Manifold users don’t actually cash out that much, so we shouldn’t actually need that much cash on hand
This omits why Manifold users didn’t cash out much: return rates were unsustainably high. Ponzi schemes manage cash flow at the expense of profit
Pat Myron 🔸
Karma: 595
Sadly even slightly worse than 10x devaluation because 1,000 mana will redeem for $0.95 to cover “credit card fees and administrative work”
Animal welfare’s far from the only problem with factory farming:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rpBYejrhk7HQB6gJj/crispr-for-happier-farm-animals?commentId=hvCQ9kBvutrnkFm9h
Skeptical. Sentencing considers intent, but even those ignorant of laws themselves are found guilty:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignorantia_juris_non_excusat
also being used by a bunch of other forums (like the Progress Forum, the recently launched Animal Advocacy Forum, and the Sam Harris “Waking Up” community)
@Habryka is it possible to track all public Magnum forums? Any searchable legal attribution or technical element?
@Ariel Simnegar air pollution’s another significant factor in pregnancy loss:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(20)30268-0/fulltext“exposure contributed to 29.2% of total annual pregnancy loss in this region”
Animal welfare concerns could also nudge global health organizations to:
1) prioritize using medicine and vaccines over nets to tackle malaria:
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2024/1/25/24047975/malaria-mosquito-bednets-prevention-fishing-marc-andreessen
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/enH4qj5NzKakt5oyH/is-mosquito-net-fishing-really-net-positive2) prioritize pork tapeworms:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/oZff425xLnikfxeGD/pat-myron-s-shortform?commentId=7WPBp7dh9sA3BKEpB
Ray Dalio has attempted to quantity and visualize similar: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/big-cycles-over-last-500-years-ray-dalio
Curious about geographic distribution: are efforts concentrated in more densely populated areas like Lagos?
global “agnostic” portfolio
Outdated infographic of global market sizes:
https://www.claconnect.com/-/media/cla-image-repository/general/illustrations_and_objects/the-investable-universe.jpg
Flobots
TLDR: ex-AWS/Azure Software Engineer (also open to product roles)
Location/remote: Pittsburgh, PA (prefer remote, no visa needed)
Availability & type of work: flexible
Resume/CV/LinkedIn:
https://patmyron.com/resume.pdf
https://www.linkedin.com/in/patrickmyron/
https://github.com/patmyron/
Other notes: Cause area interests include global health, animal welfare, government policy, etc. Prefer publicly visible work. Not interested in oncall during sleeping hours
Related discussion here:
Welcome! If funding’s a main concern, it’s worth investigating the feasibility and cost of sanitary product options that may cost less than pads (image from https://blog.seedly.sg/period-cost-menstruation/)
I found an organization that partners with local African communities to distribute menstrual cups (including in neighboring South Africa already):
https://www.thecovaproject.com/
Container-deposit legislation seems like existing policy to investigate strengthening:
For anyone around, there’s an active Pittsburgh Rationality group:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mYfvM4nut6dAPGMdq/welcome-to-pittsburgh-rats-edit-with-your-details?commentId=TSoQgWLcSNdcF3teg
and an inactive EA Pittsburgh FB group:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/EAPittsburgh
Many libraries solicit book suggestions at URLs like:
https://<LOCAL>.bibliocommons.com/suggested_purchases
which seems like a solid opportunity to ensure more impactful books are available:
https://www.goodreads.com/shelf/show/effective-altruism
Also seeking conciser templates. Dozen page will templates feel dramatic for young people and make me delay the process to not raise concerns
Vaccines saved 150M+ lives over the past 50 years, including 100M+ infants and nearly 100M lives from Measles alone:
https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/new-data-shows-vaccines-have-saved-154-million-lives-past-50-years
https://www.who.int/news/item/24-04-2024-global-immunization-efforts-have-saved-at-least-154-million-lives-over-the-past-50-years