Great power conflict

TagLast edit: Jul 14, 2022, 2:54 PM by Leo

A great power conflict is a military confrontation between states capable of projecting their influence on a global scale.

Evaluation

80,000 Hours rates great power conflict a “potential highest priority area”: an issue that, if more thoroughly examined, could rank as a top global challenge.^[1]

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80,000 Hours (2022) Our current list of pressing world problems, 80,000 Hours.

Modelling Great Power conflict as an existential risk factor

Stephen ClareFeb 3, 2022, 11:41 AM

122 points

22 comments19 min readEA link

Has Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Changed Your Mind?

JoelMcGuireMay 27, 2023, 6:35 PM

61 points

14 comments6 min readEA link

GDP per capita in 2050

Hauke HillebrandtMay 6, 2024, 3:14 PM

130 points

11 comments16 min readEA link

(hauke.substack.com)

Brian Tse: Risks from Great Power Conflicts

EA GlobalMar 11, 2019, 3:02 PM

23 points

2 comments13 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

Intermediate goals for reducing risks from nuclear weapons: A shallow review (part 1/4)

MichaelA🔸May 1, 2023, 3:04 PM

35 points

0 comments11 min readEA link

(docs.google.com)

Great Power Conflict

Zach Stein-PerlmanSep 15, 2021, 3:00 PM

11 points

7 comments4 min readEA link

How bad could a war get?

Stephen ClareNov 4, 2022, 9:25 AM

130 points

11 comments9 min readEA link

Technological developments that could increase risks from nuclear weapons: A shallow review

MichaelA🔸Feb 9, 2023, 3:41 PM

79 points

3 comments5 min readEA link

(bit.ly)

[Question] EA views on the AUKUS security pact?

DavidZhangSep 29, 2021, 8:24 AM

28 points

14 comments1 min readEA link

Understanding problems with U.S.-China hotlines

christian.rJun 24, 2024, 1:39 PM

11 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(thebulletin.org)

[Link Post] Russia and North Korea sign partnership deal that appears to be the strongest since the Cold War

RockwellJun 20, 2024, 2:40 AM

26 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

(apnews.com)

Possible way of reducing great power war probability?

Denkenberger🔸Nov 28, 2019, 4:27 AM

33 points

2 comments2 min readEA link

How likely is World War III?

Stephen ClareFeb 15, 2022, 3:09 PM

122 points

21 comments22 min readEA link

Dani Nedal: Risks from great-power competition

EA GlobalFeb 13, 2020, 10:10 PM

20 points

0 comments16 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

[Question] Books / book reviews on nuclear risk, WMDs, great power war?

MichaelA🔸Dec 15, 2020, 1:40 AM

16 points

16 comments1 min readEA link

[Links post] Economists Chris Blattman and Noah Smith on China, Taiwan, and the likelihood of war

Stephen ClareNov 7, 2022, 12:22 PM

74 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

(chrisblattman.com)

Problem areas beyond 80,000 Hours’ current priorities

Arden KoehlerJun 22, 2020, 12:49 PM

281 points

62 comments15 min readEA link

Towards a longtermist framework for evaluating democracy-related interventions

Tom Barnes🔸Jul 28, 2021, 1:23 PM

96 points

5 comments30 min readEA link

Noah Taylor: Developing a research agenda for bridging existential risk and peace and conflict studies

EA GlobalJan 21, 2021, 4:19 PM

21 points

0 comments20 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

[Question] Will the next global conflict be more like World War I?

FJehnMar 26, 2022, 2:57 PM

7 points

5 comments2 min readEA link

Great power conflict—problem profile (summary and highlights)

Stephen ClareJul 7, 2023, 2:40 PM

110 points

6 comments5 min readEA link

(80000hours.org)

Research project idea: Technological developments that could increase risks from nuclear weapons

MichaelA🔸Apr 15, 2023, 2:28 PM

17 points

0 comments7 min readEA link

Research project idea: Climate, agricultural, and famine effects of nuclear conflict

MichaelA🔸Apr 15, 2023, 2:35 PM

17 points

2 comments4 min readEA link

Research project idea: Intermediate goals for nuclear risk reduction

MichaelA🔸Apr 15, 2023, 2:25 PM

24 points

0 comments5 min readEA link

Bear Braumoeller has passed away

Stephen ClareMay 5, 2023, 2:06 PM

153 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

Can a conflict cause human extinction? Yet again, not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸Jun 19, 2024, 4:59 PM

