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Longtermism

TagLast edit: 10 Nov 2023 13:27 UTC by Rémi T

Longtermism is the view that positively influencing the long-term future is a key moral priority of our time.[1][2]

Longtermism may be seen as following from the conjunction of three core claims:[3]

  1. Future people matter morally.

  2. If Earth-originating intelligence is not prematurely extinguished, the vast majority of people that will ever exist will exist in the future.

  3. People alive today can predictably influence whether these people exist and how well their lives go.

Types of longtermism

Strong vs. weak longtermism

Strong longtermism holds that positively influencing the long-term future is the key moral priority of our time. This form of longtermism was introduced by Hilary Greaves and Will MacAskill,[4] and has precedents in the work of Nick Bostrom,[5][6] Nick Beckstead,[7][8] and others. The authors do not define or discuss “weak” longtermism; the contrast is rather with longtermism as such, which as noted above holds that positively influencing the long-term future is a key priority, but not necessarily the top priority.

Patient vs. urgent longtermism

This distinction can be explained in reference to the hinge of history hypothesis, i.e., the hypothesis that we are currently living at a time when humanity has unusually high influence over the long-term future. Urgent longtermists find the hypothesis plausible and, accordingly, hold that it makes sense to spend altruistic resources relatively quickly. (Altruistic resources include not just financial assets, but other resources that can accumulate and be spent deliberately in the pursuit of altruistic goals, such as credibility, career capital and coordination ability.) By contrast, patient longtermists hold that the opportunities for influence are not concentrated in the near term and, in line with this, favour investing these resources so that they can be deployed at some point in the future, when the moments of significant influence arrive.

Broad vs. targeted longtermism

This distinction between broad and targeted interventions was originally introduced by Nick Beckstead in his doctoral dissertation, On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future.[9] Targeted (or narrow) longtermism attempts to positively influence the long-term future by focusing on specific, identifiable scenarios, such as the risks of misaligned AI or an engineered pandemic. By contrast, broad longtermism tries to have a long-term influence by pursuing general approaches with the potential to be useful in a broader range of contexts, such as building effective altruism or promoting global cooperation.

Both patient and urgent longtermism, and broad and targeted longtermism, are positions that exist on a continuum. The terms “urgent”/​”patient” and “broad”/​”targeted” divide these continua into two discrete regions, similarly to how the terms “tall” and “short” divide the height continuum. These distinctions may thus be seen as uncovering an underlying dimension along which longtermism can vary. Accordingly, the more relevant questions are “How patient/​urgent should longtermism be?” or “How broad/​targeted should longtermist interventions be?”, rather than “Should longtermism be patient or urgent?” or “Should longtermism be broad or targeted?”

Other distinctions

One additional distinction sometimes made—which also originates in Greaves and MacAskill—is between axiological and deontic longtermism. (“Axiological” and “deontic” are technical terms borrowed from moral philosophy: “axiological” means “related to what is good or valuable”, and “deontic” means “related to what we ought to do or have reason to do”.) Axiological longtermism holds that positively influencing the long-term future is among the most valuable things we can do. In contrast, deontic longtermism holds that positively influencing the long-term future is among the things we have most reason to do. Sometimes these views are combined with strong longtermism, so axiological strong longtermism becomes the view that influencing the long-term future is the most valuable thing to do and deontic strong longtermism becomes the view that influencing the long-term future is the thing we have most reason to do.

Another relevant distinction, introduced by the philosophers Johan Gustafsson and Petra Kosonen, is between normative and prudential longtermism.[10] Normative longtermism is longtermism as it is normally understood, i.e., a view about what is valuable, or what we have reason to do, from an impersonal or moral perspective. However, one can also consider a form of longtermism focused on what is in a person’s self-interest. If humans could live for thousands or millions of years, it could be argued that, even from a self-interested perspective, each person should focus primarily on the long-term effects of their actions, because those effects will largely determine a person’s lifetime wellbeing.

Further reading

Balfour, Dylan (2021) Longtermism: how much should we care about the far future?, 1000-Word Philosophy: An Introductory Anthology, September 17.

Beckstead, Nick (2019) A brief argument for the overwhelming importance of shaping the far future, in Hilary Greaves & Theron Pummer (eds.) Effective Altruism: Philosophical Issues, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 80–98.

MacAskill, William (2022) What is longtermism and why does it matter?, BBC News, August 8.

MacAskill, William, Hilary Greaves & Elliott Thornley (2021) The moral case for long-term thinking, in Natalie Cargill & Tyler John (eds.) The Long View: Essays on Policy, Philanthropy, and the Long-Term Future, London: First, pp. 19–28.

Moorhouse, Fin (2021) Introduction to longtermism, Effective Altruism, January 27.

Roser, Max (2022) The future is vast: longtermism’s perspective on humanity’s past, present, and future, Our World in Data, March 15.

Todd, Benjamin (2017) Longtermism: the moral significance of future generations, 80,000 Hours, October.

Wikipedia (2021) Longtermism, Wikipedia, October 28 (updated 30 May 2022‎).

External links

Longtermism. Online introduction to longtermism.

Related entries

criticism of longtermism and existential risk studies | ethics of existential risk | existential risk | existential security | global health and wellbeing | institutions for future generations | long-range forecasting | macrostrategy | non-humans and the long-term future | patient altruism | trajectory change

  1. ^

    Ord, Toby (2020) The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, London: Bloomsbury Publishing, p. 46.

  2. ^

    MacAskill, William (2022) What We Owe the Future, New York: Basic Books.

  3. ^

    Moorhouse, Fin (2021) Introduction to longtermism, Effective Altruism, January 27.

  4. ^

    Greaves, Hilary & William Macaskill (2021) The case for strong longtermism, Global Priorities Institute, University of Oxford.

  5. ^

    Bostrom, Nick (2003) Astronomical waste: The opportunity cost of delayed technological development, Utilitas, vol. 15, pp. 308–314.

  6. ^

    Bostrom, Nick (2013) Existential risk prevention as global priority, Global Policy, vol. 4, pp. 15–31.

  7. ^

    Beckstead, Nick (2013) On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future, doctoral thesis, Rutgers University.

  8. ^

    Beckstead, Nick (2019) A brief argument for the overwhelming importance of shaping the far future, in Hilary Greaves & Theron Pummer (eds.) Effective Altruism: Philosophical Issues, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 80–98.

  9. ^

    Beckstead, Nick (2013) On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future, PhD thesis, Rutgers University.

  10. ^

    Gustafsson, Johan & Petra Kosonen (2022) ‘Prudential longtermism’, unpublished.

  11. ^

    MacAskill, William (2019) “Longtermism”, Effective Altruism Forum, July 25.

  12. ^

    Greaves, Hilary & William MacAskill (2021) The case for strong longtermism, working paper.

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199 points
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96 points
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59 points
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27 points
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56 points
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14 points
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146 points
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363 points
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15 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

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70 points
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16 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

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200 points
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11 points
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80 points
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13 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

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44 points
7 comments2 min readEA link

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15 points
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69 points
23 comments5 min readEA link

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39 points
3 comments7 min readEA link

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6 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

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137 points
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32 points
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10 comments2 min readEA link

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160 points
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75 points
10 comments49 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: In­tro­duc­tion & Sum­mary of Takeaways

Eli Rose19 Aug 2021 1:01 UTC
91 points
4 comments8 min readEA link

“How many peo­ple might ever ex­ist, calcu­lated” by Primer [Video]

Ezra Newman16 Aug 2022 16:33 UTC
12 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(youtu.be)

The ex­pected value of ex­tinc­tion risk re­duc­tion is positive

JanB9 Dec 2018 8:00 UTC
69 points
22 comments39 min readEA link

Surveillance and free ex­pres­sion | Sunyshore

BrownHairedEevee23 Feb 2021 2:14 UTC
10 points
0 comments9 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

“Ex­is­ten­tial Risk” is badly named and leads to nar­row fo­cus on as­tro­nom­i­cal waste

freedomandutility22 Aug 2022 20:25 UTC
38 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Longter­mism and an­i­mal advocacy

Tobias_Baumann11 Nov 2020 17:44 UTC
97 points
8 comments4 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

Niel Bow­er­man: Astro­nom­i­cal stakes

EA Global28 Aug 2015 16:14 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

The LessWrong Team is now Light­cone In­fras­truc­ture, come work with us!

Habryka1 Oct 2021 4:36 UTC
65 points
2 comments1 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

A Se­quence Against Strong Longter­mism

vadmas22 Jul 2021 20:07 UTC
20 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

Nu­clear risk re­search ideas: Sum­mary & introduction

MichaelA8 Apr 2022 11:17 UTC
103 points
4 comments7 min readEA link

Mag­ni­tude of un­cer­tainty with longtermism

Venky102411 Sep 2021 14:48 UTC
13 points
9 comments1 min readEA link

8 In­sights From Our Longter­mism Dis­cus­sion Group

emwalz28 Jul 2022 17:07 UTC
11 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

The Long-Term Fu­ture: An At­ti­tude Survey

Aron_Vallinder16 Sep 2019 15:57 UTC
62 points
15 comments8 min readEA link

The Base Rate of Longter­mism Is Bad

ColdButtonIssues5 Sep 2022 13:29 UTC
218 points
27 comments7 min readEA link

[Question] “In­ter­gen­er­a­tional com­mu­ni­ca­tion”: could some­thing like “writ­ing let­ters to the fu­ture” sus­ci­tate in­ter­est in long-ter­mism?

Ramiro7 Nov 2021 23:35 UTC
10 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

AMA: Toby Ord, au­thor of “The Precipice” and co-founder of the EA movement

Toby_Ord17 Mar 2020 2:39 UTC
68 points
82 comments1 min readEA link

Fu­ture Mat­ters #2: Clue­less skep­ti­cism, ‘longter­mist’ as an iden­tity, and nan­otech­nol­ogy strat­egy research

Pablo28 May 2022 6:25 UTC
52 points
0 comments12 min readEA link

[Question] Does Utili­tar­ian Longter­mism Im­ply Directed Pansper­mia?

Ahrenbach24 Apr 2020 18:15 UTC
4 points
17 comments1 min readEA link

Toby Ord: Selected quo­ta­tions on ex­is­ten­tial risk

Aaron Gertler6 Aug 2020 17:41 UTC
32 points
0 comments39 min readEA link
(theprecipice.com)

EA read­ing list: longter­mism and ex­is­ten­tial risks

richard_ngo3 Aug 2020 9:52 UTC
35 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

For­mal­iz­ing longtermism

Michael_Wiebe16 Sep 2020 5:00 UTC
10 points
17 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Where should I donate?

