There’s a new sequence on the EA Forum about forecasting / predicting the effectiveness of different interventions. I find it very interesting so far: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Everything: Predicting the Cost-Effectiveness of Deploying, Evaluating, and Developing New Interventions, and Beyond
The methods are probably too complex for personal use, but a demonstration of how forecasting can be applied on an institutional scale.
Thank you very much for the interesting case study. It not only gives good insight into your method, but also showcases a promising intervention.
Do you know what the current state of it is? Is it being developed further? Is it looking for funding?
I’m confused by “Anti-Malaria Foundation”. Do you mean “Against Malaria Foundation” or is this an organization I’m not aware of?
Hey everyone,
The next workshop will be on Forecasting!
More details are in the event:
Forecasting (Shenanigans Workshop)
I hope you don’t get too bothered when you receive notifications here, on Slack and on Telegram.
Here are Georg’s slides: https://yesnodebate.org/slides/eaberlin
Hey all,
thanks to everyone for making the workshop great, especially Georg. I’ll post his blog article here and on the Telegram group as soon as it’s done. Message me if you are somehow not in the group yet and want in.
You can also message me if you are interested in anything else: https://t.me/truemilli
Anonymous Feedback: https://www.admonymous.co/martin-milbradt
Hey everyone,
the next Shenanigans have been scheduled for March 21st. It’s on Yes/No debate, a simple ruleset for running an effective debate with another person on any disagreement you may have.
Check it out: Yes/No Debate (Shenanigans Workshop)
Some of the links direct to Facebook and then to project for awesome. Can you change them to go to P4A directly?
Voting started, head to http://www.projectforawesome.com/.
I disagree. This was only the second time I’ve heard about Torres and it caused me to warn my contacts in Hannover about him who had not heard of him. They have since then come into contact with his writing.
The location will be Teamwork in Wedding this time.
PM sent.
We might change the location to Teamwork. Is an decision on Friday fine for you?
For me it’s not black and white. The (expected) amount of good from the money has to be considered in consideration to the (expected) bad PR.
And I don’t feel the EA movement was advertising for FTX so turning this against EA would be in bad faith.
For anyone tracking this thread: Distill Web Monitor is a handy plugin (Chrome, FF, Opera) that can track web pages for changes.
My 2 cents: Holding is status quo bias. In any situation buying OR selling is better, but you never know which. What you can manage is your risk exposure.
So I’d suggest for people who have significant parts of their wealth in crypto to sell to make sure they can’t get wiped out and for people who are under-invested by their assessment to buy.
An easy heuristic is to think about what proportion of you wealth you want to have in crypto and work towards that. I suggest buying / selling on a schedule or with limit orders to reduce variance.
I was just notified of this event but it’s scheduled for 2022-06-23, what’s up with that?
€: Seems to be fixed now or was a bug on my side.
Hey everyone,
Since I can’t find an October thread, I’m posting here.
I’m a Berlin (Germany) based IT freelancer looking for innovative and impactful projects. My work so far has mostly been with corporate clients, and I’d like to change that.
My background is in mathematics (finance), but I’ve been working as an IT consultant and software engineer for the last 5 years.
There are no hard constraints on duration and workload from my side, my current client is happy to book any vacancies.
I haven’t made them any promises for 2023 yet, but that will change by the end of November. Please contact me soon if you are interested!
Top skills: C#, .NET, Azure DevOps, msg.PM, Oracle SQL, Angular
Feel free to contact me here, via Email or LinkedIn.
CV / Profile: https://cv.martinmilbradt.de/
Reminds me of the saying, “The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now.”