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Statistics

TagLast edit: Jun 7, 2022, 6:26 PM by Pablo

Statistics is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data.

This tag isn’t meant for posts that estimate the impact of specific charities or interventions, but instead for posts about “doing statistics” in general.

Related entries

data science | impact assessment

Why CEA has stopped us­ing Net Pro­moter Score

Ben_West🔸Feb 3, 2022, 3:43 PM
85 points
7 comments3 min readEA link

Shap­ley val­ues: Bet­ter than counterfactuals

NunoSempereOct 10, 2019, 10:26 AM
153 points
54 comments15 min readEA link

How much do you be­lieve your re­sults?

Eric NeymanMay 5, 2023, 7:51 PM
211 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

List of ways in which cost-effec­tive­ness es­ti­mates can be misleading

sauliusAug 20, 2019, 6:05 PM
236 points
37 comments13 min readEA link

Ex­pected value and un­cer­tainty with­out full Monte Carlo simulations

Vasco Grilo🔸Jan 5, 2024, 8:57 AM
12 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

The ac­ci­den­tal ex­per­i­ment that saved 700 lives (IRS & health in­surance)

LizkaApr 19, 2022, 1:28 PM
42 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)

‘Dis­solv­ing’ AI Risk – Pa­ram­e­ter Uncer­tainty in AI Fu­ture Forecasting

FroolowOct 18, 2022, 10:54 PM
111 points
63 comments39 min readEA link

Mak­ing bet­ter es­ti­mates with scarce information

Stan PinsentMar 22, 2023, 4:29 PM
60 points
16 comments13 min readEA link

[Stats4EA] Ex­pec­ta­tions are not Outcomes

matthewpMay 18, 2020, 10:59 PM
37 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

A be­gin­ner data sci­en­tist tries her hand at biosecurity

ElizabethEOct 23, 2020, 3:20 PM
35 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

On the ro­bust­ness of cost-effec­tive­ness estimates

William_MacAskillMay 24, 2013, 4:00 AM
5 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

[Linkpost] Michael Hue­mer on the case for Bayesian statistics

John G. HalsteadFeb 7, 2023, 5:52 PM
20 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Shap­ley val­ues: an in­tro­duc­tory example

Stan PinsentNov 12, 2023, 1:35 PM
15 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Does putting kids in school now put money in their pock­ets later? Re­vis­it­ing a nat­u­ral ex­per­i­ment in Indonesia

David RoodmanNov 25, 2022, 9:09 PM
125 points
24 comments18 min readEA link

Re­quest: Datasets with mea­sure­ment er­ror and miss­ing data?

Emma SkarsteinApr 20, 2023, 2:56 PM
8 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

Eva Vi­valt: Global poverty II

EA GlobalAug 28, 2015, 8:37 AM
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

When pool­ing fore­casts, use the ge­o­met­ric mean of odds

Jaime SevillaSep 3, 2021, 9:58 AM
125 points
63 comments8 min readEA link

Ex­pected value es­ti­mates you can take (some­what) literally

Gregory Lewis🔸Nov 24, 2014, 3:55 PM
23 points
25 comments14 min readEA link

Ju­lia Galef and An­gus Deaton: pod­cast dis­cus­sion of RCT is­sues (ex­cerpts)

Aaron Gertler 🔸Jan 4, 2021, 9:35 PM
29 points
5 comments9 min readEA link
(rationallyspeakingpodcast.org)

[Question] Is there a cal­ibra­tion train­ing tool for ‘per­centile rank­ings from a refer­ence group’?

david_reinsteinSep 14, 2024, 9:55 PM
8 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Eva Vi­valt: Choos­ing effec­tive causes in a rad­i­cally un­cer­tain world

EA GlobalNov 21, 2020, 8:12 AM
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Bi­ases in our es­ti­mates of Scale, Ne­glect­ed­ness and Solv­abil­ity?

MichaelStJulesFeb 24, 2020, 6:39 PM
93 points
12 comments7 min readEA link

[Link] The Op­ti­mizer’s Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions

Chris SmithApr 4, 2019, 1:28 PM
94 points
61 comments1 min readEA link

Five Ways to Han­dle Flow-Through Effects

Peter WildefordJul 28, 2016, 3:39 AM
43 points
3 comments5 min readEA link

How much does perfor­mance differ be­tween peo­ple?

Max_DanielMar 25, 2021, 10:56 PM
119 points
77 comments6 min readEA link

Statis­tics for Lazy Peo­ple, Part 2

HmashApr 14, 2021, 12:15 PM
16 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

Es­ti­mat­ing long-term treat­ment effects with­out long-term out­come data

Global Priorities InstituteSep 29, 2020, 1:30 PM
3 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Giv­ing What We Can—Pledge page trial (EA Mar­ket Test­ing)

david_reinsteinMay 16, 2022, 10:39 PM
56 points
4 comments3 min readEA link

Real­ity is of­ten underpowered

Gregory Lewis🔸Oct 10, 2019, 1:14 PM
234 points
17 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] What are some low-in­for­ma­tion pri­ors that you find prac­ti­cally use­ful for think­ing about the world?

