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Hu­man extinction

TagLast edit: Jun 24, 2022, 12:17 AM by Pablo

Human extinction is the destruction of all members of the species Homo sapiens.

In Toby Ord’s typology, human extinction constitutes one of the three main types of existential catastrophe.[1]

Further reading

Bostrom, Nick (2003) Human extinction, in Paul Demeny & Geoffrey McNicoll (eds.) Encyclopedia of Population, New York: Macmillan Reference, pp. 340–342.

Bostrom, Nick (2013) Existential risk prevention as global priority, Global Policy, vol. 4, pp. 15–31.

Brauner, Jan & Friederike Grosse-Holz (2018) The expected value of extinction risk reduction is positive, Effective Altruism Forum, December 9, section 1.3.

Cotton-Barratt, Owen, Max Daniel & Anders Sandberg (2020) Defence in depth against human extinction: prevention, response, resilience, and why they all matter, Global Policy, vol. 11, pp. 271–282.
Identifies three defence layers against extinction, corresponding to successive stages in the progression of risk.

Matheny, Jason Gaverick (2007) Reducing the risk of human extinction, Risk Analysis, vol. 27, pp. 1335–1344.
A paper exploring the cost-effectiveness of extinction risk reduction.

Ord, Toby (2020) The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, London: Bloomsbury Publishing.

Rees, Martin J. (2003) Our Final Hour: A Scientist’s Warning: How Terror, Error, and Environmental Disaster Threaten Humankind’s Future in This Century—on Earth and Beyond, New York: Basic Books.

Related entries

existential catastrophe | existential risk | Great Filter | long-term future

  1. ^

    Ord, Toby (2020) The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, London: Bloomsbury Publishing, fig. 5.2.

Ac­tu­al­ism, asym­me­try and extinction

MichaelStJulesJan 7, 2025, 4:02 PM
24 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

Utili­tar­i­anism and the re­place­abil­ity of de­sires and attachments

MichaelStJulesJul 27, 2024, 1:57 AM
34 points
13 comments12 min readEA link

Can a war cause hu­man ex­tinc­tion? Once again, not on priors

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67 points
29 comments18 min readEA link

How bad would hu­man ex­tinc­tion be?

arvommOct 23, 2023, 12:01 PM
132 points
25 comments18 min readEA link

Can a ter­ror­ist at­tack cause hu­man ex­tinc­tion? Not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸Dec 2, 2023, 8:20 AM
43 points
9 comments15 min readEA link

Not all x-risk is the same: im­pli­ca­tions of non-hu­man-descendants

NikolaDec 18, 2021, 9:22 PM
38 points
4 comments5 min readEA link

Linkpost for var­i­ous re­cent es­says on suffer­ing-fo­cused ethics, pri­ori­ties, and more

Magnus VindingSep 28, 2022, 8:58 AM
87 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

Prevent­ing hu­man extinction

Peter SingerAug 19, 2013, 9:07 PM
25 points
6 comments5 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing: Ex­is­ten­tial Choices De­bate Week (March 17-23)

Toby Tremlett🔹Mar 4, 2025, 12:05 PM
82 points
23 comments5 min readEA link

Re­duc­ing the neart­erm risk of hu­man ex­tinc­tion is not as­tro­nom­i­cally cost-effec­tive?

Vasco Grilo🔸Jun 9, 2024, 8:02 AM
20 points
37 comments8 min readEA link

Ar­gu­ments for Why Prevent­ing Hu­man Ex­tinc­tion is Wrong

Anthony FlemingMay 21, 2022, 7:17 AM
32 points
48 comments3 min readEA link

Ex­tinc­tion risk re­duc­tion and moral cir­cle ex­pan­sion: Spec­u­lat­ing sus­pi­cious convergence

MichaelA🔸Aug 4, 2020, 11:38 AM
12 points
4 comments6 min readEA link

“Ex­is­ten­tial Risk” is badly named and leads to nar­row fo­cus on as­tro­nom­i­cal waste

freedomandutilityAug 22, 2022, 8:25 PM
39 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

AGI Catas­tro­phe and Takeover: Some Refer­ence Class-Based Priors

zdgroffMay 24, 2023, 7:14 PM
95 points
10 comments6 min readEA link

Nu­clear war tail risk has been ex­ag­ger­ated?