BrownHairedEevee22 Nov 2021 20:56 UTC
29 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: How Our Re­spon­dents First Learned About EA/​EA-Ad­ja­cent Ideas

Eli Rose6 Sep 2021 1:01 UTC
28 points
1 comment7 min readEA link

Thoughts on “tra­jec­tory changes”

BrownHairedEevee7 Apr 2021 2:18 UTC
16 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

What does moral progress con­sist of?

jasoncrawford19 Aug 2022 0:21 UTC
23 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Who are the lead­ing ad­vo­cates, and what are the top pub­li­ca­tions on broad longter­mism?

Jordan Arel28 Apr 2022 2:57 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] How would you draw the Venn di­a­gram of longter­mism and neart­er­mism?

Michael_Wiebe25 May 2022 4:34 UTC
8 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Thoughts on “The Case for Strong Longter­mism” (Greaves & MacAskill)

MichaelA2 May 2021 18:00 UTC
30 points
21 comments2 min readEA link

List of rea­sons to dis­count the welfare of fu­ture generations

freedomandutility17 Dec 2022 14:26 UTC
5 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Fu­ture Mat­ters #4: AI timelines, AGI risk, and ex­is­ten­tial risk from cli­mate change

Pablo8 Aug 2022 11:00 UTC
59 points
0 comments17 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: Other Findings

Eli Rose9 Sep 2021 1:01 UTC
40 points
0 comments8 min readEA link

The great en­ergy de­scent (short ver­sion) - An im­por­tant thing EA might have missed

CB31 Aug 2022 21:50 UTC
56 points
90 comments10 min readEA link

Help Re­think Pri­ori­ties Use Data for An­i­mals, Longter­mism, and EA

Peter Wildeford5 Jul 2021 17:20 UTC
59 points
3 comments4 min readEA link

A bunch of new GPI papers

Pablo25 Sep 2019 13:32 UTC
104 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

Civ­i­liza­tion Re-Emerg­ing After a Catas­trophic Collapse

MichaelA27 Jun 2020 3:22 UTC
32 points
18 comments2 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

An­nounc­ing the Re­think Pri­ori­ties Spe­cial Pro­jects Program

Rethink Priorities21 Sep 2022 18:34 UTC
147 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

Car­ing about the fu­ture doesn’t mean ig­nor­ing the present

Luke Freeman30 Aug 2022 7:21 UTC
15 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(www.vox.com)

EA needs a hiring agency and Non­lin­ear will fund you to start one

Kat Woods17 Jan 2022 14:51 UTC
166 points
13 comments9 min readEA link

8 pos­si­ble high-level goals for work on nu­clear risk

MichaelA29 Mar 2022 6:30 UTC
46 points
4 comments13 min readEA link

Astro­nom­i­cal Waste: The Op­por­tu­nity Cost of De­layed Tech­nolog­i­cal Devel­op­ment—Nick Bostrom (2003)

james10 Jun 2021 21:21 UTC
10 points
0 comments8 min readEA link
(www.nickbostrom.com)

Ger­mans’ Opinions on Trans­la­tions of “longter­mism”: Sur­vey Results

constructive27 Jun 2022 15:46 UTC
57 points
12 comments5 min readEA link

Longter­mist slo­gans that need to be retired

Michael_Wiebe9 May 2022 1:07 UTC
5 points
21 comments1 min readEA link

Were the Great Tragedies of His­tory “Mere Rip­ples”?

philosophytorres8 Feb 2021 14:56 UTC
−9 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

Robert Wiblin: Mak­ing sense of long-term in­di­rect effects

EA Global6 Aug 2016 0:40 UTC
14 points
0 comments17 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Kurzge­sagt—The Last Hu­man (Longter­mist video)

Lizka28 Jun 2022 20:16 UTC
150 points
17 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Peter Singer on the 80K podcast

Jon_Behar18 Dec 2019 17:17 UTC
31 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(80000hours.org)

[Pod­cast] Ben Todd on Choos­ing a Ca­reer and Defin­ing Longtermism

finm4 Oct 2021 10:15 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(hearthisidea.com)

Reflect­ing on Steer­ing, Pit­falls, and History

Davidmanheim21 Nov 2021 8:05 UTC
31 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] What are the lead­ing cri­tiques of “longter­mism” and re­lated concepts

AlasdairGives30 May 2020 10:54 UTC
47 points
27 comments1 min readEA link

Why might the fu­ture be good?

Paul_Christiano27 Feb 2013 5:00 UTC
5 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

What Re­think Pri­ori­ties Gen­eral Longter­mism Team Did in 2022, and Up­dates in Light of the Cur­rent Situation

Linch14 Dec 2022 13:37 UTC
162 points
9 comments19 min readEA link

[Link] “How fea­si­ble is long-range fore­cast­ing?” (Open Phil)

Milan_Griffes11 Oct 2019 21:01 UTC
42 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Non-con­se­quen­tial­ist longtermism

Nathan_Barnard5 Jun 2021 1:48 UTC
13 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

Against longter­mism: a care-cen­tric ap­proach?

Aron P2 Oct 2022 5:00 UTC
21 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the new Forethought Foun­da­tion for Global Pri­ori­ties Research

William_MacAskill4 Dec 2018 10:36 UTC
62 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: Methodology

Eli Rose23 Aug 2021 1:01 UTC
39 points
1 comment8 min readEA link

Con­test: 250€ for trans­la­tion of “longter­mism” to German

constructive1 Jun 2022 19:59 UTC
18 points
30 comments1 min readEA link

My Most Likely Rea­son to Die Young is AI X-Risk

AISafetyIsNotLongtermist4 Jul 2022 15:34 UTC
234 points
62 comments4 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Age-Weighted Voting

William_MacAskill12 Jul 2019 15:21 UTC
71 points
39 comments6 min readEA link

[Job ad] Re­search im­por­tant longter­mist top­ics at Re­think Pri­ori­ties!

Linch6 Oct 2021 19:09 UTC
65 points
46 comments1 min readEA link

Good v. Op­ti­mal Futures

RobertHarling11 Dec 2020 16:38 UTC
38 points
10 comments6 min readEA link

The Precipice: In­tro­duc­tion and Chap­ter One

Toby_Ord2 Jan 2021 7:13 UTC
21 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

What we owe the fu­ture (Will MacAskill)

EA Global5 Jun 2020 19:36 UTC
14 points
0 comments19 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Chris­tian Tarsney: Can we pre­dictably im­prove the far fu­ture?

EA Global18 Oct 2019 7:40 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Ask Me Any­thing!

William_MacAskill14 Aug 2019 15:52 UTC
153 points
138 comments3 min readEA link

A per­sonal take on longter­mist AI governance

lukeprog16 Jul 2021 22:08 UTC
173 points
6 comments7 min readEA link

Long-Term Fu­ture Fund: May 2021 grant recommendations

abergal27 May 2021 6:44 UTC
110 points
17 comments58 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­ing GPI’s new re­search agenda

Global Priorities Institute15 Feb 2019 17:11 UTC
60 points
11 comments1 min readEA link

Ori­ent­ing to­wards the long-term fu­ture (Joseph Car­l­smith)

EA Global3 Nov 2017 7:43 UTC
17 points
0 comments11 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

EA Sur­vey 2020: Cause Prioritization

David_Moss29 Jul 2021 18:06 UTC
100 points
13 comments4 min readEA link

Longter­mism: More to explore

EA Handbook2 Jan 2021 2:28 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Venn di­a­grams of ex­is­ten­tial, global, and suffer­ing catastrophes

MichaelA15 Jul 2020 12:28 UTC
79 points
7 comments7 min readEA link

In­ter­na­tional Crim­i­nal Law and the Fu­ture of Hu­man­ity: A The­ory of the Crime of Omnicide

philosophytorres22 Mar 2021 12:19 UTC
−3 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

An an­i­mated in­tro­duc­tion to longter­mism (feat. Robert Miles)

Writer21 Jun 2021 19:24 UTC
25 points
36 comments4 min readEA link
(youtu.be)

Mo­ral de­mands and the far future

Global Priorities Institute31 May 2020 13:36 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

We should say more than “x-risk is high”

OllieBase16 Dec 2022 22:09 UTC
52 points
12 comments4 min readEA link

How to Ac­cel­er­ate Tech­nolog­i­cal Progress—New Things Un­der the Sun

BrownHairedEevee3 Oct 2021 17:49 UTC
13 points
0 comments9 min readEA link
(www.newthingsunderthesun.com)

Some thoughts on Pa­tient Longtermism

nora15 Mar 2021 9:13 UTC
46 points
6 comments3 min readEA link

Nick Bostrom: Astro­nom­i­cal stakes

EA Global28 Aug 2015 8:37 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Sav­ing Lives vs Creat­ing Lives

Richard Y Chappell15 Dec 2022 0:32 UTC
45 points
18 comments5 min readEA link
(rychappell.substack.com)

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: Re­spon­dent Info

Eli Rose24 Aug 2021 17:32 UTC
29 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

In­creased Availa­bil­ity and Willing­ness for De­ploy­ment of Re­sources for Effec­tive Altru­ism and Long-Termism

Evan_Gaensbauer29 Dec 2021 20:20 UTC
46 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

Rep­re­sent­ing fu­ture gen­er­a­tions in the poli­ti­cal process

Tobias_Baumann25 Jun 2020 15:31 UTC
35 points
6 comments1 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

Ac­tu­ally pos­si­ble: thoughts on Utopia

Joe_Carlsmith18 Jan 2021 8:27 UTC
81 points
4 comments13 min readEA link

[Question] What are novel ma­jor in­sights from longter­mist macros­trat­egy or global pri­ori­ties re­search found since 2015?

Max_Daniel13 Aug 2020 9:15 UTC
88 points
56 comments1 min readEA link

The emerg­ing school of pa­tient longtermism

80000_Hours7 Aug 2020 16:28 UTC
64 points
11 comments3 min readEA link

Past and Fu­ture Tra­jec­tory Changes

N N28 Mar 2022 20:04 UTC
32 points
5 comments12 min readEA link
(goodoptics.wordpress.com)

The most im­por­tant cen­tury and the rep­re­sen­ta­tive­ness of EA

Luke Eure28 Sep 2021 5:06 UTC
41 points
10 comments2 min readEA link

The Phil Tor­res es­say in Aeon at­tack­ing Longter­mism might be good

timunderwood21 Oct 2021 0:32 UTC
22 points
10 comments2 min readEA link

Open Philan­thropy is seek­ing pro­pos­als for out­reach projects

abergal16 Jul 2021 20:34 UTC
171 points
13 comments10 min readEA link

Con­cerns with the Wel­lbe­ing of Fu­ture Gen­er­a­tions Bill

Larks9 Mar 2022 18:12 UTC
126 points
37 comments21 min readEA link

What Would A Longter­mist Flag Look Like?

