A civilizational collapse (sometimes referred to as social collapse or societal collapse) is a drastic decrease in human population size, or in political, economic or social complexity, across essentially the entire world, for an extended period of time. Civilizational resilience is humanity’s capacity to resist, or recover from, civilizational collapse.
Aird, Michael (2020a) Collection of sources that seem very relevant to the topic of civilizational collapse and/or recovery.
Many additional resources on this topic.
Aird, Michael (2020b) Civilization re-emerging after a catastrophic collapse, Effective Altruism Forum, June 27.
Beckstead, Nick (2015) How much could refuges help us recover from a global catastrophe?, Futures, vol. 72, pp. 36–44.
Cotton-Barratt, Owen, Max Daniel & Anders Sandberg (2020) Defence in depth against human extinction: prevention, response, resilience, and why they all matter, Global Policy, vol. 11, pp. 271–282.
Denkenberger, David & Jeffrey Ladish (2019) Civilizational collapse: scenarios, prevention, responses, Foresight Institute, June 24.
Denkenberger, David & Joshua M. Pearce (2015) Feeding Everyone No Matter What: Managing Food Security after Global Catastrophe, Amsterdam: Academic Press.
Hanson, Robin (2008) Catastrophe, social collapse, and human extinction, in Nick Bostrom & Milan M. Ćirković (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 363–377.
Jebari, Karim (2019) Civilization re-emerging after a catastrophic collapse, EAGxNordics, April 7.
Ladish, Jeffrey (2020) Update on civilizational collapse research, Effective Altruism Forum, February 10.
Manheim, David (2020) A (very) short history of the collapse of civilizations, and why it matters, Effective Altruism Forum, August 30.
Ord, Toby (2020) The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, London: Bloomsbury Publishing.
Rodriguez, Luisa (2020) What is the likelihood that civilizational collapse would directly lead to human extinction (within decades)?, Effective Altruism Forum, December 24, 2020.
Tainter, Joseph A. (1989) The Collapse of Complex Societies, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Turchin, Alexey & Brian Patrick Green (2019) Islands as refuges for surviving global catastrophes, Foresight, vol. 21, pp. 100–117.
Wiblin, Robert & Keiran Harris (2018) We could feed all 8 billion people through a nuclear winter. Dr David Denkenberger is working to make it practical, 80,000 Hours, December 27.
Wiblin, Robert & Keiran Harris (2019) Should we leave a helpful message for future civilizations, just in case humanity dies out?, 80,000 Hours, August 5.
An interview with Paul Christiano.
Wiblin, Robert & Arden Koehler (2020) Mark Lynas on climate change, societal collapse & nuclear energy, 80,000 Hours, August 20.