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Rationality

TagLast edit: 5 May 2021 15:18 UTC by EA Wiki assistant

Use the Rationality tag for posts about trying to think more clearly in general (not just about a particular cause, intervention, etc.)

This tag can cover personal rationality (e.g. making better decisions or predictions) as well as group or movement-level rationality (e.g. how the EA movement can do a better job of estimating the cost-effectiveness of an intervention).

Related entries

cognitive bias

Use re­silience, in­stead of im­pre­ci­sion, to com­mu­ni­cate uncertainty

Gregory_Lewis18 Jul 2020 12:09 UTC
84 points
32 comments7 min readEA link

Po­ten­tial down­sides of us­ing ex­plicit probabilities

MichaelA20 Jan 2020 2:14 UTC
33 points
20 comments18 min readEA link

Some thoughts on defer­ence and in­side-view models

Buck28 May 2020 5:37 UTC
114 points
31 comments10 min readEA link

Why we should err in both directions

Owen_Cotton-Barratt21 Aug 2014 2:23 UTC
7 points
0 commentsEA link

[Question] What are some low-in­for­ma­tion pri­ors that you find prac­ti­cally use­ful for think­ing about the world?

Linch7 Aug 2020 4:38 UTC
58 points
31 comments1 min readEA link

No, it’s not the in­cen­tives — it’s you

Aaron Gertler25 Jan 2021 6:50 UTC
23 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(www.talyarkoni.org)

Jess Whit­tle­stone: Ra­tion­al­ity and effec­tive altruism

EA Global28 Aug 2015 17:21 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

In defence of epistemic modesty

Gregory_Lewis29 Oct 2017 19:15 UTC
93 points
49 commentsEA link

“Good judge­ment” and its components

Owen_Cotton-Barratt19 Aug 2020 23:30 UTC
61 points
11 comments4 min readEA link

Ret­ro­spec­tive on Teach­ing Ra­tion­al­ity Workshops

Neel Nanda3 Jan 2021 17:15 UTC
36 points
7 comments36 min readEA link

In­tegrity and ac­countabil­ity are core parts of ra­tio­nal­ity [LW-Cross­post]

Habryka23 Jul 2019 0:14 UTC
53 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

How might we be wildly wrong?

William_MacAskill4 Sep 2013 19:19 UTC
3 points
0 commentsEA link

Us­ing a Spread­sheet to Make Good De­ci­sions: Five Examples

Peter_Hurford26 Nov 2016 2:21 UTC
58 points
6 commentsEA link

Ex­pected value un­der nor­ma­tive uncertainty

G Gordon Worley III8 Jun 2020 15:45 UTC
14 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(philpapers.org)

How to treat prob­lems of un­known difficulty

Owen_Cotton-Barratt30 Jul 2014 2:57 UTC
3 points
0 commentsEA link

Six Ways To Get Along With Peo­ple Who Are To­tally Wrong*

Robert_Wiblin24 Feb 2015 12:41 UTC
54 points
19 commentsEA link

Why I’m skep­ti­cal about un­proven causes (and you should be too)

Peter_Hurford7 Aug 2013 4:00 UTC
34 points
0 commentsEA link

Be­ware sur­pris­ing and sus­pi­cious convergence

Gregory_Lewis24 Jan 2016 19:11 UTC
67 points
13 commentsEA link

The Iso­la­tion As­sump­tion of Ex­pected Utility Max­i­miza­tion (Cross­post from LessWrong)

poliboni4 Aug 2020 19:48 UTC
8 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

I knew a bit about mis­in­for­ma­tion and fact-check­ing in 2017. AMA, if you’re re­ally des­per­ate.

MichaelA11 May 2020 9:35 UTC
20 points
17 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] How can good gen­er­al­ist judg­ment be differ­en­ti­ated from skill at fore­cast­ing?

Linch21 Aug 2020 23:13 UTC
22 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

How to think about an un­cer­tain fu­ture: les­sons from other sec­tors & mis­takes of longter­mist EAs

weeatquince5 Sep 2020 12:51 UTC
35 points
30 comments14 min readEA link

Sum­mary of Ev­i­dence, De­ci­sion, and Causality

Denis Drescher5 Sep 2020 20:23 UTC
17 points
0 comments44 min readEA link
(impartial-priorities.org)

Hedg­ing against deep and moral uncertainty

MichaelStJules12 Sep 2020 23:44 UTC
43 points
10 comments9 min readEA link

Judge­ment as a key need in EA

Benjamin_Todd12 Sep 2020 14:48 UTC
30 points
16 comments1 min readEA link

[Link] “Where are all the suc­cess­ful ra­tio­nal­ists?”

Milan_Griffes17 Oct 2020 19:59 UTC
32 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

What if you’re work­ing on the wrong cause? Pre­limi­nary thoughts on how long to spend ex­plor­ing vs ex­ploit­ing.