Cullen24 Mar 2021 5:40 UTC
33 points
52 comments2 min readEA link

Fu­ture Mat­ters #5: su­per­vol­ca­noes, AI takeover, and What We Owe the Future

Pablo14 Sep 2022 13:02 UTC
31 points
5 comments18 min readEA link

Why long-run fo­cused effec­tive al­tru­ism is more com­mon sense

Benjamin_Todd21 Nov 2014 0:12 UTC
26 points
19 comments2 min readEA link

Hilary Greaves: Ev­i­dence, clue­less­ness and the long term

EA Global25 Oct 2020 5:48 UTC
8 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Should Longter­mists Mostly Think About An­i­mals?

abrahamrowe3 Feb 2020 14:40 UTC
109 points
41 comments21 min readEA link

Differ­en­tial tech­nolog­i­cal de­vel­op­ment

james25 Jun 2020 10:54 UTC
37 points
7 comments5 min readEA link

On longter­mism, Bayesi­anism, and the dooms­day argument

iporphyry1 Sep 2022 0:27 UTC
30 points
5 comments12 min readEA link

Fu­ture Mat­ters #1: AI take­off, longter­mism vs. ex­is­ten­tial risk, and prob­a­bil­ity discounting

Pablo23 Apr 2022 23:32 UTC
57 points
2 comments15 min readEA link

Why I’m skep­ti­cal about un­proven causes (and you should be too)

Peter Wildeford7 Aug 2013 4:00 UTC
48 points
0 comments11 min readEA link

Max­i­miz­ing long-term impact

Squark3 Mar 2015 19:50 UTC
6 points
14 comments7 min readEA link

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: What Helped and Hin­dered Our Respondents

Eli Rose29 Aug 2021 7:00 UTC
56 points
0 comments29 min readEA link

A pro­posed ad­just­ment to the as­tro­nom­i­cal waste argument

Nick_Beckstead27 May 2013 4:00 UTC
43 points
0 comments12 min readEA link

Mo­ral plu­ral­ism and longter­mism | Sunyshore

BrownHairedEevee17 Apr 2021 0:14 UTC
26 points
0 comments6 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

Teruji Thomas, ‘The Asym­me­try, Uncer­tainty, and the Long Term’

Pablo5 Nov 2019 20:24 UTC
43 points
6 comments1 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Longter­mism, aliens, AI

dotsam8 May 2022 17:46 UTC
25 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

[link post] The Case for Longter­mism in The New York Times

abier5 Aug 2022 16:27 UTC
133 points
14 comments1 min readEA link
(www.nytimes.com)

AMA: The new Open Philan­thropy Tech­nol­ogy Policy Fellowship

lukeprog26 Jul 2021 15:11 UTC
38 points
14 comments1 min readEA link

[BBC Fu­ture] What is longter­mism and why does it mat­ter?

Luke Freeman8 Aug 2022 7:34 UTC
16 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.bbc.com)

Re­think­ing longter­mism and global development

BrownHairedEevee2 Sep 2022 5:28 UTC
10 points
2 comments7 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

Should marginal longter­mist dona­tions sup­port fun­da­men­tal or in­ter­ven­tion re­search?

MichaelA30 Nov 2020 1:10 UTC
43 points
4 comments15 min readEA link

The Case for Short­ter­mism—by Robert Wright

mikbp16 Aug 2022 20:00 UTC
24 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(nonzero.substack.com)

Eight high-level un­cer­tain­ties about global catas­trophic and ex­is­ten­tial risk

SiebeRozendal28 Nov 2019 14:47 UTC
85 points
9 comments6 min readEA link

The asym­me­try and the far future

John G. Halstead9 Mar 2017 22:05 UTC
11 points
14 comments6 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­tion to Longtermism

finm27 Jan 2021 16:01 UTC
79 points
13 comments11 min readEA link
(effectivealtruism.org)

The Up­per Limit of Value

Davidmanheim27 Jan 2021 14:15 UTC
34 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

Ma­jor UN re­port dis­cusses ex­is­ten­tial risk and fu­ture gen­er­a­tions (sum­mary)

finm17 Sep 2021 15:51 UTC
314 points
5 comments12 min readEA link

Why I find longter­mism hard, and what keeps me motivated

Michelle_Hutchinson22 Feb 2021 23:01 UTC
213 points
13 comments7 min readEA link

Prob­a­bly good pro­jects for the AI safety ecosystem

Ryan Kidd5 Dec 2022 3:24 UTC
21 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

“Nu­clear risk re­search, fore­cast­ing, & im­pact” [pre­sen­ta­tion]

MichaelA21 Oct 2021 10:54 UTC
20 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

[Question] What are the long term con­se­quences of poverty alle­vi­a­tion?

Mati_Roy12 Jul 2021 18:14 UTC
18 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

Global Pri­ori­ties In­sti­tute: Re­search Agenda

Aaron Gertler20 Jan 2021 20:09 UTC
22 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Open Phil EA/​LT Sur­vey 2020: EA Groups

Eli Rose1 Sep 2021 1:01 UTC
35 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Book Re­view: The Precipice

Aaron Gertler9 Apr 2020 21:21 UTC
39 points
0 comments17 min readEA link
(slatestarcodex.com)

Ex­is­ten­tial risk and the fu­ture of hu­man­ity (Toby Ord)

EA Global21 Mar 2020 18:05 UTC
10 points
1 comment14 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

What We Owe the Past

Austin5 May 2022 12:06 UTC
56 points
19 comments3 min readEA link

What con­se­quences?

Milan_Griffes23 Nov 2017 18:27 UTC
31 points
22 comments8 min readEA link

Shelly Ka­gan—read­ings for Ethics and the Fu­ture sem­i­nar (spring 2021)

james29 Jun 2021 9:59 UTC
91 points
7 comments5 min readEA link
(docs.google.com)

[Question] What’s the GiveDirectly of longter­mism & ex­is­ten­tial risk?

Nathan Young15 Nov 2021 23:55 UTC
28 points
25 comments1 min readEA link

Thoughts on pa­tient philanthropy

Tobias_Baumann8 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
14 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(s-risks.org)

A bet­ter so­ciety short­cuts away the “longterm con­se­quences ver­sus rules” dilemma

kbog14 Dec 2022 5:46 UTC
14 points
3 comments7 min readEA link

Link: Longter­mist In­sti­tu­tional Reform

Dale30 Jul 2020 20:36 UTC
29 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Fu­ture Mat­ters #6: FTX col­lapse, value lock-in, and coun­ter­ar­gu­ments to AI x-risk

Pablo30 Dec 2022 13:10 UTC
58 points
2 comments21 min readEA link

Non-util­i­tar­ian effec­tive altruism

keir bradwell29 Jan 2023 6:07 UTC
41 points
10 comments17 min readEA link
(keirbradwell.substack.com)

We’re no longer “paus­ing most new longter­mist fund­ing com­mit­ments”

Holden Karnofsky30 Jan 2023 19:29 UTC
201 points
40 comments6 min readEA link

Law & Longter­mism Din­ner—EAG Bay Area 2023

Alfredo_Parra31 Jan 2023 10:47 UTC
10 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Nel­son Man­dela’s or­ga­ni­za­tion, The Elders, back­ing x risk pre­ven­tion and longtermism

krohmal51 Feb 2023 6:40 UTC
179 points
4 comments1 min readEA link
(theelders.org)

Fu­ture Mat­ters #7: AI timelines, AI skep­ti­cism, and lock-in

Pablo3 Feb 2023 11:47 UTC
54 points
0 comments17 min readEA link

[Question] What’s the so­cial/​his­tor­i­cal story of EA’s longter­mist turn?

David M6 Feb 2023 16:38 UTC
26 points
10 comments2 min readEA link

What We Owe the Fu­ture, Chap­ter 1

William_MacAskill16 Aug 2022 18:31 UTC
35 points
5 comments18 min readEA link
(drive.google.com)

Pro­posal: Create A New Longter­mism Organization

Brian Lui7 Feb 2023 5:59 UTC
25 points
37 comments6 min readEA link

What ac­tu­ally is “value-al­ign­ment”?

ConcernedEAs7 Feb 2023 16:02 UTC
3 points
9 comments5 min readEA link

Maybe longter­mism isn’t for everyone

BrownHairedEevee10 Feb 2023 16:48 UTC
39 points
17 comments1 min readEA link

Mone­tary and so­cial in­cen­tives in longter­mist careers

Vaidehi Agarwalla23 Sep 2023 21:03 UTC
140 points
5 comments6 min readEA link

Helping an­i­mals or sav­ing hu­man lives in high in­come coun­tries is ar­guably bet­ter than sav­ing hu­man lives in low in­come coun­tries?

Vasco Grilo21 Mar 2024 9:05 UTC
12 points
10 comments12 min readEA link

[Question] Will the vast ma­jor­ity of tech­nolog­i­cal progress hap­pen in the longterm fu­ture?

Vasco Grilo8 Jul 2023 8:40 UTC
8 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing Million Year View

rileyharris4 Sep 2023 7:09 UTC
9 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Fu­ture Mat­ters #8: Bing Chat, AI labs on safety, and paus­ing Fu­ture Matters

Pablo21 Mar 2023 14:50 UTC
81 points
5 comments24 min readEA link

Shap­ing Hu­man­ity’s Longterm Trajectory

Toby_Ord18 Jul 2023 10:09 UTC
178 points
54 comments2 min readEA link
(files.tobyord.com)

[Question] Why isn’t there a char­ity eval­u­a­tor for longter­mist pro­jects?

BrownHairedEevee29 Jul 2023 16:30 UTC
106 points
43 comments1 min readEA link

Longter­mism Fund: Au­gust 2023 Grants Report

Michael Townsend20 Aug 2023 5:34 UTC
81 points
3 comments5 min readEA link

Longter­mism or Ret­ro­spec­tivism: The More Effec­tive Utili­tar­ian Alter­na­tive.