LinchAug 7, 2020, 4:38 AM
63 points
31 comments1 min readEA link

David Man­ley: Gen­tle Bayesian updating

EA GlobalOct 25, 2020, 6:56 AM
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Uncer­tainty and sen­si­tivity analy­ses of GiveWell’s cost-effec­tive­ness analyses

cole_hausAug 31, 2019, 11:33 PM
86 points
24 comments58 min readEA link

[Question] How Often Does ¬Cor­re­la­tion ⇏ ¬Cau­sa­tion?

niplavApr 2, 2024, 6:19 PM
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Weighted Fac­tor Models: Con­sider us­ing the ge­o­met­ric mean in­stead of the ar­ith­metic mean

Soemano ZeijlmansOct 21, 2024, 7:57 PM
59 points
13 comments10 min readEA link

Park­in­son’s Law and the Ide­ol­ogy of Statistics

BenquoJan 4, 2025, 3:50 PM
2 points
7 comments8 min readEA link
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Nige­ria’s Miss­ing 50 Million People

DavidNashNov 22, 2024, 5:24 PM
143 points
17 comments11 min readEA link

How to Un­der­stand and Miti­gate Risk (Cross­post from LessWrong)

HalffullMar 12, 2019, 10:24 AM
17 points
7 comments16 min readEA link

Re­la­tion­ship be­tween the num­ber of cage-free com­mit­ments and or­gani­sa­tions ad­vo­cat­ing for them

Vasco Grilo🔸Dec 10, 2024, 6:05 PM
35 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Es­ti­mat­ing value from pair­wise comparisons

Jonas MossOct 5, 2022, 11:23 AM
34 points
3 comments1 min readEA link
(blog.jonasmoss.com)

Space Ex­plo­ra­tion & Satel­lites on Our World in Data

EdMathieuJun 14, 2022, 12:05 PM
57 points
2 comments1 min readEA link
(ourworldindata.org)

Turn­ing per­centages back into peo­ple: per­son­al­iz­ing quantification

skySep 12, 2020, 2:30 PM
25 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Take care with no­ta­tion for un­cer­tain quantities

Gregory Lewis🔸Sep 16, 2020, 7:26 PM
39 points
2 comments5 min readEA link

Up­dat­ing on the pas­sage of time and con­di­tional pre­dic­tion curves

Jonas MossAug 11, 2022, 6:18 PM
37 points
6 comments12 min readEA link

How ac­cu­rately does any­one know the global dis­tri­bu­tion of in­come?

Robert_WiblinApr 6, 2017, 4:49 AM
22 points
28 comments7 min readEA link

A tech­ni­cal note: Bayesi­anism is not logic, statis­tics is not rationality

jonathanstraySep 6, 2016, 3:47 PM
1 point
7 comments1 min readEA link

A peek at pair­wise prefer­ence es­ti­ma­tion in eco­nomics, mar­ket­ing, and statistics

Jonas MossOct 8, 2022, 4:56 AM
31 points
5 comments3 min readEA link
(blog.jonasmoss.com)

AI X-Risk: In­te­grat­ing on the Shoulders of Giants

TD_PilditchNov 1, 2022, 4:07 PM
34 points
0 comments47 min readEA link

[Stats4EA] Uncer­tain Probabilities

matthewpMay 26, 2020, 9:40 PM
25 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

Quan­tum com­put­ing timelines

Jaime SevillaSep 15, 2020, 2:15 PM
28 points
6 comments3 min readEA link

EA Sur­vey 2020 Series: Dona­tion Data

david_reinsteinOct 26, 2021, 3:31 PM
49 points
4 comments48 min readEA link

Prospect­ing for Gold (Owen Cot­ton-Bar­ratt)

EA GlobalNov 18, 2016, 12:11 PM
44 points
5 comments21 min readEA link

Prob­a­bil­ity dis­tri­bu­tions of Cost-Effec­tive­ness can be misleading

Lorenzo Buonanno🔸Jul 18, 2022, 5:42 PM
70 points
49 comments1 min readEA link

Use Nor­mal Predictions

Jan Christian RefsgaardJan 9, 2022, 5:52 PM
12 points
1 comment6 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

[Question] When should the in­verse-var­i­ance method be ap­plied to dis­tri­bu­tions?

Vasco Grilo🔸Jun 14, 2022, 2:33 PM
5 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

Statis­tics for Lazy Peo­ple, Part 1

HmashMar 29, 2021, 10:59 AM
44 points
3 comments5 min readEA link

Poli­ti­cal Science Quan­ti­ta­tive Meth­ods and EA

Mahendra PrasadSep 16, 2022, 11:28 PM
12 points
1 comment4 min readEA link

[Question] Sam­ple size and clus­ter­ing ad­vice needed

brb243Jul 29, 2020, 2:21 PM
15 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

How to de­ter­mine dis­tri­bu­tion pa­ram­e­ters from quantiles

Vasco Grilo🔸May 30, 2022, 3:20 PM
23 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

Amer­ica’s 100 Char­i­ties re­ceiv­ing most donations

Pat Myron 🔸Jan 22, 2023, 6:13 PM
28 points
2 comments1 min readEA link
(www.forbes.com)

Vi­su­al­i­sa­tion of Prob­a­bil­ity Mass

brookJan 25, 2023, 3:09 PM
25 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

Iqisa: A Library For Han­dling Fore­cast­ing Datasets

niplavApr 14, 2023, 3:15 PM
46 points
4 comments2 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­ing Stan­ford’s new Hu­mane & Sus­tain­able Food Lab

MMathur🔸Apr 30, 2023, 1:14 AM
85 points
12 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] Does study­ing stats rather than maths re­duce im­pact­ful ca­reer op­tions?

Transient AltruistSep 15, 2023, 4:08 PM
2 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Prior X%—<1%: A quan­tified ‘epistemic sta­tus’ of your pre­dic­tion.

tcelferactJun 2, 2023, 3:51 PM
11 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Why Cost-Effec­tive­ness ≠ Effec­tive­ness/​Cost

No longer EA-affiliatedDec 17, 2023, 8:52 AM
0 points
5 comments3 min readEA link
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