Possible mistake EAs are making and shout out to Pause AI UK
I think right now EAs might be making a significant mistake by paying insufficient attention to the political realm. As EAs we tend to figure out what’s most impactful for us to work on and focus hard. That’s great! But there are various actions that are ‘non-delegatable’ - the extent to which an individual can do the action is limited (like voting, going to a protest, making hard money contributions to particular campaigns). It might be useful if we were all more in the habit of doing various of these alongside what we’re most focused on. I think more attention is starting to go to this—as evidenced by Jeff’s blog post about how he thinks political donations should be his primary method of giving going forward. But I think we probably have a ways to go.
Political actions look better than they used to
I think it’s pretty unsurprising that EAs are sceptical of lobbying policy makers as a theory of change. By my lights, it looked decidedly less effective a decade ago. At that point, work on existential risk was very speculative, and mostly needed additional research. It was totally unclear what better legislation would look like. Meanwhile, global poverty and animal welfare were (and are) severely bottlenecked on money. As an individual in one of the richest countries in the world, if you’re willing to give 10% of your income, that’s a lot of money. It seems hard to get to similar expected value by political actions aimed at increasing government development spending.
From the point of view of existential risks, we’re now in a very different world. We have a better sense of what risks we might face, and of what types of legislation will in expectation improve the safety of the world. Yet it’s far from clear that that legislation will be implemented.
Knowing it’s important to have the right legislation is a far cry from knowing what that legislation is or how to engage with the democratic process in a way that will be helpful, mind. Personally, I’m particularly wary of people-engaging things, because I’m more at home in googledocs, and rather worry I’ll misstep and accidentally make things worse.
An example of making it tractable: PauseAI UK’s campaign this week
I’ve been grateful recently that PauseAI UK has been doing the work to make this much more tractable for individuals. For example at the moment they’re organising a campaign for the UK to introduce legislation that holds AI companies liable for damages their models cause. The campaign features an open letter calling on the Prime Minister to support such legislation, and a policy briefing as background. They asked supporters of PauseAI to write to their MP, and ask to meet with them earlier this week to discuss signing the letter.
As someone who’s never written to or met with their MP before, I wouldn’t have known where to start doing so, and it sounded daunting. PauseAI UK actually made the whole process shockingly smooth. The policy briefing and open letter both struck me as well written, reasonable and the right mix of meeting an MP where they’re at and highlighting what’s important. They provided an ‘email builder’ which helps you find out who your MP is, suggests what a letter to them might look like (I liked their draft), and allows you to actually send it to them. I had various questions which Joseph was helpful in answering.
My MP was happy to set a meeting on the day we requested. They met with the 3 of us coming from my constituency in Oxford at the same time. I was expecting just 10 minutes with them, but we actually talked for 45min. PauseAI UK did the leg work of figuring out precisely where we should go, how to get to that entrance, and giving a sense of how these conversations typically go, which made it feel easy to prepare for.
How valuable and achievable is it for us to do more of this?
It feels difficult to me to know how valuable things like this meeting/campaign are. The MP didn’t commit in the meeting to sign the letter (which makes sense since they hadn’t read it yet). They seemed sympathetic to the idea that guard rails on AI development are important and not yet covered, but often had different particular concerns than me. They said they wanted to follow up afterwards. [Edit: They’ve now signed the letter!]
Working on things aimed at improving and safeguarding our (crazy) future always seems speculative, making it hard to compare things like talking to my MP with the marginal hours at my day job. To some degree, I try to avoid them trading off against each other. But I am tempted to think that even without fully understanding the value, I ought to spend some time talking to my MP about a what I think the government is likely to get disastrously wrong over the coming few years.
I’m cognisant that it’s easy for there to be many actions that ‘everyone ought to do to make a democracy function well’ and those end up adding up to more time than anyone has. But I also don’t want to let that reductio prevent me from taking any political actions. After all—improving the governance landscape seems absolutely crucial. I’m keen to hear how others think about the value of these actions and how to prioritise them!
Another thing that makes things tricky in this area is that there are limits to what charities are allowed to say about government. Moreover the rules often aren’t very clear, and talking to lawyers is often expensive and time-consuming. That makes it particularly hard to figure out the effectiveness of different political actions and help each other take the effective ones.
Thankfully we’re now a large community, brought together by willingness to put quite a bit on the line to help others. If we’re thoughtful and collaborative in how we do that, despite the trickiness I think we can really move the needle in how seriously policy makers take AI progress and its risks.
For those reading this post: PauseAI UK is currently fundraising for operational expansion. If you want to donate to PauseAI UK, you can see their donor prospectus and make donations at https://pauseai.uk/donate
Thanks for flagging!
