RSS

Great power conflict

TagLast edit: 14 Jul 2022 14:54 UTC by Leo

A great power conflict is a military confrontation between states capable of projecting their influence on a global scale.

Evaluation

80,000 Hours rates great power conflict a “potential highest priority area”: an issue that, if more thoroughly examined, could rank as a top global challenge.[1]

Further reading

Clare, Stephen (2021) Great power conflict, Founders Pledge, November 29.

Colucci, Lamont (2015) Great power conflict: Will it return?, World Affairs, vol. 177, pp. 44–53.

Hanson, Robin (2019) Big war remains possible, Overcoming Bias, July 25.

Smith, Noah (2016) The real danger, Noahpinion, November 14.

Tse, Brian (2019) Risks from great power conflicts, Effective Altruism, March 11.

Related entries

armed conflict | global governance | peace and conflict studies | polarity | singleton | technology race

  1. ^

    80,000 Hours (2022) Our current list of pressing world problems, 80,000 Hours.

Model­ling Great Power con­flict as an ex­is­ten­tial risk factor

Stephen Clare3 Feb 2022 11:41 UTC
122 points
22 comments19 min readEA link

Brian Tse: Risks from Great Power Conflicts

EA Global11 Mar 2019 15:02 UTC
23 points
2 comments13 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

How bad could a war get?

Stephen Clare4 Nov 2022 9:25 UTC
130 points
11 comments9 min readEA link

Has Rus­sia’s In­va­sion of Ukraine Changed Your Mind?

JoelMcGuire27 May 2023 18:35 UTC
61 points
14 comments6 min readEA link

GDP per cap­ita in 2050

Hauke Hillebrandt6 May 2024 15:14 UTC
130 points
11 comments16 min readEA link
(hauke.substack.com)

Great Power Conflict

Zach Stein-Perlman15 Sep 2021 15:00 UTC
11 points
7 comments4 min readEA link

In­ter­me­di­ate goals for re­duc­ing risks from nu­clear weapons: A shal­low re­view (part 1/​4)

MichaelA1 May 2023 15:04 UTC
35 points
0 comments11 min readEA link
(docs.google.com)

Un­der­stand­ing prob­lems with U.S.-China hotlines

christian.r24 Jun 2024 13:39 UTC
11 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(thebulletin.org)

[Question] EA views on the AUKUS se­cu­rity pact?

DavidZhang29 Sep 2021 8:24 UTC
28 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

Tech­nolog­i­cal de­vel­op­ments that could in­crease risks from nu­clear weapons: A shal­low review

MichaelA9 Feb 2023 15:41 UTC
79 points
3 comments5 min readEA link
(bit.ly)

Can a con­flict cause hu­man ex­tinc­tion? Yet again, not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸19 Jun 2024 16:59 UTC
19 points
2 comments11 min readEA link

[Link Post] Rus­sia and North Korea sign part­ner­ship deal that ap­pears to be the strongest since the Cold War

Rockwell20 Jun 2024 2:40 UTC
26 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(apnews.com)

Noah Tay­lor: Devel­op­ing a re­search agenda for bridg­ing ex­is­ten­tial risk and peace and con­flict studies

EA Global21 Jan 2021 16:19 UTC
21 points
0 comments20 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

The­o­ries of Change for Track II Di­plo­macy [Founders Pledge]

christian.r9 Jul 2024 13:31 UTC
19 points
2 comments33 min readEA link

Can a war cause hu­man ex­tinc­tion? Once again, not on priors

Vasco Grilo🔸25 Jan 2024 7:56 UTC
67 points
29 comments18 min readEA link

[Question] Will the next global con­flict be more like World War I?

FJehn26 Mar 2022 14:57 UTC
7 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

Dani Nedal: Risks from great-power competition

EA Global13 Feb 2020 22:10 UTC
20 points
0 comments16 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

[Question] Books /​ book re­views on nu­clear risk, WMDs, great power war?

MichaelA15 Dec 2020 1:40 UTC
16 points
16 comments1 min readEA link

[Links post] Economists Chris Blattman and Noah Smith on China, Taiwan, and the like­li­hood of war

Stephen Clare7 Nov 2022 12:22 UTC
74 points
1 comment2 min readEA link
(chrisblattman.com)

Great power con­flict—prob­lem pro­file (sum­mary and high­lights)

Stephen Clare7 Jul 2023 14:40 UTC
110 points
6 comments5 min readEA link
(80000hours.org)

Re­search pro­ject idea: Tech­nolog­i­cal de­vel­op­ments that could in­crease risks from nu­clear weapons

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:28 UTC
17 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

