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Long-term future

TagLast edit: 16 Jun 2021 9:25 UTC by EA Wiki assistant

The long-term future tag is meant for discussion of what the long-term future might actually look like. This doesn’t necessarily overlap with the longtermism tag, because a post attempting to e.g. model the future of space travel won’t necessarily discuss the philosophical implications of its model.

Related entries

non-humans and the long-term future | space colonization

The Epistemic Challenge to Longter­mism (Tarsney, 2020)

MichaelA4 Apr 2021 3:09 UTC
59 points
28 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Cru­cial ques­tions for longtermists

MichaelA29 Jul 2020 9:39 UTC
76 points
16 comments19 min readEA link

EA read­ing list: fu­tur­ism and transhumanism

richard_ngo4 Aug 2020 14:29 UTC
19 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Will we even­tu­ally be able to colonize other stars? Notes from a pre­limi­nary review

Nick_Beckstead22 Jun 2014 18:19 UTC
18 points
6 commentsEA link

Ob­jec­tives of longter­mist policy making

Henrik Øberg Myhre10 Feb 2021 18:26 UTC
48 points
7 comments22 min readEA link

Ad­dress­ing Global Poverty as a Strat­egy to Im­prove the Long-Term Future

bshumway7 Aug 2020 6:27 UTC
38 points
18 comments16 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­ing the Le­gal Pri­ori­ties Project

jonasschuett30 Aug 2020 14:10 UTC
179 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

Thoughts on whether we’re liv­ing at the most in­fluen­tial time in history

Buck3 Nov 2020 4:07 UTC
172 points
63 comments9 min readEA link

[Link post] Are we ap­proach­ing the sin­gu­lar­ity?

Halstead13 Feb 2021 11:04 UTC
48 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­ing the Si­mon In­sti­tute for Longterm Gover­nance (SI)

maxime29 Mar 2021 18:10 UTC
110 points
23 comments11 min readEA link

De­liber­a­tion May Im­prove De­ci­sion-Making

Neil_Dullaghan5 Nov 2019 0:34 UTC
61 points
12 comments44 min readEA link

The Im­por­tance of Ar­tifi­cial Sentience

Jamie_Harris3 Mar 2021 17:17 UTC
53 points
10 comments11 min readEA link
(www.sentienceinstitute.org)

On fu­ture peo­ple, look­ing back at 21st cen­tury longtermism

Joe_Carlsmith22 Mar 2021 8:21 UTC
93 points
13 comments12 min readEA link

Com­mon ground for longtermists

Tobias_Baumann29 Jul 2020 10:26 UTC
65 points
8 comments4 min readEA link

Database of ex­is­ten­tial risk estimates

MichaelA15 Apr 2020 12:43 UTC
89 points
35 comments5 min readEA link

Off-Earth Governance

EdoArad6 Sep 2019 19:26 UTC
16 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

EA read­ing list: longter­mism and ex­is­ten­tial risks

richard_ngo3 Aug 2020 9:52 UTC
34 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

The ex­pected value of ex­tinc­tion risk re­duc­tion is positive

JanBrauner9 Dec 2018 8:00 UTC
40 points
21 comments61 min readEA link

Link: Longter­mist In­sti­tu­tional Reform

Dale30 Jul 2020 20:36 UTC
28 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How does EA as­sess the far fu­ture?

Peter Sølling6 Aug 2020 12:42 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Toby Ord: Selected quo­ta­tions on ex­is­ten­tial risk

Aaron Gertler6 Aug 2020 17:41 UTC
26 points
0 comments38 min readEA link
(theprecipice.com)

The emerg­ing school of pa­tient longtermism

80000_Hours7 Aug 2020 16:28 UTC
62 points
11 comments2 min readEA link

Should We Pri­ori­tize Long-Term Ex­is­ten­tial Risk?

MichaelDickens20 Aug 2020 2:23 UTC
28 points
17 comments3 min readEA link

Effects of anti-ag­ing re­search on the long-term future

Matthew_Barnett27 Feb 2020 22:42 UTC
52 points
33 comments4 min readEA link

Risks from Atom­i­cally Pre­cise Manufacturing

MichaelA25 Aug 2020 9:53 UTC
26 points
2 comments2 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

What is ex­is­ten­tial se­cu­rity?

MichaelA1 Sep 2020 9:40 UTC
28 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

Does Eco­nomic His­tory Point Toward a Sin­gu­lar­ity?