Vasco Grilo🔸Feb 25, 2024, 9:14 AM
48 points
22 comments28 min readEA link

Su­per­vol­ca­noes tail risk has been ex­ag­ger­ated?

Vasco Grilo🔸Mar 6, 2024, 8:38 AM
46 points
9 comments8 min readEA link
(journals.ametsoc.org)

Sav­ing lives in nor­mal times is bet­ter to im­prove the longterm fu­ture than do­ing so in catas­tro­phes?

Vasco Grilo🔸Apr 20, 2024, 8:37 AM
13 points
25 comments9 min readEA link

Why UFOs matter

Magnus VindingJun 21, 2024, 10:53 AM
31 points
14 comments10 min readEA link

Can a con­flict cause hu­man ex­tinc­tion? Yet again, not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸Jun 19, 2024, 4:59 PM
19 points
2 comments11 min readEA link

Var­i­ance of the an­nual con­flict and epi­demic/​pan­demic deaths as a frac­tion of the global population

Vasco Grilo🔸Sep 10, 2024, 5:02 PM
16 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Things usu­ally end slowly

OllieBaseJun 7, 2022, 5:00 PM
76 points
14 comments7 min readEA link

Disper­sion in the ex­tinc­tion risk pre­dic­tions made in the Ex­is­ten­tial Risk Per­sua­sion Tournament

Vasco Grilo🔸May 10, 2024, 4:48 PM
24 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Can a pan­demic cause hu­man ex­tinc­tion? Pos­si­bly, at least on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸Jul 15, 2024, 5:07 PM
29 points
4 comments6 min readEA link

Which World Gets Saved

trammellNov 9, 2018, 6:08 PM
155 points
27 comments3 min readEA link

We Should Give Ex­tinc­tion Risk an Acronym

Charlie_GuthmannOct 19, 2022, 7:16 AM
21 points
15 comments1 min readEA link

Prob­a­bil­ity of ex­tinc­tion for var­i­ous types of catastrophes

Vasco Grilo🔸Oct 9, 2022, 3:30 PM
16 points
0 comments10 min readEA link

Ques­tion­ing the Value of Ex­tinc­tion Risk Reduction

Red Team 8Jul 7, 2022, 4:44 AM
61 points
9 comments27 min readEA link

For­mal­iz­ing Ex­tinc­tion Risk Re­duc­tion vs. Longtermism

Charlie_GuthmannOct 17, 2022, 3:37 PM
12 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] If an ex­is­ten­tial catas­tro­phe oc­curs, how likely is it to wipe out all an­i­mal sen­tience?

JoA🔸Mar 16, 2025, 10:30 PM
11 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

The Con­ver­gent Path to the Stars—Similar Utility Across Civ­i­liza­tions Challenges Ex­tinc­tion Prioritization

Maxime Riché 🔸Mar 18, 2025, 5:09 PM
6 points
1 comment20 min readEA link

Hu­man ex­tinc­tion’s im­pact on non-hu­man an­i­mals re­mains largely underexplored

JoA🔸Mar 1, 2025, 9:31 PM
31 points
1 comment12 min readEA link

[Question] Why can’t we ac­cept the hu­man con­di­tion as it ex­isted in 2010?

Hayven FrienbyJan 9, 2024, 6:02 PM
35 points
36 comments2 min readEA link

A sim­ple ar­gu­ment for the bad­ness of hu­man extinction

Matthew RendallApr 17, 2024, 10:35 AM
4 points
14 comments2 min readEA link

Longter­mism, risk, and extinction

Richard PettigrewAug 4, 2022, 3:25 PM
78 points
12 comments41 min readEA link
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