Kat Woods6 Feb 2017 22:13 UTC
25 points
3 commentsEA link

[Question] How might bet­ter col­lec­tive de­ci­sion-mak­ing back­fire?

Denis Drescher13 Dec 2020 11:44 UTC
32 points
21 comments2 min readEA link

Even Allo­ca­tion Strat­egy un­der High Model Ambiguity

MichaelStJules31 Dec 2020 9:10 UTC
14 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

10 Habits I recom­mend (2020)

Michelle_Hutchinson2 Jan 2021 17:15 UTC
83 points
16 comments3 min readEA link

Web of virtue the­sis [re­search note]

Owen_Cotton-Barratt1 Jan 2021 16:21 UTC
48 points
1 comment9 min readEA link

Hilary Greaves: The col­lec­tivist cri­tique of the EA movement

Aaron Gertler19 Jan 2021 13:18 UTC
32 points
7 comments1 min readEA link
(users.ox.ac.uk)

Defer­ence for Bayesians

Halstead13 Feb 2021 12:33 UTC
92 points
30 comments7 min readEA link

Lay­man’s Sum­mary of Re­solv­ing Pas­cal­lian De­ci­sion Prob­lems with Stochas­tic Dominance

Ben_West12 Mar 2021 3:51 UTC
36 points
11 comments5 min readEA link

Dun­can Sa­bien: Man­age your per­sonal autopilot

EA Global8 Jun 2018 7:15 UTC
8 points
0 comments25 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Gre­gory Lewis and Oliver Habryka: Trust­ing experts

EA Global8 Jun 2018 7:15 UTC
8 points
0 comments38 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Joey Savoie: Tools for de­ci­sion making

EA Global13 Jun 2020 8:12 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

AMA: Ian David Moss, strat­egy con­sul­tant to foun­da­tions and other institutions

IanDavidMoss2 Mar 2021 16:55 UTC
40 points
28 comments1 min readEA link

Spencer Green­berg: De­ci­sion-mak­ing work­shop — learn how to make bet­ter decisions

EA Global25 Oct 2020 5:48 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

David Man­ley: De­cou­pling — a tech­nique for re­duc­ing bias

EA Global25 Oct 2020 6:56 UTC
6 points
0 comments13 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

David Man­ley: Gen­tle Bayesian updating

EA Global25 Oct 2020 6:56 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Strong Ev­i­dence is Common

Mark Xu14 Mar 2021 1:19 UTC
49 points
7 comments1 min readEA link
(markxu.com)

Dun­can Sa­bien: Con­vinced, not con­vinc­ing (Bos­ton)

EA Global2 Jun 2017 8:48 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

The ques­tion of ev­i­dence (Clearer Think­ing)

EA Introductory Program1 Jan 2021 11:46 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

Se­quence think­ing vs. cluster thinking

GiveWell25 Jul 2016 10:43 UTC
4 points
0 comments28 min readEA link
(blog.givewell.org)

Epistea Sum­mer Ex­per­i­ment (ESE)

nora24 Jan 2020 10:51 UTC
21 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Scope Insensitivity

EA Introductory Program13 May 2007 23:08 UTC
17 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

The Cog­ni­tive Science of Rationality

lukeprog12 Sep 2011 10:35 UTC
9 points
0 comments16 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Real­ity has a sur­pris­ing amount of detail

Aaron Gertler11 Apr 2021 21:41 UTC
53 points
0 comments9 min readEA link
(johnsalvatier.org)

Thoughts on do­ing good through non-stan­dard EA ca­reer pathways

Buck30 Dec 2019 2:06 UTC
159 points
12 comments12 min readEA link

Ben Hoff­man: Ra­tion­al­ity II

EA Global28 Aug 2015 15:37 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Matt Fal­lshaw: Ra­tion­al­ity I

EA Global28 Aug 2015 15:25 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Efforts to Im­prove the Ac­cu­racy of Our Judg­ments and Fore­casts (Open Philan­thropy)

EA Introductory Program25 Oct 2016 10:09 UTC
11 points
0 comments29 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

[Question] Is there any ev­i­dence that any method of de­bi­as­ing, achiev­ing ra­tio­nal­ity can work or is even pos­si­ble?

zer031 May 2021 3:53 UTC
−15 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

[Link] We run the Cen­ter for Ap­plied Ra­tion­al­ity, AMA

Adam_Scholl20 Dec 2019 9:51 UTC
27 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

[Question] Im­pacts of ra­tio­nal fic­tion?

vn25624 Jun 2020 16:25 UTC
29 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

Del­e­gate a forecast

amandango26 Jul 2020 5:05 UTC
41 points
43 comments2 min readEA link

De­liber­a­tion May Im­prove De­ci­sion-Making

Neil_Dullaghan5 Nov 2019 0:34 UTC
61 points
12 comments44 min readEA link

A Model of Ra­tional Policy: When Is a Goal “Good”?