Hooman8 Oct 2023 12:26 UTC
0 points
5 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] De­bates on re­duc­ing long-term s-risks?

jackchang1106 Apr 2023 1:26 UTC
13 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Nu­clear risk, its po­ten­tial long-term im­pacts, & do­ing re­search on that: An in­tro­duc­tory talk

MichaelA10 Apr 2023 15:26 UTC
50 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

Re­search pro­ject idea: Cli­mate, agri­cul­tural, and famine effects of nu­clear conflict

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:35 UTC
17 points
2 comments4 min readEA link

Re­search pro­ject idea: Tech­nolog­i­cal de­vel­op­ments that could in­crease risks from nu­clear weapons

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:28 UTC
16 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

Re­search pro­ject idea: In­ter­me­di­ate goals for nu­clear risk reduction

MichaelA15 Apr 2023 14:25 UTC
24 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

“Effec­tive Altru­ism, Longter­mism, and the Prob­lem of Ar­bi­trary Power” by Gwilym David Blunt

WobblyPandaPanda12 Nov 2023 1:21 UTC
22 points
2 comments1 min readEA link
(www.thephilosopher1923.org)

More global warm­ing might be good to miti­gate the food shocks caused by abrupt sun­light re­duc­tion scenarios

Vasco Grilo29 Apr 2023 8:24 UTC
46 points
39 comments13 min readEA link

Sum­mary of “The Precipice” (1 of 4): As­teroids, vol­ca­noes and ex­plod­ing stars

rileyharris7 Aug 2023 3:57 UTC
9 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(www.millionyearview.com)

Net global welfare may be nega­tive and declining

kyle_fish26 Sep 2023 18:49 UTC
281 points
50 comments8 min readEA link

Sum­mary: The scope of longtermism

Global Priorities Institute18 Dec 2023 13:25 UTC
52 points
4 comments4 min readEA link

Govern­ments Might Pre­fer Bring­ing Re­sources Back to the So­lar Sys­tem Rather than Space Set­tle­ment in Order to Main­tain Con­trol, Given that Govern­ing In­ter­stel­lar Set­tle­ments Looks Al­most Im­pos­si­ble

David Mathers29 May 2023 11:16 UTC
36 points
3 comments5 min readEA link

What is the ex­pected effect of poverty alle­vi­a­tion efforts on ex­is­ten­tial risk?

WilliamKiely2 Oct 2015 20:43 UTC
13 points
25 comments1 min readEA link

“Longter­mist causes” is a tricky classification

Lizka29 Aug 2023 17:41 UTC
63 points
3 comments5 min readEA link

The Case for An­i­mal-In­clu­sive Longtermism

BrownHairedEevee17 Feb 2024 0:07 UTC
60 points
7 comments30 min readEA link
(brill.com)

Nu­clear war tail risk has been ex­ag­ger­ated?

Vasco Grilo25 Feb 2024 9:14 UTC
41 points
21 comments28 min readEA link

Sav­ing lives in nor­mal times is bet­ter to im­prove the longterm fu­ture than do­ing so in catas­tro­phes?

Vasco Grilo20 Apr 2024 8:37 UTC
11 points
25 comments9 min readEA link

In­ter­gen­er­a­tional equity and in­finite-pop­u­la­tion ethics: a sur­vey by Mar­cus Pi­vato and Marc Fleurbaey

Jobst Heitzig (vodle.it)14 Mar 2024 13:02 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(papers.ssrn.com)

Beyond Max­ipok — good re­flec­tive gov­er­nance as a tar­get for action

Owen Cotton-Barratt15 Mar 2024 22:22 UTC
39 points
2 comments7 min readEA link

Assess­ing the case for pop­u­la­tion growth as a priority

FC15 Nov 2022 23:13 UTC
119 points
10 comments21 min readEA link

Parfit + Singer + Aliens = ?

Maxwell Tabarrok12 Oct 2022 15:50 UTC
88 points
23 comments6 min readEA link
(maximumprogress.substack.com)

Two tools for re­think­ing ex­is­ten­tial risk

Arepo5 Apr 2024 21:25 UTC
82 points
14 comments25 min readEA link

Shar­ing Real­ity with Walt Whit­man [2-min Video]

michel9 Apr 2024 9:17 UTC
76 points
4 comments2 min readEA link
(open.substack.com)

Ro­bust longterm comparisons

Toby_Ord15 May 2024 15:07 UTC
44 points
3 comments7 min readEA link

[Linkpost] Towards Ineffec­tive Altruism

CBiddulph23 May 2022 6:34 UTC
13 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

New Global Pri­ori­ties In­sti­tute work­ing pa­pers—and an up­dated ver­sion of “The case for strong longter­mism”

Global Priorities Institute9 Aug 2021 16:57 UTC
46 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

The sense of a start

Gavin28 Sep 2022 13:37 UTC
53 points
0 comments5 min readEA link
(www.gleech.org)

An­nounc­ing the win­ners of the Res­lab Re­quest for Information

Aron Lajko27 Jul 2023 17:43 UTC
15 points
3 comments10 min readEA link

The Hu­man Fu­ture (x-risk and longter­mism-themed video by melodysheep)

Jelle Donders19 Aug 2023 12:53 UTC
22 points
4 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

The Ber­lin Hub: Longter­mist co-liv­ing space (plan)

Severin10 Apr 2022 20:26 UTC
84 points
14 comments6 min readEA link

Dooms­day rings twice

Global Priorities Institute31 Aug 2019 13:54 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The de­mand­ing­ness of the future

anormative13 Mar 2024 13:02 UTC
5 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Thoughts on Émile P. Tor­res’ new ar­ti­cle, ‘Un­der­stand­ing “longter­mism”: Why this sud­denly in­fluen­tial philos­o­phy is so toxic’?

Atsina22 Aug 2022 9:13 UTC
8 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Against longtermism

Brian Lui11 Aug 2022 5:37 UTC
38 points
30 comments6 min readEA link

What I be­lieve, part 1: Utili­tar­i­anism | Sunyshore

BrownHairedEevee10 Jan 2021 17:58 UTC
10 points
1 comment5 min readEA link
(sunyshore.substack.com)

Con­ver­gence the­sis be­tween longter­mism and neartermism

weeatquince30 Dec 2021 16:03 UTC
100 points
31 comments9 min readEA link

Mak­ing EA more in­clu­sive, rep­re­sen­ta­tive, and im­pact­ful in Africa

Ashura Batungwanayo17 Aug 2023 20:19 UTC
68 points
13 comments4 min readEA link

Is Our Uni­verse A New­comb’s Para­dox Si­mu­la­tion?

Jordan Arel15 May 2022 7:28 UTC
16 points
8 comments2 min readEA link

Strong Longter­mism, Ir­refutabil­ity, and Mo­ral Progress

ben_chugg26 Dec 2020 19:44 UTC
60 points
99 comments11 min readEA link

In­ter­gen­er­a­tional equity un­der catas­trophic cli­mate change

Global Priorities Institute31 Oct 2017 13:33 UTC
3 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Fu­ture De­sign: How To In­clude Fu­ture Gen­er­a­tions in To­day’s De­ci­sion-Mak­ing?

simeon_c12 Jul 2022 21:53 UTC
15 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

Will longter­mists self-efface

Noah Scales12 Aug 2022 2:32 UTC
−7 points
23 comments6 min readEA link

Per­sonal Reflec­tions on Longtermism

NatKiilu17 Aug 2023 21:22 UTC
73 points
12 comments8 min readEA link

How tractable is clue­less­ness?

Milan_Griffes29 Dec 2017 18:52 UTC
19 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

Some longter­mist fiction

Ben10 Aug 2021 10:59 UTC
30 points
15 comments1 min readEA link

The Fu­ture of Hu­man­ity & The Meth­ods of Ethics: A dis­cus­sion of Bostrom, Sidg­wick and Scheffler (Thurs­day 22 July, 6:30pm UK)

peterhartree18 Jul 2021 18:58 UTC
23 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Paper sum­mary: Stak­ing our fu­ture: de­on­tic long-ter­mism and the non-iden­tity prob­lem (An­dreas Mo­gensen)

Global Priorities Institute7 Jun 2022 13:14 UTC
25 points
6 comments6 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Three er­rors in the moral calcu­la­tions con­cern­ing ex­is­ten­tial risk.

jun1233 Aug 2023 11:47 UTC
−9 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Tough enough? Ro­bust satis­fic­ing as a de­ci­sion norm for long-term policy analysis

Global Priorities Institute31 Oct 2020 13:28 UTC
5 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

More to ex­plore on ‘What could the fu­ture hold? And why care?’

EA Handbook7 Jul 2022 23:00 UTC
4 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Key char­ac­ter­is­tics for eval­u­at­ing fu­ture global gov­er­nance institutions

Juan Gil4 Oct 2021 19:44 UTC
23 points
0 comments10 min readEA link

My favourite mo­ti­va­tor for longtermism

JackM9 Oct 2022 9:30 UTC
17 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Do­ing good while clueless

Milan_Griffes15 Feb 2018 5:04 UTC
46 points
8 comments6 min readEA link

[Question] How many peo­ple are neart­er­mist and have high P(doom)?

Sanjay2 Aug 2023 14:24 UTC
52 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

How much cur­rent an­i­mal suffer­ing does longter­mism let us ig­nore?

Jacob Eliosoff21 Apr 2022 9:10 UTC
40 points
50 comments7 min readEA link

The Case for Space: A Longter­mist Alter­na­tive to Ex­is­ten­tial Threat Reduction

Giga18 Nov 2020 13:09 UTC
9 points
5 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Is there a “What We Owe The Fu­ture” fel­low­ship study guide?

Jordan Arel1 Sep 2022 1:40 UTC
8 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

The ‘far fu­ture’ is not just the far future

David_Kristoffersson16 Jan 2020 15:30 UTC
30 points
8 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] How should longter­mists think about eat­ing meat?

lukasb16 May 2020 20:21 UTC
21 points
29 comments1 min readEA link

Should AI fo­cus on prob­lem-solv­ing or strate­gic plan­ning? Why not both?

oliver_siegel1 Nov 2022 9:53 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link

Sum­mary of Deep Time Reck­on­ing by Vin­cent Ialenti

vinegar10@gmail.com31 Oct 2022 20:00 UTC
10 points
1 comment10 min readEA link

Con­cerns with Longtermism

Wahhab Baldwin16 Sep 2022 5:37 UTC
13 points
9 comments3 min readEA link

The hid­den com­plex­ity of “moral cir­cles”

JamesFaville25 Oct 2023 20:19 UTC
33 points
3 comments29 min readEA link

Fair Col­lec­tive Effec­tive Altruism

Jobst Heitzig (vodle.it)28 Nov 2022 13:35 UTC
6 points
1 comment5 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

On­line Work­ing /​ Com­mu­nity Meetup for the Abo­li­tion of Suffering

Ruth_Fr.27 Mar 2023 18:44 UTC
7 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

‘The only eth­i­cal ar­gu­ment for pos­i­tive δ’?