Surprising that your MP was willing to meet with you for so long. Thanks for doing this (and writing it up)!
Thanks Michelle!
I’m very happy that PauseAI UK are doing this work and I’ve enjoyed attending their protests.
I have also been extremely impressed with ControlAI’s work. Similarly, they make it easy to contact your representative (in a range of countries). Myself and a bunch of my (non-EA) friends have contacted our MPs through ControlAI’s tool.
People can also use Microcommit to receive regular suggestions of very short advocacy activities, from ControlAI, PauseAI, and others.
Thanks so much for writing this Michelle and for speaking with Anneliese Dodds!
If people want to get involved with PauseAI UK, they can sign up our website here, or subscribe to our events calendar.
Can I subscribe just to a newsletter for occasional calls to action? The “Join” form asks me to agree to the volunteer agreement, which I don’t want to do (e.g. I don’t want to give PausAI UK permission to use my name in materials), but maybe I want to do things like Michelle did occasionally.
Thanks, Ollie. In addition to what Joseph said, we also have a volunteer <> project matching database you can sign up for (https://catalyse.up.railway.app/), which you can set to alert you by email when a project matching your skills/interests come up, or you can check it when you want to and decide which projects you want to get involved with. You can also subscribe to our events calendar (luma.com/pauseai_uk).
The closest thing we have to that right now is to join the WhatsApp community. If you aren’t in any of the chats, then you will just get occasional announcements in the announcements channel.
How does someone join the Whatsapp community?
This has made me realise I’m not sure what has caused me to be invited to the things I’m invited to, because I don’t get invites to all the things on the events calendar (which works great for me!). I wonder if it’s worth setting up something that’s easy to join that just tells people about the significant things @Joseph Miller ?
Oops, I should have put the link earlier! Join the WhatsApp community here: https://chat.whatsapp.com/BesRzGOwnfNHuQM9fLIr0J
You’re invited when we manually decide to invite the attendees of a previous event that you attended to some new event. When we make a new local social event, we will generally just invite the people who have previously been to social events in that area.
If it is a bigger event, like a protest or the Parliament event, we will invite anyone who has every been to any PauseAI UK event.
Having said that, I’m actually not sure what happens when you click ‘Follow’ on our event calendar, so I’ve enquired about that.
The announcements channel on the WhatsApp community more or less serves this purpose, but I think it would probably be good for us to make another email channel that does this too.
Thank you!
Surely the most effective way of making change is to influence and in fact directly infiltrate the means of change i.e. through policy and policymaking.
I’ve been working across research/policy and practice for the last 12 years, and yes it’s incredibly difficult to build relationships, trust and traction but I think that’s more of a reason to actively engage with it rather than to turn away. I’ve been particularly interested in the energy in the UK from the “YIMBY” movement, Looking for Growth are a good example of this, and the attitude of “you can just do things”—seeing an increasing number of people directly engage with local decision making, becoming councillors, joining boards to directly influence.
Of course it does critically involve realising that it’s not sufficient to be “right”, you also need to be able to convince others of that and fundamentally to be able to listen to them—that’s not easy but without that there no hope, other than through some kind of autocracy…
Thanks for this Michelle (and Pause AI).
Being located in Brussels, it always feels that there must be ways to influence the people within the EU who have so much power. Not just the politicians (for whom there are thousands of professional and well-paid full-time lobbyists), but also the eurocrats who manage a lot of the tangible work the EU does.
It always feels like the bad guys (the oil-companies and tobacco companies and people looking for reduced regulation (often using the euphemism “simplification” to describe what is really reducing consumer-protection, reducing environmental protection, slowing AI legislation, etc.) have all the money, power and influence. I would love to see more EA’s aggressively and effectively working in this area. There are many NGO’s of course who do this, full of people who do great work. But it just feels like they are often out-manned and struggling to be heard.
The example that always comes to mind is the few people lobbying for better legislation on issues like factory farming or alternative protein trying to be heard when there are regular many-thousand strong violent demonstrations by “farmers” with tractors opposing anything that they don’t like. It’s annoying because I strongly believe that the farmers involved in these protests represent the huge industrial factory farms, and not the many smaller farmers who do have genuine concerns and challenges. The legislation serves neither the animals nor the true farmers, just the factory farms who have the money to lobby and protest.
Thank you for a post that talks about a neglected opportunity in the EA community. That is why I am helping SAVE. They try to bridge the gap between knowledge and power by matching experts with politicians and policymakers. They are doing actor mapping, holding workshops, making policy briefs, attending conferences and support organizations, experts, policymakers and politicians making the best decisions about crucial topics in the field of global catastrophic risks and environmental problems. They don’t have AI yet because they are a small organization, but with more funding / people it would be possible in that area as well.