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Exaggerating the risks (Part 20: AI 2027 timelines forecast, benchmarks and gaps) | Reflective Altruism

Unofficial Reflective Altruism Cross-Poster1 Jan 2026 23:32 UTC

14 points

6 comments18 min readEA link

(reflectivealtruism.com)

Starting a Spanish-language AI Safety Newsletter (Looking for feedback and collaborators)

Osmani1 Jan 2026 19:27 UTC

14 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(substack.com)

To Publish, Or Not To Publish, That Is Not The Question Where To Publish Is The Question

Kariema El Touny1 Jan 2026 16:03 UTC

3 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

ML Engineer—MIT AI Risk Initiative, Contractor, Part-time, 6-months

PeterSlattery1 Jan 2026 14:23 UTC

10 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

AGI and the structural foundations of democracy and the rule-based international order

PabloAMC 🔸1 Jan 2026 12:07 UTC

33 points

1 comment10 min readEA link

(pabloamc.substack.com)

Open thread: 2026 Q1 (January—March)

Toby Tremlett🔹1 Jan 2026 8:05 UTC

7 points

26 comments1 min readEA link

Why I Donate: A Personal Story

Stien1 Jan 2026 1:48 UTC

153 points

9 comments9 min readEA link

On the last day of 2025: A high-leverage opportunity to fund democratic infrastructure

Brian Blend 31 Dec 2025 18:12 UTC

7 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

I don’t believe in moral licensing

ColdButtonIssues31 Dec 2025 16:32 UTC

20 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

GWWC is hiring a Research Director

Giving What We Can🔸31 Dec 2025 0:24 UTC

31 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

Where are the Giving What We Can team donating in 2025?

Giving What We Can🔸30 Dec 2025 22:38 UTC

62 points

1 comment5 min readEA link

(www.givingwhatwecan.org)

Should AI Safety Funders Require Governance Documentation?

WillPearson30 Dec 2025 22:17 UTC

4 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Taking Lessons from a Year of Aid Cuts into 2026

GiveWell30 Dec 2025 21:07 UTC

14 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Don’t Sell Stock to Donate

Jeff Kaufman 🔸30 Dec 2025 19:54 UTC

99 points

18 comments2 min readEA link

Remote opportunity: Scaling Altruism is hiring a part-time Operations Lead (apply by January 18th!)

Milan_A30 Dec 2025 18:09 UTC

13 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

Compatibilism for Claude

Richard Y Chappell🔸30 Dec 2025 15:20 UTC

35 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

(www.goodthoughts.blog)

Philosophical Incuriosity (AI edition)

Richard Y Chappell🔸30 Dec 2025 15:18 UTC

5 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

(www.goodthoughts.blog)

2025 Highlight-o-thon: Oops! All Bests

80000_Hours30 Dec 2025 15:11 UTC

19 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

The Inescapability of Altruism

readvatsal30 Dec 2025 14:47 UTC

2 points

1 comment3 min readEA link

(www.readvatsal.com)

The Most Neglected Intervention in Effective Altruism: Electoral Reform

Matt Koesters30 Dec 2025 13:44 UTC

15 points

6 comments15 min readEA link

From “Opportunistic” to Intentional: How Finemind Built a Scale Strategy (and What We’d Love Feedback On)

Pavel Reppo30 Dec 2025 13:39 UTC

24 points

3 comments3 min readEA link

Quick polls on AGI doom

Denkenberger🔸30 Dec 2025 5:28 UTC

32 points

10 comments4 min readEA link

Shared Dynamics, Divergent Feelings: 100 HRLS vs Pure-Surge Twins in a Developmental AI System

Petra Vojtassakova30 Dec 2025 4:04 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readEA link

End-of year donation taxes 101

Zach Stein-Perlman30 Dec 2025 2:29 UTC

25 points

2 comments3 min readEA link

(www.lesswrong.com)

In a discouraging world, you can afford to change things

Julia_Wise🔸30 Dec 2025 1:39 UTC

75 points

5 comments3 min readEA link

Year-End Reflection (2025): Biosecurity Ideas I Was Unable to Execute—and Why They Still Matter

Nnaemeka Emmanuel Nnadi30 Dec 2025 0:56 UTC

11 points

3 comments3 min readEA link

24% of the US public is now aware of AI xrisk

Otto29 Dec 2025 22:13 UTC

28 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] What does AI Safety currently need most that isn’t being done?

