Consequentialists should be strong longtermists
For me, the strongest arguments against strong longtermism are simulation theory and the youngness paradox (as well as yet-to-be-discovered crucial considerations).[1]
(Also, nitpickily, I’d personally reword this poll from ‘Consequentialists should be strong longtermists’ to ‘I am a strong longtermist,’ because I’m not convinced that anyone ‘should’ be anything, normatively speaking.)
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I also worry about cluelessness, though cluelessness seems just as threatening to neartermist interventions as it does to longtermist ones.
Meta: I’m seeing lots of blank comments in response to the DIY polls. Perhaps people are thinking that they need to click ‘Comment’ in order for their vote to count? If so, PSA: your vote counted as soon as you dropped your slider. You can simply close the pop-up box that follows if you don’t also mean to leave a comment.
Happy voting!