Global Priorities Institute30 Sep 2019 13:40 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Effec­tive Altru­ism’s Im­plicit Epistemology

Violet Hour18 Oct 2022 13:38 UTC
123 points
12 comments28 min readEA link

[Question] What longter­mist pro­jects would you like to see im­ple­mented?

Buhl28 Mar 2023 18:41 UTC
55 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

The Sin­gu­lar­ity and Its Me­ta­phys­i­cal Implications

Tomer_Goloboy28 Mar 2022 0:18 UTC
12 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

“Prona­tal­ists” may look to co-opt effec­tive al­tru­ism or longtermism

pseudonym17 Nov 2022 21:04 UTC
34 points
23 comments4 min readEA link
(www.businessinsider.com)

Differ­en­tial progress /​ in­tel­lec­tual progress /​ tech­nolog­i­cal development

MichaelA24 Apr 2020 14:08 UTC
40 points
16 comments7 min readEA link

Quotes about the long reflection

MichaelA5 Mar 2020 7:48 UTC
55 points
14 comments13 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the Pa­tient Philan­thropy Fund

Sjir Hoeijmakers27 Oct 2021 15:44 UTC
129 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

Longter­mism and short­ter­mism can dis­agree on nu­clear war to stop ad­vanced AI

David Johnston30 Mar 2023 23:22 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

[3-hour pod­cast]: Joseph Car­l­smith on longter­mism, utopia, the com­pu­ta­tional power of the brain, meta-ethics, illu­sion­ism and meditation

Gus Docker27 Jul 2021 13:18 UTC
34 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Seek­ing feed­back/​gaug­ing in­ter­est: Crowd­sourc­ing x crowd­fund­ing for ex­is­ten­tial risk ven­tures

RubyT4 Sep 2022 16:18 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

The NPT: Learn­ing from a Longter­mist Suc­cess [Links!]

DannyBressler20 May 2021 0:39 UTC
66 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

Eco­nomic in­equal­ity and the long-term future

Global Priorities Institute30 Apr 2021 13:26 UTC
11 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

How I Came To Longter­mism On My Own & An Out­sider Per­spec­tive On EA Longtermism

Jordan Arel7 Aug 2022 2:42 UTC
34 points
2 comments20 min readEA link

An as­pira­tionally com­pre­hen­sive ty­pol­ogy of fu­ture locked-in scenarios

Milan Weibel3 Apr 2023 2:11 UTC
12 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Get­ting on a differ­ent train: can Effec­tive Altru­ism avoid col­laps­ing into ab­sur­dity?

Peter McLaughlin7 Oct 2022 10:52 UTC
186 points
61 comments18 min readEA link

Planned Up­dates to U.S. Reg­u­la­tory Anal­y­sis Meth­ods are Likely Rele­vant to EAs

MHR7 Apr 2023 0:36 UTC
163 points
6 comments4 min readEA link

In­vest­ing for a cause

brb24312 Aug 2022 1:35 UTC
5 points
0 comments16 min readEA link

What if do­ing the most good = benev­olent AI takeover and hu­man ex­tinc­tion?

Jordan Arel22 Mar 2024 19:56 UTC
2 points
4 comments3 min readEA link

Carnegie Coun­cil MisUn­der­stands Longtermism

Jeff A30 Sep 2022 2:57 UTC
6 points
8 comments1 min readEA link
(www.carnegiecouncil.org)

What is the ar­gu­ment against a Thanos-ing all hu­man­ity to save the lives of other sen­tient be­ings?

somethoughts7 Mar 2021 8:02 UTC
0 points
11 comments3 min readEA link

About the Ne­glect­ed­ness of Longter­mism and Fu­ture Work

Erich_Grunewald19 Mar 2022 10:37 UTC
6 points
0 comments7 min readEA link
(www.erichgrunewald.com)

Tr­ish’s Quick takes

Trish26 Oct 2022 20:08 UTC
2 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

Sum­mary: In Defence of Fa­nat­i­cism (Hay­den Wilk­in­son)

Nicholas Kruus15 Jan 2024 14:21 UTC
24 points
1 comment6 min readEA link

BERI is seek­ing new col­lab­o­ra­tors (2022)

sawyer17 May 2022 17:31 UTC
21 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] Il lun­goter­minismo e l’at­tivismo per gli animali

EA Italy17 Jan 2023 20:17 UTC
1 point
0 comments4 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] Perché prob­a­bil­mente non sono una lungoterminista

EA Italy17 Jan 2023 18:12 UTC
1 point
0 comments8 min readEA link

Heuris­tics for clue­less agents: how to get away with ig­nor­ing what mat­ters most in or­di­nary de­ci­sion-making

Global Priorities Institute31 May 2020 13:35 UTC
4 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

[Opz­ionale] Perché il lun­goter­minismo è diffi­cile per me e come man­tengo la motivazione

EA Italy17 Jan 2023 18:08 UTC
1 point
0 comments7 min readEA link

[Opz­ionale] Ul­te­ri­ori ri­sorse (in in­glese)

EA Italy17 Jan 2023 20:25 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

The Wages of North-At­lantic Bias

Sach Wry19 Aug 2022 12:34 UTC
8 points
2 comments17 min readEA link

Op­por­tu­ni­ties that sur­prised us dur­ing our Clearer Think­ing Re­grants program

spencerg7 Nov 2022 13:09 UTC
114 points
5 comments9 min readEA link

[Question] Will the coro­n­avirus pan­demic ad­vance or hin­der the spread of longter­mist-style val­ues/​think­ing?

MichaelA19 Mar 2020 6:07 UTC
12 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Le mie im­pres­sioni sulla scelta di una car­ri­era per i lungoterministi

EA Italy18 Jan 2023 11:47 UTC
1 point
0 comments27 min readEA link

Alien Counterfactuals

Charlie_Guthmann17 Oct 2022 17:33 UTC
17 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Com­mon-sense cases where “hy­po­thet­i­cal fu­ture peo­ple” matter

tlevin12 Aug 2022 14:05 UTC
107 points
21 comments4 min readEA link

Is Civ­i­liza­tion on the Brink of Col­lapse? - Kurzgesagt

GabeM16 Aug 2022 20:06 UTC
29 points
5 comments1 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

A Coun­ter­ar­gu­ment to the Ar­gu­ment of Astro­nom­i­cal Waste

Markus Bredberg24 Apr 2023 17:09 UTC
12 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the Longter­mism Fel­low­ship of EA Mu­nich—Ap­ply!

Jacob21 Aug 2022 8:08 UTC
20 points
10 comments2 min readEA link

Mini sum­maries of GPI papers

JackM2 Nov 2022 22:33 UTC
97 points
17 comments6 min readEA link

[Creative Non­fic­tion] The Toba Su­per­vol­canic Eruption

Jackson Wagner29 Oct 2021 17:02 UTC
49 points
3 comments6 min readEA link

Pro­mot­ing com­pas­sion­ate longtermism

jonleighton7 Dec 2022 14:26 UTC
117 points
5 comments12 min readEA link

Field-spe­cific LE (Longterm En­trepreneur­ship)

Jonas Hallgren22 Dec 2021 22:58 UTC
28 points
4 comments4 min readEA link

Sum­mary: Max­i­mal Clue­less­ness (An­dreas Mo­gensen)

Nicholas Kruus6 Feb 2024 14:49 UTC
28 points
14 comments4 min readEA link

Long-term in­vest­ment fund at Founders Pledge

Sjir Hoeijmakers10 Jan 2020 19:09 UTC
138 points
28 comments3 min readEA link

How do longter­mists re­spond to ‘With a Whim­per: De­pop­u­la­tion and Longter­mism’?

Ben Stevenson6 Aug 2023 15:51 UTC
20 points
7 comments1 min readEA link
(sites.utexas.edu)

[Linkpost] Leif We­nar’s The Deaths of Effec­tive Altruism

Arden Wiese27 Mar 2024 15:35 UTC
39 points
58 comments1 min readEA link
(www.wired.com)

Carl Shul­man on the com­mon-sense case for ex­is­ten­tial risk work and its prac­ti­cal implications

80000_Hours8 Oct 2021 13:43 UTC
41 points
2 comments150 min readEA link

[Question] Values of a Space-Far­ing Civilization

Anthony Fleming30 Apr 2023 22:17 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Pod­cast: Ques­tions for John Halstead

Ben Yeoh13 Sep 2022 11:07 UTC
32 points
13 comments1 min readEA link

In­still­ing Cul­tural Longtermism

Demosthenes22 Jul 2022 19:25 UTC
6 points
1 comment3 min readEA link

The great en­ergy de­scent—Post 3: What we can do, what we can’t do

CB31 Aug 2022 21:51 UTC
17 points
3 comments22 min readEA link

Which Post Idea Is Most Effec­tive?

Jordan Arel25 Apr 2022 4:47 UTC
26 points
6 comments2 min readEA link

The Re­think Pri­ori­ties Ex­is­ten­tial Se­cu­rity Team’s Strat­egy for 2023

Ben Snodin8 May 2023 8:08 UTC
92 points
3 comments16 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Solutions

kokotajlod14 Nov 2018 16:04 UTC
20 points
5 comments6 min readEA link

The Mo­ral Value of the Far Future

Holden Karnofsky3 Jul 2014 12:43 UTC
2 points
0 comments8 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

Talk - ‘Car­ing for the Far Fu­ture’

Yadav9 Dec 2022 16:58 UTC
13 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(youtu.be)

Im­pli­ca­tions of ev­i­den­tial co­op­er­a­tion in large worlds

Lukas Finnveden23 Aug 2023 0:43 UTC
79 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(lukasfinnveden.substack.com)

[Question] Short term feed­back, long term con­se­quences?