Re­search pro­ject idea: Cli­mate, agri­cul­tural, and famine effects of nu­clear conflict

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:35 UTC
17 points
2 comments4 min readEA link

Re­search pro­ject idea: In­ter­me­di­ate goals for nu­clear risk reduction

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:25 UTC
24 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Bear Brau­moel­ler has passed away

Stephen Clare5 May 2023 14:06 UTC
153 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

Prob­lem ar­eas be­yond 80,000 Hours’ cur­rent pri­ori­ties

Arden Koehler22 Jun 2020 12:49 UTC
276 points
62 comments15 min readEA link

Towards a longter­mist frame­work for eval­u­at­ing democ­racy-re­lated interventions

Tom Barnes28 Jul 2021 13:23 UTC
96 points
5 comments30 min readEA link

Pos­si­ble way of re­duc­ing great power war prob­a­bil­ity?

Denkenberger🔸28 Nov 2019 4:27 UTC
33 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

How likely is World War III?

Stephen Clare15 Feb 2022 15:09 UTC
122 points
22 comments22 min readEA link

Mili­tary Ar­tifi­cial In­tel­li­gence as Con­trib­u­tor to Global Catas­trophic Risk

MMMaas27 Jun 2022 10:35 UTC
41 points
0 comments52 min readEA link

Sixty years af­ter the Cuban Mis­sile Cri­sis, a new era of global catas­trophic risks

christian.r13 Oct 2022 11:25 UTC
31 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(thebulletin.org)

The US ex­pands re­stric­tions on AI ex­ports to China. What are the x-risk effects?

Stephen Clare14 Oct 2022 18:17 UTC
155 points
20 comments4 min readEA link

U.S. EAs Should Con­sider Ap­ply­ing to Join U.S. Diplomacy

abiolvera17 May 2022 17:14 UTC
115 points
22 comments8 min readEA link

We in­ter­viewed 15 China-fo­cused re­searchers on how to do good research

gabriel_wagner19 Dec 2022 19:08 UTC
47 points
3 comments23 min readEA link

The top X-fac­tor EA ne­glects: desta­bi­liza­tion of the United States

Yelnats T.J.31 Aug 2022 19:18 UTC
33 points
2 comments18 min readEA link

War Between the US and China: A case study for epistemic challenges around China-re­lated catas­trophic risk

Jordan_Schneider12 Aug 2022 2:19 UTC
76 points
17 comments43 min readEA link

The Pug­wash Con­fer­ences and the Anti-Bal­lis­tic Mis­sile Treaty as a case study of Track II diplomacy

rani_martin16 Sep 2022 10:42 UTC
82 points
5 comments27 min readEA link

EA should help Tyler Cowen pub­lish his drafted book in China

Matt Brooks14 Jan 2023 21:10 UTC
38 points
8 comments3 min readEA link

Gaps in Deter­rence The­ory Episte­mol­ogy, RCT Short­com­ings, and a Pro­posal for Ac­tion Alignment

Garrett Ehinger17 Feb 2023 18:46 UTC
2 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

THE DAY IS COMING

rogersbacon12 Jul 2023 17:44 UTC
−29 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(www.secretorum.life)

Nu­clear Risk and Philan­thropic Strat­egy [Founders Pledge]

christian.r25 Jul 2023 20:22 UTC
83 points
15 comments76 min readEA link
(www.founderspledge.com)

[Linkpost] Longter­mists Are Push­ing a New Cold War With China

Radical Empath Ismam27 May 2023 6:53 UTC
37 points
16 comments1 min readEA link
(jacobin.com)

Boomerang—pro­to­col to dis­solve some com­mit­ment races

Filip Sondej30 May 2023 16:24 UTC
20 points
0 comments8 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Taiwan’s mil­i­tary com­pla­cency.

JKitson4 Dec 2023 9:28 UTC
32 points
4 comments11 min readEA link

Care­less talk on US-China AI com­pe­ti­tion? (and crit­i­cism of CAIS cov­er­age)

Oliver Sourbut20 Sep 2023 12:46 UTC
46 points
19 comments1 min readEA link
(www.oliversourbut.net)

IV. Par­allels and Review

Maynk0227 Feb 2024 23:10 UTC
7 points
1 comment8 min readEA link
(open.substack.com)

Chom­sky vs. Pax Democratica

Arturo Macias25 Jun 2024 15:24 UTC
4 points
1 comment4 min readEA link

Max Teg­mark — The AGI En­tente Delusion

Matrice Jacobine13 Oct 2024 17:42 UTC
0 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Prevent­ing a US-China war as a policy priority

Matthew_Barnett22 Jun 2022 18:07 UTC
64 points
22 comments8 min readEA link
No comments.