Ben Garfinkel2 Sep 2020 12:48 UTC
121 points
58 comments3 min readEA link

“Dis­ap­point­ing Fu­tures” Might Be As Im­por­tant As Ex­is­ten­tial Risks

MichaelDickens3 Sep 2020 1:15 UTC
80 points
11 comments30 min readEA link

An Ar­gu­ment for Why the Fu­ture May Be Good

Ben_West19 Jul 2017 22:03 UTC
30 points
30 commentsEA link

How to think about an un­cer­tain fu­ture: les­sons from other sec­tors & mis­takes of longter­mist EAs

weeatquince5 Sep 2020 12:51 UTC
35 points
30 comments14 min readEA link

Longter­mism and an­i­mal advocacy

Tobias_Baumann11 Nov 2020 17:44 UTC
80 points
7 comments1 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

[Question] If some­one iden­ti­fies as a longter­mist, should they donate to Founders Pledge’s top cli­mate char­i­ties than to GiveWell’s top char­i­ties?

BrianTan26 Nov 2020 7:54 UTC
24 points
26 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] What is the im­pact of the Nu­clear Ban Treaty?

DonyChristie29 Nov 2020 0:26 UTC
22 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

Long-Term Fu­ture Fund: Novem­ber 2020 grant recommendations

Habryka3 Dec 2020 12:57 UTC
80 points
7 comments13 min readEA link
(app.effectivealtruism.org)

First S-Risk In­tro Seminar

stefan.torges8 Dec 2020 9:23 UTC
62 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

What is go­ing on in the world?

Katja_Grace18 Jan 2021 4:47 UTC
101 points
25 comments3 min readEA link
(meteuphoric.com)

How can we re­duce s-risks?

Tobias_Baumann29 Jan 2021 15:46 UTC
37 points
3 comments1 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

How can we in­fluence the long-term fu­ture?

Tobias_Baumann6 Mar 2019 15:31 UTC
10 points
1 comment4 min readEA link
(s-risks.org)

Op­ti­mistic Re­s­olu­tion of the Fermi Para­dox: Eter­nity in Six Hours & Grabby Aliens

steve632011 Feb 2021 4:28 UTC
17 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

Char­ac­ter­is­ing utopia

richard_ngo2 Jan 2020 0:24 UTC
38 points
2 comments22 min readEA link

Some EA Fo­rum Posts I’d like to write

Linch23 Feb 2021 5:27 UTC
83 points
10 comments7 min readEA link

Stu­art Arm­strong: The far fu­ture of in­tel­li­gent life across the universe

EA Global8 Jun 2018 7:15 UTC
9 points
0 comments12 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Pos­si­ble mis­con­cep­tions about (strong) longtermism

jackmalde9 Mar 2021 17:58 UTC
77 points
43 comments19 min readEA link

Is Democ­racy a Fad?

Ben Garfinkel13 Mar 2021 12:40 UTC
132 points
35 comments18 min readEA link

In­ter­na­tional Crim­i­nal Law and the Fu­ture of Hu­man­ity: A The­ory of the Crime of Omnicide

philosophytorres22 Mar 2021 12:19 UTC
7 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Pro­posed Longter­mist Flag

Cullen_OKeefe24 Mar 2021 5:40 UTC
27 points
47 comments1 min readEA link

Chris­tian Tarsney: Can we pre­dictably im­prove the far fu­ture?

EA Global18 Oct 2019 7:40 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Ori­ent­ing to­wards the long-term fu­ture (Joseph Car­l­smith)

EA Global3 Nov 2017 7:43 UTC
7 points
0 comments10 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Joseph Car­l­smith: Shap­ing the far fu­ture (light­ning talk)

EA Global3 Nov 2017 7:43 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Max Teg­mark: Effec­tive al­tru­ism, ex­is­ten­tial risk, and ex­is­ten­tial hope

EA Global2 Jun 2017 8:48 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

The Case for Strong Longtermism

Global Priorities Institute3 Sep 2019 1:17 UTC
12 points
1 comment6 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Why might the fu­ture be good?