David M25 Mar 2022 18:57 UTC
3 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

For­mal­iz­ing Ex­tinc­tion Risk Re­duc­tion vs. Longtermism

Charlie_Guthmann17 Oct 2022 15:37 UTC
12 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: A Prob­lem for Long-Ter­mism?

kokotajlod8 Nov 2018 10:09 UTC
30 points
18 comments7 min readEA link

Le­gal Pri­ori­ties Pro­ject – An­nual Re­port 2022

Legal Priorities Project2 May 2023 13:32 UTC
76 points
2 comments30 min readEA link

Tak­ing Into Ac­count Sen­tient Non-Hu­mans in AI Am­bi­tious Value Learn­ing: Sen­tien­tist Co­her­ent Ex­trap­o­lated Volition

Adrià Moret1 Dec 2023 18:01 UTC
38 points
2 comments42 min readEA link

Rad­i­cal Longter­mism and the Se­duc­tion of End­less Growth: A Cri­tique of William MacAskill’s ‘What We Owe the Fu­ture’

alexherwix14 Sep 2023 14:43 UTC
−14 points
15 comments1 min readEA link
(perspecteeva.substack.com)

Mo­ral relativity

Derik K1 Apr 2024 19:38 UTC
7 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Su­perfore­cast­ing Long-Term Risks and Cli­mate Change

LuisEUrtubey19 Aug 2022 18:05 UTC
48 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

[Linkpost] The Dys­gen­ics Ob­jec­tion to Longtermism

Gunnar Zarncke2 Apr 2024 20:56 UTC
−4 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Where are the long-ter­mist the­o­ries of vic­tory /​ im­pact?

howdoyousay?24 Aug 2022 13:45 UTC
10 points
6 comments4 min readEA link

2024 S-risk In­tro Fellowship

Center on Long-Term Risk12 Oct 2023 19:14 UTC
89 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

How Many Lives Does X-Risk Work Save From Nonex­is­tence On Aver­age?

Jordan Arel8 Dec 2022 21:44 UTC
34 points
12 comments14 min readEA link

Longter­mism, risk, and extinction

Richard Pettigrew4 Aug 2022 15:25 UTC
73 points
12 comments41 min readEA link

Can we agree on a bet­ter name than ‘near-ter­mist’? “Not-longer­mist”? “Not-full-longter­mist”?

david_reinstein19 Apr 2022 16:09 UTC
75 points
44 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Is ex­is­ten­tial risk more press­ing than other ways to im­prove the long-term fu­ture?

BrownHairedEevee20 Aug 2020 3:50 UTC
23 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Paper sum­mary: The case for strong longter­mism (Hilary Greaves and William MacAskill)

Global Priorities Institute29 Apr 2022 15:52 UTC
43 points
27 comments5 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Some thoughts on Toby Ord’s ex­is­ten­tial risk estimates

MichaelA7 Apr 2020 2:19 UTC
67 points
33 comments9 min readEA link

[Link post] Sam Scheffler: Con­ser­vatism, Tem­po­ral Bias, and Fu­ture Generations

peterhartree19 Sep 2021 8:44 UTC
44 points
3 comments25 min readEA link

My Jour­ney Towards Effec­tive Altru­ism: Em­brac­ing Our Cos­mic Responsibility

JordanStone15 Nov 2023 12:32 UTC
12 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

An epistemic cri­tique of longtermism

Nathan_Barnard10 Jul 2022 10:59 UTC
12 points
4 comments9 min readEA link

A few thoughts on the long term /​ In­ter­gen­er­a­tional Fair­ness Day

Eli Kaufman14 Nov 2023 20:21 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

New s-risks au­dio­book available now

Alistair Webster24 May 2023 20:27 UTC
87 points
3 comments1 min readEA link
(centerforreducingsuffering.org)

[Question] Name for the larger EA+ad­ja­cent ecosys­tem?

RyanCarey18 Mar 2021 14:21 UTC
28 points
23 comments1 min readEA link

Book Re­view: What We Owe The Fu­ture (Erik Hoel)

ErikHoel23 Aug 2022 15:04 UTC
1 point
0 comments1 min readEA link
(erikhoel.substack.com)

[Linkpost] Longter­mists Are Push­ing a New Cold War With China

Radical Empath Ismam27 May 2023 6:53 UTC
37 points
16 comments1 min readEA link
(jacobin.com)

Against Longter­mism: I wel­come our robot over­lords, and you should too!

MattBall2 Jul 2022 2:05 UTC
5 points
6 comments6 min readEA link

Strong Longter­mism and Dobbs v. Jackson

eaforumthrowaway199430 Jun 2022 6:37 UTC
9 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

[Pod­cast] Ajeya Co­tra on wor­ld­view di­ver­sifi­ca­tion and how big the fu­ture could be

BrownHairedEevee22 Jan 2021 23:57 UTC
57 points
20 comments1 min readEA link
(80000hours.org)

Reflect on Your Ca­reer Ap­ti­tudes (Ex­er­cise)

Akash10 Apr 2022 2:40 UTC
16 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

EA and Longter­mism: not a crux for sav­ing the world

ClaireZabel2 Jun 2023 23:22 UTC
211 points
19 comments10 min readEA link

EA Ar­chi­tect: Disser­ta­tion on Im­prov­ing the So­cial Dy­nam­ics of Con­fined Spaces & Shelters Prece­dents Report

t466 Jun 2023 11:58 UTC
42 points
5 comments8 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­tory video on safe­guard­ing the long-term future

JulianHazell7 Mar 2022 12:52 UTC
23 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Sum­mary of and thoughts on “Dark Sk­ies” by Daniel Deudney

Cody_Fenwick31 Dec 2022 20:28 UTC
38 points
1 comment5 min readEA link

[Job] Re­searcher (CEARCH)

Joel Tan2 Jan 2023 7:28 UTC
36 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Should UBI be a top pri­or­ity for longter­mism?

Michael Simm8 Jan 2023 12:45 UTC
2 points
33 comments4 min readEA link

Red team­ing a model for es­ti­mat­ing the value of longter­mist in­ter­ven­tions—A cri­tique of Tarsney’s “The Epistemic Challenge to Longter­mism”

Anjay F16 Jul 2022 19:05 UTC
21 points
0 comments25 min readEA link

Part 1/​4: A Case for Abolition

Dhruv Makwana11 Jan 2023 13:46 UTC
33 points
7 comments3 min readEA link

Marginal ex­is­tence and its rele­vance to pro-na­tal­ism, longter­mism, and the re­pug­nant conclusion

dawsoneliasen23 Jan 2023 3:24 UTC
4 points
2 comments8 min readEA link

Longter­mism and an­i­mals: Re­sources + join our Dis­cord com­mu­nity!

Ren Ryba31 Jan 2023 10:45 UTC
102 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

The scope of longtermism

Global Priorities Institute31 May 2021 13:25 UTC
4 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The case for long-term cor­po­rate gov­er­nance of AI

SethBaum3 Nov 2021 10:50 UTC
42 points
3 comments8 min readEA link

An­nounc­ing the Space Fu­tures Initiative

Carson Ezell12 Sep 2022 12:37 UTC
71 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

The Multi-Class Op­ti­mizer’s Curse

FeelingSentient4 Jul 2021 12:04 UTC
23 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Bibliog­ra­phy and Appendix

kokotajlod20 Nov 2018 17:34 UTC
10 points
0 comments25 min readEA link

A case against strong longtermism

vadmas15 Dec 2020 20:56 UTC
68 points
79 comments1 min readEA link

The Most Im­por­tant Cen­tury: The Animation

Writer24 Jul 2022 22:34 UTC
50 points
8 comments20 min readEA link
(youtu.be)

Longter­mism as Effec­tive Altruism

Michael_Wiebe29 Jul 2022 0:56 UTC
7 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

What We Owe The Fu­ture: A Buried Es­say

haven_worsham20 Jun 2023 17:49 UTC
19 points
0 comments16 min readEA link

Holden Karnofsky on build­ing ap­ti­tudes and kick­ing ass

80000_Hours23 Sep 2021 16:55 UTC
10 points
0 comments139 min readEA link

Prob­a­bil­ities, Pri­ori­ti­za­tion, and ‘Bayesian Mind­set’

Violet Hour4 Apr 2023 10:16 UTC
55 points
6 comments24 min readEA link

[Question] De­ci­sion mak­ing un­der model am­bi­guity, moral un­cer­tainty, and other agents with free will?

Jobst Heitzig (vodle.it)2 Nov 2022 12:52 UTC
16 points
1 comment8 min readEA link

How much dona­tions are needed to neu­tral­ise the an­nual x-risk foot­print of the mean hu­man?

Vasco Grilo22 Sep 2022 6:41 UTC
8 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

Longter­mism and An­i­mal Farm­ing Trajectories

MichaelDello27 Dec 2022 0:58 UTC
51 points
8 comments17 min readEA link
(www.sentienceinstitute.org)

Baby Cause Areas, Ex­is­ten­tial Risk, and Longtermism

Davidmanheim25 May 2022 13:13 UTC
60 points
6 comments5 min readEA link

Su­per­in­tel­li­gent AI is nec­es­sary for an amaz­ing fu­ture, but far from sufficient

So8res31 Oct 2022 21:16 UTC
35 points
5 comments1 min readEA link

[Link and com­men­tary] Beyond Near- and Long-Term: Towards a Clearer Ac­count of Re­search Pri­ori­ties in AI Ethics and Society

MichaelA14 Mar 2020 9:04 UTC
18 points
0 comments7 min readEA link

Thread on LT/​ut’s prefer­ence for billions of im­mi­nent deaths

Peter_Layman14 Sep 2022 15:44 UTC
−16 points
1 comment1 min readEA link
(twitter.com)

The In­ter­gov­ern­men­tal Panel On Global Catas­trophic Risks (IPGCR)

DannyBressler1 Feb 2024 17:36 UTC
46 points
9 comments19 min readEA link

[Question] Which of Will MacAskill’s many re­cent pod­cast epi­sodes would you recom­mend to other en­gaged EAs?

