Armed conflict

TagLast edit: 29 Apr 2022 17:53 UTC by Pablo

The armed conflict tag is for posts about interstate or intrastate violence between armed groups, the drivers of such conflicts, and interventions to reduce the frequency or severity of such conflicts.

EA thoughts from Israel-Hamas war

ezrah6 Dec 2023 8:53 UTC

271 points

64 comments9 min readEA link

Brian Tse: Risks from Great Power Conflicts

EA Global11 Mar 2019 15:02 UTC

23 points

2 comments13 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

Technological developments that could increase risks from nuclear weapons: A shallow review

MichaelA9 Feb 2023 15:41 UTC

79 points

3 comments5 min readEA link

(bit.ly)

Can a war cause human extinction? Once again, not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸25 Jan 2024 7:56 UTC

67 points

29 comments18 min readEA link

How bad would nuclear winter caused by a US-Russia nuclear exchange be?

Luisa_Rodriguez20 Jun 2019 1:48 UTC

145 points

18 comments43 min readEA link

Intermediate goals for reducing risks from nuclear weapons: A shallow review (part 1/4)

MichaelA1 May 2023 15:04 UTC

35 points

0 comments11 min readEA link

(docs.google.com)

900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine

Metaculus19 Feb 2022 13:29 UTC

51 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

(metaculus.medium.com)

Intro to the book: Animal Weapons by Douglas Emlen.

Maynk0211 Oct 2023 21:26 UTC

7 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] What are effective ways to help Ukrainians right now?

Manuel Allgaier24 Feb 2022 22:20 UTC

130 points

85 comments1 min readEA link

Which nuclear wars should worry us most?

Luisa_Rodriguez16 Jun 2019 23:31 UTC

103 points

13 comments6 min readEA link

Would US and Russian nuclear forces survive a first strike?

Luisa_Rodriguez18 Jun 2019 0:28 UTC

85 points

4 comments24 min readEA link

Have we underestimated the risk of a NATO-Russia nuclear war? Can we do anything about it?

TopherHallquist9 Jul 2015 16:09 UTC

8 points

20 comments1 min readEA link

Notes on “The Myth of the Nuclear Revolution” (Lieber & Press, 2020)

DM24 May 2022 15:02 UTC

42 points

2 comments20 min readEA link

How likely is a nuclear exchange between the US and Russia?

Luisa_Rodriguez20 Jun 2019 1:49 UTC

80 points

13 comments14 min readEA link

Will the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons affect nuclear deproliferation through legal channels?

Luisa_Rodriguez6 Dec 2019 10:38 UTC

100 points

5 comments32 min readEA link

Nuclear risk, its potential long-term impacts, & doing research on that: An introductory talk

MichaelA10 Apr 2023 15:26 UTC

50 points

2 comments3 min readEA link

Survey on AI existential risk scenarios

Sam Clarke8 Jun 2021 17:12 UTC

154 points

11 comments6 min readEA link

Possible way of reducing great power war probability?

Denkenberger🔸28 Nov 2019 4:27 UTC

33 points

2 comments2 min readEA link

Notes on “Bioterror and Biowarfare” (2006)

MichaelA1 Mar 2021 9:42 UTC

29 points

6 comments4 min readEA link

Open Philanthropy Shallow Investigation: Civil Conflict Reduction

Lauren Gilbert12 Apr 2022 18:18 UTC

122 points

12 comments24 min readEA link

How likely is World War III?

Stephen Clare15 Feb 2022 15:09 UTC

122 points

22 comments22 min readEA link

AI Governance: Opportunity and Theory of Impact

Allan Dafoe17 Sep 2020 6:30 UTC

262 points

19 comments12 min readEA link

The case for not invading Crimea

kbog19 Jan 2023 6:37 UTC

12 points

16 comments19 min readEA link

A Survey of the Potential Long-term Impacts of AI

Sam Clarke18 Jul 2022 9:48 UTC

63 points

2 comments27 min readEA link

Classifying sources of AI x-risk

Sam Clarke8 Aug 2022 18:18 UTC

40 points

4 comments3 min readEA link

[Question] Is anyone looking into genocide in Sudan?

DPiepgrass24 Sep 2023 18:06 UTC

20 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

Taiwan’s military complacency.