19 points

2 comments11 min readEA link

Theories of Change for Track II Diplomacy [Founders Pledge]

christian.rJul 9, 2024, 1:31 PM

20 points

2 comments33 min readEA link

Can a war cause human extinction? Once again, not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸Jan 25, 2024, 7:56 AM

67 points

29 comments18 min readEA link

Cosmic AI safety

Magnus VindingDec 6, 2024, 10:32 PM

23 points

5 comments6 min readEA link

U.S. EAs Should Consider Applying to Join U.S. Diplomacy

abiolveraMay 17, 2022, 5:14 PM

115 points

22 comments8 min readEA link

Military Artificial Intelligence as Contributor to Global Catastrophic Risk

MMMaasJun 27, 2022, 10:35 AM

42 points

0 comments52 min readEA link

National Security Is Not International Security: A Critique of AGI Realism

C.K.Feb 2, 2025, 5:04 PM

44 points

2 comments36 min readEA link

(conradkunadu.substack.com)

Cooperation for AI safety must transcend geopolitical interference

Matrice JacobineFeb 16, 2025, 6:18 PM

9 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(www.scmp.com)

Anthropic teams up with Palantir and AWS to sell AI to defense customers

Matrice JacobineNov 9, 2024, 11:47 AM

28 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

(techcrunch.com)

The US expands restrictions on AI exports to China. What are the x-risk effects?

Stephen ClareOct 14, 2022, 6:17 PM

161 points

20 comments4 min readEA link

[Linkpost] Longtermists Are Pushing a New Cold War With China

Radical Empath IsmamMay 27, 2023, 6:53 AM

37 points

16 comments1 min readEA link

(jacobin.com)

Boomerang—protocol to dissolve some commitment races

Filip SondejMay 30, 2023, 4:24 PM

20 points

0 comments8 min readEA link

(www.lesswrong.com)

Taiwan’s military complacency.

JKitsonDec 4, 2023, 9:28 AM

32 points

4 comments11 min readEA link

Careless talk on US-China AI competition? (and criticism of CAIS coverage)

Oliver SourbutSep 20, 2023, 12:46 PM

52 points

19 comments1 min readEA link

(www.oliversourbut.net)

IV. Parallels and Review

Maynk02Feb 27, 2024, 11:10 PM

7 points

1 comment8 min readEA link

(open.substack.com)

Trump-Zelensky press conference just now

Profile2024Feb 28, 2025, 6:52 PM

−14 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

The Pugwash Conferences and the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty as a case study of Track II diplomacy

rani_martinSep 16, 2022, 10:42 AM

82 points

5 comments27 min readEA link

Preventing a US-China war as a policy priority

Matthew_BarnettJun 22, 2022, 6:07 PM

64 points

22 comments8 min readEA link

Sixty years after the Cuban Missile Crisis, a new era of global catastrophic risks

christian.rOct 13, 2022, 11:25 AM

31 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(thebulletin.org)

Chomsky vs. Pax Democratica

Arturo MaciasJun 25, 2024, 3:24 PM

4 points

1 comment4 min readEA link

Max Tegmark — The AGI Entente Delusion

Matrice JacobineOct 13, 2024, 5:42 PM

0 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

(www.lesswrong.com)

EA should help Tyler Cowen publish his drafted book in China

Matt BrooksJan 14, 2023, 9:10 PM

38 points

8 comments3 min readEA link

Gaps in Deterrence Theory Epistemology, RCT Shortcomings, and a Proposal for Action Alignment

Garrett EhingerFeb 17, 2023, 6:46 PM

2 points

0 comments5 min readEA link

War Between the US and China: A case study for epistemic challenges around China-related catastrophic risk

Jordan_SchneiderAug 12, 2022, 2:19 AM

76 points

17 comments43 min readEA link

THE DAY IS COMING

rogersbacon1Jul 2, 2023, 5:44 PM

−29 points

0 comments5 min readEA link

(www.secretorum.life)

The top X-factor EA neglects: destabilization of the United States

Yelnats T.J.Aug 31, 2022, 7:18 PM

33 points

2 comments18 min readEA link

The Case for Quantum Technologies

Elias X. HuberNov 14, 2024, 1:35 PM

13 points

4 comments6 min readEA link

Nuclear Risk and Philanthropic Strategy [Founders Pledge]

christian.rJul 25, 2023, 8:22 PM

83 points

15 comments76 min readEA link

(www.founderspledge.com)

We interviewed 15 China-focused researchers on how to do good research

gabriel_wagnerDec 19, 2022, 7:08 PM

49 points

4 comments23 min readEA link

No comments.

Great power conflict

Evaluation

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