Paul_Christiano27 Feb 2013 5:00 UTC
3 points
0 commentsEA link

Model­ing the Hu­man Tra­jec­tory (Open Philan­thropy)

Aaron Gertler16 Jun 2020 9:27 UTC
50 points
4 comments2 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

Mo­ral plu­ral­ism and longter­mism | Sunyshore

evelynciara17 Apr 2021 0:14 UTC
26 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

Ac­tu­ally pos­si­ble: thoughts on Utopia

Joe_Carlsmith18 Jan 2021 8:27 UTC
66 points
3 comments13 min readEA link

Thoughts on “The Case for Strong Longter­mism” (Greaves & MacAskill)

MichaelA2 May 2021 18:00 UTC
30 points
19 comments2 min readEA link

Thoughts on “A case against strong longter­mism” (Mas­rani)

MichaelA3 May 2021 14:22 UTC
39 points
33 comments2 min readEA link

Eric Drexler: Pare­to­topian goal alignment

EA Global15 Mar 2019 14:51 UTC
3 points
0 comments10 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Chris­tian Tarsney on fu­ture bias and a pos­si­ble solu­tion to moral fanaticism

Pablo6 May 2021 10:39 UTC
26 points
6 comments1 min readEA link
(80000hours.org)

Kar­da­shev for Kindness

Mary Stowers11 Jun 2021 22:22 UTC
28 points
5 comments3 min readEA link

Chris­tian Tarsney on fu­ture bias and a pos­si­ble solu­tion to moral fanaticism

80000_Hours5 May 2021 19:38 UTC
7 points
0 comments113 min readEA link

[Question] How large can the so­lar sys­tem’s econ­omy get?

WilliamKiely1 Jul 2021 2:29 UTC
7 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] For those work­ing on longter­mist pro­jects, how do you stay mo­ti­vated in the short-term?

warrenjordan8 Aug 2020 19:21 UTC
13 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

The ap­pli­ca­bil­ity of transsen­tien­tist crit­i­cal path analysis

Peter Sølling11 Aug 2020 11:26 UTC
0 points
2 comments32 min readEA link
(www.optimalaltruism.com)

New 3-hour pod­cast with An­ders Sand­berg about Grand Futures

Gus Docker6 Oct 2020 10:47 UTC
21 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

The Case for Space: A Longter­mist Alter­na­tive to Ex­is­ten­tial Threat Reduction

Giga18 Nov 2020 13:09 UTC
8 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

Helping fu­ture re­searchers to bet­ter un­der­stand long-term forecasting

gabriel_wagner25 Nov 2020 18:55 UTC
2 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

Long-Term Fu­ture Fund: Ask Us Any­thing!

AdamGleave3 Dec 2020 13:44 UTC
88 points
154 comments1 min readEA link

Good v. Op­ti­mal Futures

RobertHarling11 Dec 2020 16:38 UTC
31 points
10 comments6 min readEA link

Longter­mism which doesn’t care about Ex­tinc­tion—Im­pli­ca­tions of Be­natar’s asym­me­try be­tween pain and pleasure

jushy19 Dec 2020 12:31 UTC
17 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

[Cross­post] Rel­a­tivis­tic Colonization

itaibn31 Dec 2020 2:30 UTC
7 points
7 comments4 min readEA link

Le­gal Pri­ori­ties Re­search: A Re­search Agenda

jonasschuett6 Jan 2021 21:47 UTC
58 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

13 Re­cent Publi­ca­tions on Ex­is­ten­tial Risk (Jan 2021 up­date)

HaydnBelfield8 Feb 2021 12:42 UTC
7 points
2 comments10 min readEA link

Stu­art Rus­sell Hu­man Com­pat­i­ble AI Roundtable with Allan Dafoe, Rob Re­ich, & Ma­ri­etje Schaake

Mahendra Prasad11 Feb 2021 7:43 UTC
16 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Re­sponse to Phil Tor­res’ ‘The Case Against Longter­mism’

HaydnBelfield8 Mar 2021 18:09 UTC
84 points
68 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] How should EAs man­age their copy­rights?

evelynciara9 Mar 2021 18:42 UTC
14 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] What anal­y­sis has been done of space coloniza­tion as a cause area?

reallyeli9 Oct 2019 20:33 UTC
12 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How wor­ried should I be about a child­less Dis­ney­land?

willbradshaw28 Oct 2019 15:32 UTC
24 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

How to Sur­vive the End of the Universe

avturchin28 Nov 2019 12:40 UTC
43 points
11 comments33 min readEA link

Beyond Astro­nom­i­cal Waste

Wei_Dai27 Dec 2018 9:27 UTC
23 points
2 commentsEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Per­ma­nent So­cietal Im­prove­ments

Larks6 Sep 2015 1:30 UTC
9 points
10 commentsEA link

The NPT: Learn­ing from a Longter­mist Suc­cess [Links!]

DannyBressler20 May 2021 0:39 UTC
66 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

Vignettes Work­shop (AI Im­pacts)

kokotajlod15 Jun 2021 11:02 UTC
43 points
5 comments1 min readEA link