Interpret data semantics as desired. At least I linked data my claims were based on upon, especially considering original claims still seem untrue regardless if SFF is considered EA:
most of our funding comes from venture capital sources
Pat Myron 🔸
Karma: 595
We’ve received some EA funding, but most of our funding comes from venture capital sources
Appreciate Manifold’s quantitative transparency because Manifold’s qualitatively misleading. Public data may be slightly outdated but seeing ~$2.4M EA funding to Manifold for Charity and ~$2.4M EA funding and <$2M in non-EA VC funding to Manifold:
https://www.notion.so/manifoldmarkets/Manifold-Finances-0f9a14a16afe4375b67e21471ce456b0#d13406b6b26a43178d09609135aa38c6
Grants are funding, and Manifold seems mostly EA-funded, even excluding Manifold for Charity
Manifold openly offered funding voting rings in their discord:
Reminded of ‘harder to be kind than clever’ - Bezos
“5%” is underestimating skepticism. Even those that publicized artificial intelligence risk didn’t claim much higher chances:
people who donate worry far too much about transaction and overhead costs
There’s balance where it’s also possible to worry too little about transaction costs. 2.9% + 30¢ are common transaction processing costs for American credit cards. Encouraging debit card usage and less frequently billed subscriptions eliminate most transaction costs while avoiding the friction of switching from card processing to back account withdrawals.
Annual credit card billing saves over $15/yr over weekly credit card billing
Debit card billing saves on the fixed fee, percentage, and chargeback costs
@mikefilbey encouraging debit card use over credit card use can also decrease payment processing fees
Tangential to OP/GiveWell counterfactuals, it’s worth commending Against Malaria Foundation uniquely not holding assets and seeming intent on spending all revenue: https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/203069841
@Larks @Ozzie Gooen @huw worked a decade in tech, and tradeoffs justifiably prevent outsourcing everything. The truism that frustratingly little commonly gets delivered for $100k felt like the original comment simply reiterating realities of the complaint. Questioning rather than defending status quo spending is still an effective altruism tenet. To clarify, I’d rather not fund anyone anywhere working on unpublished AI video games
$100k sounds like a lot to some individuals, but in practice, often buys frustratingly little when spent on western professionals
That true statement seemingly misses the forest for the trees, because money going further overseas is an effective altruism tenet:
https://www.givewell.org/giving101/Your-dollar-goes-further-overseas
~2/3 of the jobs didn’t post salaries, so I’d like to filter out low salaries without excluding the majority that simply didn’t post salaries
Filtering by salary excludes jobs that don’t have posted salaries
Would love an option to toggle that
Air pollution kills 8M+ annually:
https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/c-change/news/fossil-fuel-air-pollution-responsible-for-1-in-5-deaths-worldwide/
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/jul/29/carbon-emissions-americans-social-costIndoor air pollution seems particularly tractable:
Vaccines saved 150M+ lives over the past 50 years, including 100M+ infants and nearly 100M lives from Measles alone:
https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/new-data-shows-vaccines-have-saved-154-million-lives-past-50-years
https://www.who.int/news/item/24-04-2024-global-immunization-efforts-have-saved-at-least-154-million-lives-over-the-past-50-years
Manifold users don’t actually cash out that much, so we shouldn’t actually need that much cash on hand
This omits why Manifold users didn’t cash out much: return rates were unsustainably high. Ponzi schemes manage cash flow at the expense of profit
Sadly even slightly worse than 10x devaluation because 1,000 mana will redeem for $0.95 to cover “credit card fees and administrative work”
Animal welfare’s far from the only problem with factory farming:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rpBYejrhk7HQB6gJj/crispr-for-happier-farm-animals?commentId=hvCQ9kBvutrnkFm9h
Skeptical. Sentencing considers intent, but even those ignorant of laws themselves are found guilty:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignorantia_juris_non_excusat
To my knowledge, Manifold for Charity grants did not only fund Manifund; Manifold for Charity grants seemingly funded Manifold’s currency donation platform too
Once debating if:
* Manifold for Charity should be excluded
* Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF) funding is EA
* FTX Future Fund funding is EA
The original comment feels reductive and I’d rather data be linked upfront rather than feeling dragged into revealing data and motte-and-bailey-esque threads