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Risk assessment

TagLast edit: 13 Oct 2021 23:02 UTC by Pablo

Risk assessment is the estimation of the probability of an adverse outcome from exposure to a particular hazard. Risk assessment is part of the broader field of risk management, which seeks to identify, evaluate, monitor and mitigate risk.

Quan­tify­ing and in­ter­pret­ing the risks of mountaineering

Vasco Grilo🔸3 Jun 2023 8:25 UTC
20 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing Squig­gle: Early Access

Ozzie Gooen3 Aug 2022 0:23 UTC
147 points
11 comments7 min readEA link

Ex­is­ten­tial Risk Model­ling with Con­tin­u­ous-Time Markov Chains

Radical Empath Ismam23 Jan 2023 20:32 UTC
87 points
9 comments12 min readEA link

The catas­trophic pri­macy of re­ac­tivity over proac­tivity in gov­ern­men­tal risk as­sess­ment: brief UK case study

JuanGarcia27 Sep 2021 15:53 UTC
56 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Ex­cerpts from “Do­ing EA Bet­ter” on x-risk methodology

Eevee🔹26 Jan 2023 1:04 UTC
22 points
5 comments6 min readEA link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

On Defer­ence and Yud­kowsky’s AI Risk Estimates

bmg19 Jun 2022 14:35 UTC
288 points
194 comments17 min readEA link

YCom­bi­na­tor fraud rates

Ben_West🔸25 Dec 2022 18:01 UTC
91 points
14 comments4 min readEA link

Revolu­tion­is­ing Na­tional Risk Assess­ment (NRA): im­proved meth­ods and stake­holder en­gage­ment to tackle global catas­tro­phe and ex­is­ten­tial risks

Matt Boyd21 Mar 2023 6:05 UTC
26 points
1 comment8 min readEA link

Is It So Much to Ask for a Nice Reli­able Ag­gre­gated X-Risk Fore­cast?

MichaelDickens13 Jul 2025 20:01 UTC
29 points
3 comments3 min readEA link
(mdickens.me)

Re­think Pri­ori­ties’ Lead­er­ship State­ment on the FTX situation

abrahamrowe23 Nov 2022 22:54 UTC
266 points
77 comments2 min readEA link

Nines of safety: Ter­ence Tao’s pro­posed unit of mea­sure­ment of risk

anson12 Dec 2021 18:01 UTC
41 points
17 comments4 min readEA link

Re­search: Peo­ple do not al­lo­cate enough re­sources to risks with lower prob­a­bil­ity of survival

Adam Elga25 Aug 2025 13:45 UTC
40 points
7 comments1 min readEA link
(doi.org)

[Question] What “pivotal” and use­ful re­search … would you like to see as­sessed? (Bounty for sug­ges­tions)

david_reinstein28 Apr 2022 15:49 UTC
37 points
21 comments7 min readEA link

Is that DNA Danger­ous?

Mslkmp30 Jan 2025 19:27 UTC
14 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(press.asimov.com)

Open call: AI Act Stan­dard for Dev. Phase Risk Assess­ment

miller-max8 Dec 2023 19:57 UTC
5 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

[Linkpost] Hu­man-nar­rated au­dio ver­sion of “Is Power-Seek­ing AI an Ex­is­ten­tial Risk?”

Joe_Carlsmith31 Jan 2023 19:19 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

What is es­ti­ma­tional pro­gram­ming? Squig­gle in context

quinn12 Aug 2022 18:01 UTC
31 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

What I wish I had said about FTX

AppliedDivinityStudies31 Oct 2024 14:54 UTC
162 points
17 comments5 min readEA link

Fraud 101

Miguel14 Nov 2022 17:50 UTC
24 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.acfe.com)

Our bet on whether the AI mar­ket will crash

Remmelt8 May 2025 8:37 UTC
54 points
18 comments1 min readEA link

Why so few re­cent pub­lished net as­sess­ments of x-risks?

different Sam2 Jun 2025 14:35 UTC
4 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

An Emerg­ing x-risk: An­thro­pogenic As­teroid Alteration

JordanStone13 Jul 2025 20:35 UTC
16 points
0 comments25 min readEA link

When is defense in depth un­helpful?

OscarD🔸29 Oct 2025 21:42 UTC
26 points
5 comments4 min readEA link
(oscardelaney.substack.com)

We read ev­ery labs safety plan so you don’t have to: 2025 edition

Algon29 Oct 2025 16:48 UTC
14 points
1 comment16 min readEA link
(aisafety.info)

When is it im­por­tant that open-weight mod­els aren’t re­leased? My thoughts on the benefits and dan­gers of open-weight mod­els in re­sponse to de­vel­op­ments in CBRN ca­pa­bil­ities.

Ryan Greenblatt9 Jun 2025 19:19 UTC
39 points
3 comments9 min readEA link

Stum­bling Our Way into Global Catas­tro­phe One Tweet-at-a-Time

Faqih21 Oct 2025 6:38 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

A New Global Risk: Large Comet’s Im­pact on Sun Could Cause Fires on Earth

turchin15 Oct 2025 13:20 UTC
16 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Assess­ment of AI safety agen­das: think about the down­side risk

Roman Leventov19 Dec 2023 9:02 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

A list of lists of large catastrophes

FJehn18 Jun 2025 10:24 UTC
24 points
1 comment12 min readEA link
(existentialcrunch.substack.com)