Aaron Bergman15 Aug 2022 11:44 UTC
11 points
9 comments1 min readEA link

Causal di­a­grams of the paths to ex­is­ten­tial catastrophe

MichaelA1 Mar 2020 14:08 UTC
51 points
11 comments12 min readEA link

Cul­tural and In­sti­tu­tional Change are Needed, Over the Long Run

DestinieAShira30 Oct 2021 18:57 UTC
1 point
0 comments6 min readEA link
(shiradest.wordpress.com)

Scal­able longter­mist pro­jects: Speedrun se­ries – In­tro­duc­tion

Buhl7 Feb 2023 18:43 UTC
62 points
2 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] Ques­tion for longtermism

Ahrenbach21 Jan 2024 19:14 UTC
4 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Pre­sent-day good in­ten­tions aren’t suffi­cient to make the longterm fu­ture good in expectation

trurl2 Sep 2022 3:22 UTC
7 points
0 comments14 min readEA link

St. Peters­burg De­mon – a thought ex­per­i­ment that makes me doubt Longter­mism

wuschel23 May 2022 11:49 UTC
48 points
39 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Test­ing Im­pact: Longter­mist TV Show

Anthony Fleming14 Oct 2022 23:30 UTC
4 points
1 comment1 min readEA link

Non-ad­di­tive ax­iolo­gies in large worlds

Global Priorities Institute31 Aug 2020 13:30 UTC
16 points
0 comments7 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Vi­su­al­iza­tions of the sig­nifi­cance—per­sis­tence—con­tin­gency framework

Jakob2 Sep 2022 18:22 UTC
27 points
0 comments6 min readEA link

Ex­is­ten­tial risk as com­mon cause

Gavin5 Dec 2018 14:01 UTC
49 points
22 comments5 min readEA link

Should We Help Fu­ture Peo­ple? (A Hap­pier World video)

Jeroen Willems16 Aug 2022 16:00 UTC
5 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

We can make the fu­ture a mil­lion years from now go bet­ter [video]

Writer16 Aug 2022 13:03 UTC
12 points
0 comments6 min readEA link
(youtu.be)

We’re re­ally bad at guess­ing the future

Benj Azose13 Aug 2022 9:11 UTC
20 points
2 comments6 min readEA link

It seems that too much short-ter­mism and too much long-ter­mism are both of­ten cri­tiqued. So is what’s nor­mal/​main­stream a medium-term view?

Shannon H.17 Aug 2022 5:14 UTC
2 points
1 comment2 min readEA link

Re­think Pri­ori­ties is invit­ing ex­pres­sions of in­ter­est for (co)lead­ing a longter­mist pro­ject/​or­ga­ni­za­tion incubator

Jam Kraprayoon13 Feb 2023 11:17 UTC
74 points
4 comments4 min readEA link
(rethinkpriorities.pinpointhq.com)

Jane English on Rawls and du­ties to fu­ture generations

William D'Alessandro6 Nov 2022 14:25 UTC
12 points
3 comments6 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: Con­clud­ing Arguments

kokotajlod15 Nov 2018 21:47 UTC
33 points
6 comments10 min readEA link

[Question] What are the best ex­am­ples of ob­ject-level work that was done by (or at least in­spired by) the longter­mist EA com­mu­nity that con­cretely and leg­ibly re­duced ex­is­ten­tial risk?

Ben Snodin11 Feb 2023 13:49 UTC
118 points
18 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] For those work­ing on longter­mist pro­jects, how do you stay mo­ti­vated in the short-term?

warrenjordan8 Aug 2020 19:21 UTC
13 points
2 comments1 min readEA link

The great en­ergy de­scent—Part 1: Can re­new­ables re­place fos­sil fuels?

CB31 Aug 2022 21:51 UTC
34 points
2 comments22 min readEA link

Short sum­mary of What We Owe The Future

finm12 Feb 2023 16:27 UTC
29 points
3 comments7 min readEA link
(finmoorhouse.com)

What is so wrong with the “dog­matic” solu­tion to reck­less­ness?

tobycrisford11 Feb 2023 18:29 UTC
25 points
31 comments7 min readEA link

Longter­mists should take cli­mate change very seriously

Nir Eyal3 Oct 2022 18:33 UTC
29 points
10 comments8 min readEA link

Shal­low Re­port on Nu­clear War (Arse­nal Limi­ta­tion)

Joel Tan21 Feb 2023 4:57 UTC
44 points
13 comments29 min readEA link

A Longer­mist Case for The­olog­i­cal In­quiry

Garrett Ehinger17 Nov 2022 2:47 UTC
17 points
7 comments6 min readEA link

[Question] What if our an­ces­tors had thought more about the long term?

Lee Cronk27 Aug 2022 8:27 UTC
13 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

De­lay, De­tect, Defend: Prepar­ing for a Fu­ture in which Thou­sands Can Re­lease New Pan­demics by Kevin Esvelt

Jeremy15 Nov 2022 16:23 UTC
177 points
7 comments1 min readEA link
(dam.gcsp.ch)

Sum­mary: Ev­i­dence, clue­less­ness and the long term | Hilary Greaves

Vasco Grilo15 Apr 2022 17:22 UTC
6 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] What are some re­sources to learn how Tech­nol­ogy af­fects longter­mism in Poli­cy­mak­ing?

Venkatesh12 Jun 2020 14:50 UTC
3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Should pa­tient in­vestors try to cor­re­late port­fo­lio hold­ings with po­ten­tial cause ar­eas?

shepardspie31 Jan 2021 22:11 UTC
20 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

A rel­a­tively athe­o­ret­i­cal per­spec­tive on as­tro­nom­i­cal waste

Nick_Beckstead6 Aug 2014 0:55 UTC
9 points
8 comments8 min readEA link

French 2d ex­plainer videos on longter­mism (en­glish sub­ti­tles)

Gaetan_Selle27 Feb 2023 9:00 UTC
20 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Every­day longter­mism in practice

JohnsonRamsaur6 Apr 2021 14:42 UTC
20 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

Call for Cruxes by Rhyme, a Longter­mist His­tory Con­sul­tancy

Lara_TH1 Mar 2023 10:20 UTC
147 points
6 comments3 min readEA link

High­lights from LPP’s field-build­ing efforts

Legal Priorities Project23 Mar 2023 8:18 UTC
78 points
0 comments13 min readEA link

An open let­ter to my great grand kids’ great grand kids

Locke10 Aug 2022 15:07 UTC
1 point
0 comments13 min readEA link

In­com­pat­i­bil­ity of moral re­al­ism and time discounting

wuschel12 Dec 2020 18:47 UTC
16 points
6 comments8 min readEA link

Holden Karnofsky on the most im­por­tant century

80000_Hours19 Aug 2021 15:17 UTC
6 points
1 comment118 min readEA link

Is GDP the right met­ric?

Lars Mennen20 Jan 2021 10:20 UTC
16 points
7 comments5 min readEA link
(larsmennen.me)

The case to abol­ish the biol­ogy of suffer­ing as a longter­mist action

Gaetan_Selle21 May 2022 8:51 UTC
37 points
8 comments4 min readEA link

For Longter­mism, Em­ploy an Earth-Based Morality

Wahhab Baldwin26 Sep 2022 18:57 UTC
−3 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Con­cerns/​Thoughts over in­ter­na­tional aid, longter­mism and philo­soph­i­cal notes on speak­ing with Larry Temkin.

Ben Yeoh27 Jul 2022 19:51 UTC
35 points
1 comment9 min readEA link

Paper sum­mary: Are we liv­ing at the hinge of his­tory? (William MacAskill)

Global Priorities Institute13 Mar 2023 18:05 UTC
70 points
4 comments5 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The dis­count rate is not zero

Thomaaas3 Sep 2022 14:30 UTC
98 points
28 comments10 min readEA link

Res­lab Re­quest for In­for­ma­tion: EA hard­ware projects

Joel Becker26 Oct 2022 11:38 UTC
46 points
15 comments1 min readEA link

Longter­mism VS Neart­er­mism: Are we be­ing long-winded or short-sighted?

Prof.Weird4 Feb 2022 9:08 UTC
−2 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

[Link] Mo­ral In­ter­lude from “The Wizard and the Prophet”

Milan_Griffes27 Sep 2019 18:42 UTC
13 points
8 comments9 min readEA link

Paper sum­mary: Longter­mist in­sti­tu­tional re­form (Tyler M. John and William MacAskill)

Global Priorities Institute13 Mar 2023 18:07 UTC
41 points
3 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

What are the best (brief) re­sources to in­tro­duce EA & longter­mism?

Akash19 Dec 2021 21:16 UTC
5 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

In­vite: UnCon­fer­ence, How best for hu­mans to thrive and sur­vive over the long-term

Ben Yeoh27 Jul 2022 22:19 UTC
10 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

Paper sum­mary: The Epistemic Challenge to Longter­mism (Chris­tian Tarsney)

Global Priorities Institute11 Oct 2022 11:29 UTC
39 points
5 comments4 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Fore­cast­ing “Cli­mate Change and the Long-term Fu­ture”

LuisEUrtubey23 Jul 2022 0:12 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Tay­lor Swift’s “long story short” Is Ac­tu­ally About Effec­tive Altru­ism and Longter­mism (PARODY)

shepardspie23 Jul 2021 13:25 UTC
34 points
12 comments7 min readEA link

New Prince­ton course on longtermism

Calvin_Baker1 Sep 2023 20:31 UTC
88 points
7 comments6 min readEA link

Longter­mists Should Work on AI—There is No “AI Neu­tral” Sce­nario

simeon_c7 Aug 2022 16:43 UTC
42 points
62 comments6 min readEA link

Ex­is­ten­tial risks are not just about humanity

MichaelA28 Apr 2020 0:09 UTC
35 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

ISYP Third Nu­clear Age Con­fer­ence New Age, New Think­ing: Challenges of a Third Nu­clear Age 31 Oc­to­ber-2 Novem­ber 2022, in Ber­lin, Ger­many

Daniel Ajudeonu11 Aug 2022 9:43 UTC
4 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Why this isn’t the “most im­por­tant cen­tury”

Arjun Khemani27 Jul 2022 15:27 UTC
2 points
2 comments5 min readEA link
(arjunkhemani.com)

Im­mor­tal­ity or death by AGI

ImmortalityOrDeathByAGI24 Sep 2023 9:44 UTC
12 points
2 comments4 min readEA link
(www.lesswrong.com)

It seems hard to avoid sci­en­tific stag­na­tion due to the bur­den of knowl­edge in the long run

TobyW1 Feb 2024 14:40 UTC
5 points
0 comments11 min readEA link
(nematobe.substack.com)

HIRING: In­form and shape a new pro­ject on AI safety at Part­ner­ship on AI

Madhulika Srikumar24 Nov 2021 16:29 UTC
11 points
2 comments2 min readEA link

A Con­flict Between Longter­mism and Ve­ganism, Pick One.