FCCC10 Oct 2020 16:11 UTC
4 points
0 comments17 min readEA link

A tech­ni­cal note: Bayesi­anism is not logic, statis­tics is not rationality

jonathanstray6 Sep 2016 15:47 UTC
1 point
7 commentsEA link

New book: Mo­ral Uncer­tainty by MacAskill, Ord & Bykvist

frankieaw10 Sep 2020 16:22 UTC
85 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Ex­pected value the­ory is fa­nat­i­cal, but that’s a good thing

HaydenW21 Sep 2020 8:48 UTC
52 points
20 comments5 min readEA link

[Out­dated] In­tro­duc­ing the Stock Is­sues Frame­work: The INT Frame­work’s Cousin and an “Ad­vanced” Cost-Benefit Anal­y­sis Framework

Harrison D3 Oct 2020 7:18 UTC
14 points
0 comments8 min readEA link

Univer­sal cost-effec­tive­ness calculator

brb24311 Oct 2020 13:54 UTC
21 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

LessWrong is now a book, available for pre-or­der!

jacobjacob4 Dec 2020 20:42 UTC
48 points
1 comment10 min readEA link

CFAR Work­shop in Hindsight

markus_over13 Dec 2020 16:18 UTC
43 points
4 comments11 min readEA link

The be­havi­oural sci­ence of donat­ing to char­ity: Why we some­times fail to do the most good we can, and what can be done about it

julianhazell23 Dec 2020 0:23 UTC
6 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(www.givingwhatwecan.org)

Im­prov­ing In­sti­tu­tional De­ci­sion-Mak­ing: a new work­ing group

IanDavidMoss28 Dec 2020 5:47 UTC
134 points
24 comments10 min readEA link

One’s Fu­ture Be­hav­ior as a Do­main of Calibration

markus_over31 Dec 2020 15:48 UTC
17 points
6 comments10 min readEA link

Ra­tional al­tru­ism and risk aversion

Stijn17 Feb 2021 12:33 UTC
6 points
0 comments10 min readEA link

Some blindspots in ra­tio­nal­ity and effec­tive altruism

remmelt21 Mar 2021 18:01 UTC
66 points
5 comments13 min readEA link

[3-hour pod­cast] Michael Hue­mer on episte­mol­ogy, metaethics, EA, util­i­tar­i­anism and in­finite ethics

Gus Docker27 Mar 2021 9:04 UTC
30 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Name for the larger EA+ad­ja­cent ecosys­tem?

RyanCarey18 Mar 2021 14:21 UTC
25 points
20 comments1 min readEA link

Ra­tion­al­ity vs. Ra­tion­al­iza­tion: Reflect­ing on mo­ti­vated beliefs

alexlintz26 Nov 2018 5:39 UTC
31 points
2 commentsEA link

The TUILS Frame­work for Im­prov­ing Pro-Con Analysis

Harrison D8 Apr 2021 1:37 UTC
9 points
1 comment16 min readEA link

How to come to bet­ter con­clu­sions by play­ing steel­man solitaire

Kat Woods13 Nov 2019 13:00 UTC
33 points
4 comments5 min readEA link

How to change minds

abergal11 Jun 2020 10:15 UTC
32 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Learn­ing to ask ac­tion-rele­vant questions

Ronja_Lutz28 Dec 2019 19:26 UTC
33 points
8 comments7 min readEA link

Take care with no­ta­tion for un­cer­tain quantities

Gregory_Lewis16 Sep 2020 19:26 UTC
38 points
2 comments5 min readEA link

De­bate and Effec­tive Altru­ism: Friends or Foes?

TenaThau10 Nov 2018 18:33 UTC
29 points
7 commentsEA link

The Righ­teous Mind book review

Justis5 Sep 2018 18:08 UTC
17 points
1 commentEA link

Statis­tics for Lazy Peo­ple, Part 2

Hamish Huggard14 Apr 2021 12:15 UTC
15 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

On Sleep Pro­cras­ti­na­tion: Go­ing To Bed At A Rea­son­able Hour

iamef16 Apr 2021 23:31 UTC
34 points
6 comments9 min readEA link

The Tur­ing Test pod­cast #8: Spencer Greenberg

Holly_Elmore13 May 2019 15:30 UTC
24 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

How to Un­der­stand and Miti­gate Risk (Cross­post from LessWrong)

Halffull12 Mar 2019 10:24 UTC
17 points
7 comments16 min readEA link

“En­ti­tle­ment to be­lieve” is lack­ing in Effec­tive Altru­ism (by An­drew Critch)

Roxanne_Heston5 Jul 2016 0:06 UTC
14 points
0 commentsEA link

How best to ag­gre­gate judge­ments about dona­tions?

Gregory_Lewis12 Apr 2015 4:19 UTC
5 points
3 commentsEA link

Why effec­tive al­tru­ism used to be like ev­i­dence-based medicine. But isn’t anymore

JamesSnowden12 Aug 2015 15:13 UTC
12 points
15 commentsEA link
No comments.