JKitson4 Dec 2023 9:28 UTC

32 points

4 comments11 min readEA link

[Question] Which aid charity should I give to for people in Gaza?

tamgent4 Nov 2023 10:56 UTC

8 points

7 comments1 min readEA link

I’m a Former Israeli Officer. AMA

Yovel Rom10 Oct 2023 10:35 UTC

65 points

33 comments1 min readEA link

Rethinking longtermism and global development

Eevee🔹2 Sep 2022 5:28 UTC

10 points

2 comments8 min readEA link

(sunyshore.substack.com)

Research project idea: Climate, agricultural, and famine effects of nuclear conflict

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:35 UTC

17 points

2 comments4 min readEA link

Research project idea: Technological developments that could increase risks from nuclear weapons

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:28 UTC

17 points

0 comments7 min readEA link

Research project idea: Intermediate goals for nuclear risk reduction

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:25 UTC

24 points

0 comments5 min readEA link

Bear Braumoeller has passed away

Stephen Clare5 May 2023 14:06 UTC

153 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

Naive application of the ITN framework on a situation like the one in Gaza might lead us wrong

C Tilli13 Nov 2023 20:00 UTC

23 points

11 comments4 min readEA link

Questions for Reflection on Gaza

gb20 Nov 2023 6:01 UTC

15 points

18 comments2 min readEA link

Your Chance to Save Lives. Today.

LiaH13 Oct 2023 23:48 UTC

−7 points

7 comments2 min readEA link

Bryan Caplan on pacifism

Vasco Grilo🔸9 Dec 2023 8:58 UTC

10 points

4 comments7 min readEA link

(www.econlib.org)

[Question] High impact charities in Gaza or Israel?

JoelMcGuire17 Oct 2023 0:37 UTC

66 points

6 comments1 min readEA link

How to effectively help people in Palestine and Israel during the war

bluebird2718 Dec 2023 10:51 UTC

7 points

4 comments9 min readEA link

Can a conflict cause human extinction? Yet again, not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸19 Jun 2024 16:59 UTC

19 points

2 comments11 min readEA link

Exploring the consequences of Russia’s absence from the START III treaty for strategic arms reduction.

Ashley Valentina Marte12 Aug 2024 16:17 UTC

13 points

1 comment9 min readEA link

Variance of the annual conflict and epidemic/pandemic deaths as a fraction of the global population

Vasco Grilo🔸10 Sep 2024 17:02 UTC

16 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

What “Saving Private Ryan” can teach us about EA

Moritz Stumpe 🔸12 Jan 2024 15:18 UTC

18 points

6 comments5 min readEA link

Overview of Rethink Priorities’ work on risks from nuclear weapons

MichaelA10 Jun 2021 18:48 UTC

43 points

1 comment3 min readEA link

Dani Nedal: Risks from great-power competition

EA Global13 Feb 2020 22:10 UTC

20 points

0 comments16 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

How many people would be killed as a direct result of a US-Russia nuclear exchange?

Luisa_Rodriguez30 Jun 2019 3:00 UTC

97 points

17 comments52 min readEA link

EA and the Possible Decline of the US: Very Rough Thoughts

Cullen 🔸8 Jan 2021 7:30 UTC

56 points

19 comments4 min readEA link

What’s the big deal about hypersonic missiles?

jia18 May 2020 7:17 UTC

40 points

9 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] Ukraine: How a regular person can effectively help their country during war?

Valmothy26 Feb 2022 10:58 UTC

49 points

19 comments1 min readEA link

Problem areas beyond 80,000 Hours’ current priorities

Arden Koehler22 Jun 2020 12:49 UTC

276 points

62 comments15 min readEA link

Why Don’t We Use Chemical Weapons Anymore?

Dale23 Apr 2020 1:25 UTC

28 points

4 comments3 min readEA link

(acoup.blog)

Crucial questions for longtermists

MichaelA29 Jul 2020 9:39 UTC

104 points

17 comments19 min readEA link

Why those who care about catastrophic and existential risk should care about autonomous weapons

aaguirre11 Nov 2020 17:27 UTC

103 points

31 comments15 min readEA link

[Cause Exploration Prizes] Pocket Parks

Open Philanthropy29 Aug 2022 11:01 UTC

7 points

0 comments11 min readEA link

Announcing the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament

MichaelA16 Jun 2021 16:12 UTC

38 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Early Reflections and Resources on the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

SethBaum18 Mar 2022 14:54 UTC

57 points

3 comments8 min readEA link

Competition for “Fortified Essays” on nuclear risk

MichaelA17 Nov 2021 20:55 UTC

35 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

(www.metaculus.com)