Prometheus29 Dec 2025 16:02 UTC

21 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

The x-risk case for exercise: to have the most impact, the world needs you at your best

Kat Woods 🔶 ⏸️29 Dec 2025 15:37 UTC

45 points

3 comments1 min readEA link

Beyond GiveWell: Higher-Variance Global Development Funding Opportunities

DavidNash29 Dec 2025 14:54 UTC

94 points

11 comments9 min readEA link

(gdea.substack.com)

Stratified Safety: a Defensive Framework for Advocacy

Allen Lu 🔶29 Dec 2025 12:45 UTC

19 points

1 comment11 min readEA link

Seantience: a documentary exploring the capacity to feel of aquatic animals

Animal_Ethics29 Dec 2025 12:43 UTC

18 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

PrincInt (PIBBSS) Opportunities: Summer Fellowship, Postdoc, and Ops Role (Deadlines in January)

Dušan D. Nešić (Dushan)29 Dec 2025 12:12 UTC

6 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

ALTER Israel Semiannual Update—End of 2025

Davidmanheim29 Dec 2025 9:25 UTC

20 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Developing more efficient moral heuristics

Roman Ross29 Dec 2025 4:56 UTC

3 points

3 comments3 min readEA link

Effective Altruism should mean “doing good better”

Peter Berggren🔸28 Dec 2025 22:19 UTC

24 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Some reflections on creating an Effective Coworking Discord Server

Kashvi Mulchandani28 Dec 2025 17:15 UTC

9 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

Don’t stop being an EA because you dislike EAs. You don’t have to interact with most EAs. Just the ones you like.

Kat Woods 🔶 ⏸️28 Dec 2025 16:16 UTC

141 points

3 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How to compare theories of change in animal welfare?

PabloAMC 🔸28 Dec 2025 11:29 UTC

26 points

11 comments2 min readEA link

Things Going Surprisingly Well in AI (2025 Review)

Jonas K28 Dec 2025 9:45 UTC

10 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

iCAPES: Inhumane Competitivist AI-economics-accelerated Political Economy Spiral

bhrdwj🔸28 Dec 2025 8:33 UTC

3 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

Self-driving cars aren’t nearly a solved problem

Yarrow Bouchard 🔸28 Dec 2025 0:05 UTC

56 points

12 comments17 min readEA link

(strangecosmos.substack.com)

EAGxAustralasia 2025 Retrospective—It went well and we learnt things that might be useful for you

TJPHutton🔸27 Dec 2025 22:25 UTC

49 points

6 comments20 min readEA link

A Stick Without Much Carrot: Why Dreams of a Bright AI Future Matter

JessMasterson27 Dec 2025 21:43 UTC

9 points

0 comments8 min readEA link

A Conflict Between AI Alignment and Philosophical Competence

Wei Dai27 Dec 2025 21:32 UTC

41 points

2 comments2 min readEA link

Enhance Funding Applications: Share Utility Function Over Money (+Tool)

plex27 Dec 2025 13:02 UTC

17 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

Burnout, depression, and AI safety: some concrete mental health strategies

Kat Woods 🔶 ⏸️26 Dec 2025 19:52 UTC

9 points

1 comment4 min readEA link

Unknown Knowns: Five Ideas You Can’t Unsee

Linch26 Dec 2025 19:20 UTC

32 points

14 comments6 min readEA link

(linch.substack.com)

Epistemics (Part 10: The nontrivial probability gambit) | Reflective Altruism

Unofficial Reflective Altruism Cross-Poster26 Dec 2025 18:29 UTC

26 points

24 comments11 min readEA link

(reflectivealtruism.com)

Benjamin Jones’ review of “Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?”

Vasco Grilo🔸26 Dec 2025 17:28 UTC

22 points

0 comments19 min readEA link

(docs.google.com)