RSS

Cog­ni­tive bias

TagLast edit: 25 Apr 2022 22:31 UTC by Leo

A cognitive bias is a systematic deviation from ideal reasoning.

Further reading

Yudkowsky, Eliezer (2008) Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgement of global risks, in Nick Bostrom & Milan M. Čirkovič (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 91–119.

Related entries

debunking argument | inside vs. outside view | rationality | rationality community | scope neglect | speciesism | status quo bias

Affec­tive fore­cast­ing: The challenge of pre­dict­ing fu­ture feel­ings and the im­pli­ca­tions for global pri­ori­ties research

Matt Coleman🔹17 Feb 2022 20:36 UTC
57 points
3 comments20 min readEA link

New Book: “Rea­soned Poli­tics” + Why I have writ­ten a book about politics

Magnus Vinding3 Mar 2022 11:31 UTC
95 points
9 comments5 min readEA link

The mo­ti­vated rea­son­ing cri­tique of effec­tive altruism

Linch14 Sep 2021 20:43 UTC
285 points
59 comments23 min readEA link

AI Risk and Sur­vivor­ship Bias—How An­dreessen and LeCun got it wrong

stepanlos14 Jul 2023 17:10 UTC
5 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

Be­ware fric­tions from al­tru­is­tic value differences

Magnus Vinding1 Dec 2022 18:58 UTC
97 points
7 comments5 min readEA link

Ex­pert trap: Ways out (Part 3 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Pawel Sysiak22 Jul 2023 13:05 UTC
2 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

The availa­bil­ity bias in job hunting

Vaidehi Agarwalla 🔸30 Apr 2022 14:53 UTC
105 points
4 comments7 min readEA link

The Im­por­tance-Avoidance Effect

davidhartsough16 Sep 2021 23:16 UTC
51 points
14 comments10 min readEA link

Po­ten­tial down­sides of us­ing ex­plicit probabilities

MichaelA🔸20 Jan 2020 2:14 UTC
57 points
22 comments18 min readEA link

Bind­ing Fuzzies and Utilons Together

eleni25 Apr 2020 16:28 UTC
40 points
9 comments8 min readEA link

Poli­ti­cal De­bi­as­ing and the Poli­ti­cal Bias Test

Stefan_Schubert11 Sep 2015 14:52 UTC
4 points
7 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Do you have a duty to point out an­other’s cog­ni­tive bias?

davidps29 Mar 2024 10:13 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

Moloch’s Toolbox (1/​2)

EliezerYudkowsky4 Nov 2017 21:47 UTC
13 points
10 comments34 min readEA link

David Man­ley: De­cou­pling — a tech­nique for re­duc­ing bias

EA Global25 Oct 2020 6:56 UTC
7 points
0 comments13 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Com­par­a­tive Bias

Joey 🔸5 Nov 2014 5:57 UTC
7 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Why I’m skep­ti­cal about un­proven causes (and you should be too)

Peter Wildeford7 Aug 2013 4:00 UTC
54 points
1 comment11 min readEA link

Ra­tion­al­ity vs. Ra­tion­al­iza­tion: Reflect­ing on mo­ti­vated beliefs

alexlintz26 Nov 2018 5:39 UTC
31 points
2 comments4 min readEA link

Scope Insensitivity

EA Handbook13 May 2007 23:08 UTC
36 points
1 comment2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

The be­havi­oural sci­ence of donat­ing to char­ity: Why we some­times fail to do the most good we can, and what can be done about it

JulianHazell23 Dec 2020 0:23 UTC
8 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(www.givingwhatwecan.org)

In­visi­ble im­pact loss (and why we can be too er­ror-averse)

Lizka6 Oct 2022 15:08 UTC
137 points
15 comments8 min readEA link

Database of ex­is­ten­tial risk estimates

MichaelA🔸15 Apr 2020 12:43 UTC
130 points
37 comments5 min readEA link

Ste­fan Schu­bert: Why aren’t peo­ple donat­ing more effec­tively?

EA Global8 Jun 2018 7:15 UTC
11 points
0 comments9 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Re­ac­tive de­val­u­a­tion: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt30 Dec 2022 9:02 UTC
2 points
9 comments1 min readEA link

Plan­ning and doc­u­men­ta­tion: should we do more (or less)?

david_reinstein2 Jan 2023 17:35 UTC
4 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Re­duc­ing the neart­erm risk of hu­man ex­tinc­tion is not as­tro­nom­i­cally cost-effec­tive?