Updated estimates of the severity of a nuclear war

Luisa_Rodriguez19 Dec 2019 15:11 UTC

76 points

2 comments5 min readEA link

Notes on Schelling’s “Strategy of Conflict” (1960)

MichaelA29 Jan 2021 8:56 UTC

20 points

4 comments8 min readEA link

[Question] How many times would nuclear weapons have been used if every state had them since 1950?

eca4 May 2021 15:34 UTC

16 points

13 comments1 min readEA link

Final Report of the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence (NSCAI, 2021)

MichaelA1 Jun 2021 8:19 UTC

51 points

3 comments4 min readEA link

(www.nscai.gov)

Notes on “The Bomb: Presidents, Generals, and the Secret History of Nuclear War” (2020)

MichaelA6 Feb 2021 11:10 UTC

18 points

5 comments8 min readEA link

[Question] Books / book reviews on nuclear risk, WMDs, great power war?

MichaelA15 Dec 2020 1:40 UTC

16 points

16 comments1 min readEA link

Does the US nuclear policy still target cities?

Jeffrey Ladish2 Oct 2019 17:46 UTC

32 points

0 comments10 min readEA link

Some thoughts on risks from narrow, non-agentic AI

richard_ngo19 Jan 2021 0:07 UTC

36 points

2 comments8 min readEA link

Should Effective Altruism be at war with North Korea?

BenHoffman5 May 2019 1:44 UTC

−14 points

8 comments5 min readEA link

(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Noah Taylor: Developing a research agenda for bridging existential risk and peace and conflict studies

EA Global21 Jan 2021 16:19 UTC

21 points

0 comments20 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

US House Vote on Support for Yemen War

Radical Empath Ismam12 Dec 2022 2:13 UTC

−4 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(theintercept.com)

Nuclear Risk and Philanthropic Strategy [Founders Pledge]

christian.r25 Jul 2023 20:22 UTC

83 points

15 comments76 min readEA link

(www.founderspledge.com)

Rough attempt to profile charities which support Ukrainian war relief in terms of their cost-effectiveness.

Michael27 Feb 2022 0:51 UTC

29 points

5 comments4 min readEA link

II. Triggering The Race

Maynk0224 Oct 2023 18:45 UTC

6 points

1 comment4 min readEA link

EA on nuclear war and expertise

bean28 Aug 2022 4:59 UTC

153 points

17 comments4 min readEA link

Evaluating Communal Violence from an Effective Altruist Perspective

frankfredericks13 Aug 2019 19:38 UTC

16 points

4 comments8 min readEA link

Conflict and poverty (or should we tackle poverty in nuclear contexts more?)

Sanjay6 Mar 2020 21:59 UTC

13 points

0 comments7 min readEA link

III. Running its course

Maynk024 Nov 2023 19:31 UTC

6 points

1 comment5 min readEA link

I. Starting Small

Maynk0211 Oct 2023 21:44 UTC

5 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

The Germy Paradox – The empty sky: A history of state biological weapons programs

eukaryote24 Sep 2019 5:26 UTC

24 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(eukaryotewritesblog.com)

The Germy Paradox: An Introduction

eukaryote24 Sep 2019 5:18 UTC

48 points

4 comments3 min readEA link

(eukaryotewritesblog.com)

[Question] What are the best ways to encourage de-escalation in regards to Ukraine?

oh543219 Oct 2022 11:15 UTC

13 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

A counterfactual QALY for USD 2.60–28.94?

brb2436 Sep 2020 21:45 UTC

37 points

6 comments5 min readEA link

Groundwater crisis: a threat of civilization collapse

RickJS24 Dec 2022 21:21 UTC

0 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

(drive.google.com)

IV. Parallels and Review

Maynk0227 Feb 2024 23:10 UTC

7 points

1 comment8 min readEA link

(open.substack.com)

Should someone start a grassroots campaign for USA to recognise the State of Palestine?

freedomandutility11 May 2021 15:29 UTC

−4 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

Ukraine War support and targeted sanctions

Arturo Macias11 Dec 2023 16:11 UTC

−7 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

The Germy Paradox – Filters: A taboo

eukaryote19 Oct 2019 0:14 UTC

17 points

2 comments9 min readEA link

(eukaryotewritesblog.com)

[Question] I’m interviewing Bear Braumoeller about ‘Only The Dead: The Persistence of War in the Modern Age’. What should I ask?

Robert_Wiblin19 Aug 2022 15:18 UTC

12 points

2 comments1 min readEA link

No comments.

Armed conflict

Further reading

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