Vasco Grilo🔸9 Jun 2024 8:02 UTC
20 points
37 comments8 min readEA link

What cog­ni­tive bi­ases feel like from the inside

EA Handbook27 Jul 2022 23:13 UTC
33 points
6 comments5 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Crises re­veal centralisation

Vasco Grilo🔸26 Mar 2024 18:00 UTC
31 points
2 comments5 min readEA link
(stefanschubert.substack.com)

Con­trol­ling for a thinker’s big idea

Vasco Grilo🔸21 Oct 2023 7:56 UTC
60 points
11 comments8 min readEA link
(magnusvinding.com)

Four mind­set dis­agree­ments be­hind ex­is­ten­tial risk dis­agree­ments in ML

RobBensinger11 Apr 2023 4:53 UTC
61 points
2 comments9 min readEA link

Three Bi­ases That Made Me Believe in AI Risk

beth​13 Feb 2019 23:22 UTC
41 points
20 comments3 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­tion: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt27 Dec 2022 10:27 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Three tricky bi­ases: hu­man bias, ex­is­tence bias, and happy bias

Steven Rouk2 Feb 2024 14:20 UTC
51 points
0 comments11 min readEA link

[Question] What should we have thought about FTX’s busi­ness prac­tices?

smountjoy10 Dec 2022 17:10 UTC
33 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

Chris­tian Tarsney on fu­ture bias and a pos­si­ble solu­tion to moral fanaticism

80000_Hours5 May 2021 19:38 UTC
7 points
0 comments113 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] Insen­si­bil­ità alla por­tata: quando non con­sid­e­ri­amo quanti hanno bi­sogno del nos­tro aiuto

EA Italy23 Dec 2022 1:48 UTC
2 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Curse of knowl­edge and Naive re­al­ism: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt31 Dec 2022 13:33 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Sulla solidarietà

EA Italy23 Dec 2022 1:48 UTC
2 points
0 comments10 min readEA link

Sta­tus quo bias; Sys­tem justification

Remmelt3 Jan 2023 2:50 UTC
4 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Nor­malcy bias and Base rate ne­glect: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt4 Jan 2023 3:16 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Sum­mary of Eliezer Yud­kowsky’s “Cog­ni­tive Bi­ases Po­ten­tially Affect­ing Judg­ment of Global Risks”

Damin Curtis🔹7 Nov 2023 18:19 UTC
5 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

Illu­sion of truth effect and Am­bi­guity effect: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt5 Jan 2023 4:05 UTC
1 point
1 comment1 min readEA link

An­chor­ing fo­cal­ism and the Iden­ti­fi­able vic­tim effect: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt7 Jan 2023 9:59 UTC
−2 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Ra­tion­al­ity Policies

Elliot Temple17 Nov 2022 17:39 UTC
10 points
0 comments16 min readEA link
(criticalfallibilism.com)

The State of the World — and Why Mon­keys are Smarter than You

JSOD2 May 2021 10:49 UTC
7 points
6 comments6 min readEA link

The Wages of North-At­lantic Bias

Sach Wry19 Aug 2022 12:34 UTC
8 points
2 comments17 min readEA link

Think­ing of Con­ve­nience as an Eco­nomic Term

Ozzie Gooen5 May 2023 19:09 UTC
28 points
5 comments12 min readEA link

A com­mon failure for foxes

RobBensinger14 Oct 2022 22:51 UTC
22 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Ex­pert trap: What is it? (Part 1 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Pawel Sysiak6 Jun 2023 15:05 UTC
3 points
0 comments8 min readEA link

How Con­fir­ma­tion Bias Put An In­no­cent Man In Pri­son For 16 Years

Jared10121 Oct 2023 10:29 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

Ex­pert trap (Part 2 of 3) – how hind­sight, hi­er­ar­chy, and con­fir­ma­tion bi­ases break con­duc­tivity and ac­cu­racy of knowledge

Pawel Sysiak9 Jun 2023 22:53 UTC
3 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

Refin­ing My Mo­ral Values Us­ing Steel­man Solitaire

Evan LaForge2 Feb 2024 10:07 UTC
19 points
3 comments9 min readEA link

Band­wagon effect: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt28 Dec 2022 7:54 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

New Cause Area: Steer­ing and Sta­bil­is­ing Sta­tus Games

Wim12 Aug 2022 1:30 UTC
8 points
4 comments9 min readEA link

Psy­cholog­i­cal Ob­sta­cles to Do­ing Good (Bet­ter)

michel23 Aug 2022 19:31 UTC
39 points
4 comments13 min readEA link

Como são vie­ses cog­ni­tivos vis­tos por den­tro?

AE Brasil / EA Brazil20 Jul 2023 18:48 UTC
4 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Value of Life: VSL Es­ti­mates vs Com­mu­nity Per­spec­tive Evaluations

Joel Tan🔸6 Sep 2022 14:35 UTC
53 points
4 comments4 min readEA link

Pro­jects that raise san­ity waterline

Radek Matěj28 Oct 2022 19:54 UTC
7 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] Come per­cepi­amo i nos­tri bias cognitivi

EA Italy23 Dec 2022 1:49 UTC
4 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Mere ex­po­sure effect: Bias in Eval­u­at­ing AGI X-Risks

Remmelt27 Dec 2022 14:05 UTC
4 points
1 comment1 min readEA link