Connor Tabarrok20 Oct 2022 14:30 UTC
−15 points
13 comments5 min readEA link
(alltrades.substack.com)

CLR Sum­mer Re­search Fel­low­ship 2024

Center on Long-Term Risk15 Feb 2024 18:26 UTC
89 points
2 comments8 min readEA link

The great en­ergy de­scent—Part 2: Limits to growth and why we prob­a­bly won’t reach the stars

CB31 Aug 2022 21:51 UTC
17 points
0 comments25 min readEA link

Longter­mism and Uncertainty

Wahhab Baldwin26 Sep 2022 16:21 UTC
7 points
2 comments3 min readEA link

Longter­mism Fund: De­cem­ber 2022 Grants Report

Michael Townsend21 Dec 2022 4:14 UTC
126 points
6 comments4 min readEA link
(www.givingwhatwecan.org)

What we learned from a year in­cu­bat­ing longter­mist entrepreneurship

Rebecca Kagan30 Aug 2021 8:39 UTC
199 points
28 comments17 min readEA link

My (Lazy) Longter­mism FAQ

Devin Kalish24 Oct 2022 16:44 UTC
30 points
6 comments27 min readEA link

In­tro­duc­ing StakeOut.AI

Harry Luk17 Feb 2024 0:21 UTC
52 points
6 comments9 min readEA link

Prov­ing too much: A re­sponse to the EA forum

vadmas15 Feb 2021 19:00 UTC
24 points
7 comments1 min readEA link

Re­ward­ing pri­vate pro­vi­sion of pub­lic goods

VictorSintNicolaas24 Oct 2020 10:00 UTC
45 points
6 comments6 min readEA link

X-risk Miti­ga­tion Does Ac­tu­ally Re­quire Longter­mism

𝕮𝖎𝖓𝖊𝖗𝖆13 Nov 2022 19:40 UTC
35 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

The value of small dona­tions from a longter­mist perspective

Michael Townsend25 Feb 2022 16:42 UTC
102 points
15 comments17 min readEA link
(www.givingwhatwecan.org)

[Question] Does any­one have a list of his­tor­i­cal ex­am­ples of so­cieties seek­ing to make things bet­ter for their de­scen­dants?

freedomandutility15 Aug 2022 13:13 UTC
6 points
6 comments1 min readEA link

‘Force mul­ti­pli­ers’ for EA research

Craig Drayton18 Jun 2022 13:39 UTC
18 points
7 comments4 min readEA link

[Question] How does the col­lapse of the FTX Fu­ture Fund change the pic­ture for in­di­vi­d­ual donors?

vipulnaik1 Dec 2022 4:59 UTC
31 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

The rea­son­able­ness of spe­cial concerns

jwt29 Aug 2022 0:10 UTC
3 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

The Story of Ben­jamin Lay (video)

Jeroen Willems23 Aug 2022 15:19 UTC
22 points
0 comments3 min readEA link

Mis­sion-cor­re­lated in­vest­ing: Ex­am­ples of mis­sion hedg­ing and ‘lev­er­ag­ing’

jh11 Mar 2022 9:33 UTC
25 points
1 comment7 min readEA link

David Ed­monds: Derek Parfit, Fu­ture Selves, Para­dox, Philos­o­phy | Podcast

Ben Yeoh2 Jul 2023 13:06 UTC
11 points
0 comments2 min readEA link
(www.thendobetter.com)

Dy­lan Matthews: The case for car­ing about the year 3000

Pablo18 Dec 2019 1:07 UTC
27 points
1 comment3 min readEA link

Pro­posed tweak to the longter­mism pitch

TheOtherHannah8 Aug 2022 6:29 UTC
17 points
6 comments4 min readEA link

Un­veiling the Longter­mism Frame­work in Is­lam: Urg­ing Mus­lims to Em­brace Fu­ture-Ori­ented Values through ‘Is­lamic Longter­mism’

Zayn A15 Aug 2023 11:34 UTC
83 points
9 comments20 min readEA link

Three mis­takes in the moral math­e­mat­ics of ex­is­ten­tial risk (David Thorstad)

Global Priorities Institute4 Jul 2023 13:18 UTC
48 points
14 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

High risk, low re­ward: A challenge to the as­tro­nom­i­cal value of ex­is­ten­tial risk miti­ga­tion (David Thorstad)

Global Priorities Institute4 Jul 2023 13:23 UTC
32 points
3 comments3 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The dis­count rate effec­tively de­ter­mines whether long- or near-ter­mism is the best use of philan­thropic resources

Froolow6 Sep 2022 14:52 UTC
14 points
8 comments4 min readEA link

The Colo­nial­ism of William MacAskill’s What We Owe the Future

Vivian4 Jul 2023 15:48 UTC
−16 points
5 comments6 min readEA link

Why say ‘longter­mism’ and not just ‘ex­tinc­tion risk’?

tcelferact10 Aug 2022 23:05 UTC
5 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

The Non-Iden­tity Prob­lem ex­plained col­lo­quially

Alex Vellins27 Dec 2022 7:22 UTC
2 points
0 comments2 min readEA link

Seek­ing so­cial sci­ence stu­dents /​ col­lab­o­ra­tors in­ter­ested in AI ex­is­ten­tial risks

Vael Gates24 Sep 2021 21:56 UTC
58 points
7 comments3 min readEA link

[Question] What novel, ac­tion­able ad­vice does longter­mism offer?

Yarrow B.19 Apr 2024 5:34 UTC
8 points
10 comments1 min readEA link

Rab­bits, robots and resurrection

Patrick Wilson10 May 2022 15:00 UTC
9 points
0 comments15 min readEA link

Sum­ma­riz­ing the com­ments on William MacAskill’s NYT opinion piece on longtermism

West21 Sep 2022 17:46 UTC
106 points
11 comments2 min readEA link

Sav­ing Chick­ens, Sav­ing Humanity

Blake8 Aug 2022 16:26 UTC
12 points
0 comments1 min readEA link
(www.linkedin.com)

[Question] What are some heuris­tics for longter­mist pro­ject eval­u­a­tion?

Aman Patel7 Feb 2022 5:55 UTC
13 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

As­sump­tions about the far fu­ture and cause priority

Jc_Mourrat13 Nov 2019 20:06 UTC
45 points
30 comments1 min readEA link

A cri­tique of strong longtermism

Pablo Rosado28 Aug 2022 19:33 UTC
11 points
11 comments14 min readEA link

Let­ter to Fu­ture Gen­er­a­tions

Alimi16 Jul 2023 14:33 UTC
3 points
0 comments5 min readEA link

Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities: De­fus­ing the Ini­tial Worry and Steel­man­ning the Problem

kokotajlod10 Nov 2018 9:12 UTC
35 points
10 comments8 min readEA link

A Primer on God, Liber­al­ism and the End of History

Mahdi Complex28 Mar 2022 5:26 UTC
8 points
3 comments14 min readEA link

How the Ukraine con­flict may in­fluence spend­ing on longter­mist pro­jects

Frank_R16 Mar 2022 8:15 UTC
23 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

Paper sum­mary––Pro­tect­ing fu­ture gen­er­a­tions: A global sur­vey of le­gal academics

rileyharris5 Sep 2023 10:29 UTC
25 points
1 comment3 min readEA link
(www.legalpriorities.org)

BERI is seek­ing new trial collaborators

elizabethcooper14 Jul 2023 17:08 UTC
16 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Chris­ti­an­ity and Longter­mism Work­shop | DC May 17

JDBauman27 Feb 2024 15:10 UTC
28 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Low-key Longtermism

Jonathan Rystrom25 Jul 2022 13:39 UTC
26 points
6 comments8 min readEA link

[Question] What would a pre-mortem for the long-ter­mist pro­ject look like?

Azure11 Apr 2020 14:51 UTC
18 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

New Work­ing Paper Series of the Le­gal Pri­ori­ties Project

Legal Priorities Project18 Oct 2021 10:30 UTC
60 points
0 comments9 min readEA link

Should strong longter­mists re­ally want to min­i­mize ex­is­ten­tial risk?

tobycrisford4 Dec 2022 16:56 UTC
31 points
9 comments4 min readEA link

Hay­den Wilk­in­son: Do­ing good in an in­finite, chaotic world

EA Global18 Feb 2020 23:29 UTC
34 points
1 comment16 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Stak­ing our fu­ture: de­on­tic longter­mism and the non-iden­tity problem

Global Priorities Institute31 Aug 2019 13:38 UTC
3 points
0 comments4 min readEA link

Read­ing Group: The Good Ancestor

Sasha Berezhnoi1 Dec 2021 12:02 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Ben Grodeck: Co­op­er­at­ing with fu­ture gen­er­a­tions — an ex­per­i­men­tal investigation

EA Global21 Feb 2020 15:28 UTC
17 points
0 comments13 min readEA link
(www.youtube.com)

Democratis­ing Risk—or how EA deals with critics

CarlaZoeC28 Dec 2021 15:05 UTC
273 points
311 comments4 min readEA link

A Gen­tle In­tro­duc­tion to Long-Term Thinking

Jack Cunningham8 Dec 2021 3:21 UTC
5 points
1 comment11 min readEA link

Ex­tinc­tion risk and longter­mism: a broader cri­tique of Thorstad

Matthew Rendall21 Apr 2024 13:55 UTC
25 points
5 comments3 min readEA link

Model­ing the Hu­man Tra­jec­tory (Open Philan­thropy)

Aaron Gertler16 Jun 2020 9:27 UTC
50 points
4 comments2 min readEA link
(www.openphilanthropy.org)

Thresh­olds #1: What does good look like for longter­mism?

Spencer Ericson25 Jul 2023 19:17 UTC
45 points
36 comments8 min readEA link

Fore­sight for Govern­ments: Sin­ga­pore’s Long-ter­mist Policy Tools & Les­sons

nym14 Aug 2021 12:29 UTC
52 points
1 comment11 min readEA link

Should we dis­count fu­ture peo­ple in pro­por­tion to the prob­a­bil­ity of them not ex­ist­ing?

Joseph Lemien17 Dec 2022 14:15 UTC
8 points
3 comments2 min readEA link

In­sti­tu­tions and Longter­mism Read­ing List

Luis Mota Freitas19 Oct 2022 11:56 UTC
30 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

The value of cost-effec­tive­ness anal­y­sis (David Thorstad)

smountjoy29 Jul 2023 22:54 UTC
20 points
6 comments1 min readEA link
(ineffectivealtruismblog.com)

A Case Against Strong Longtermism

A. Wolff2 Sep 2022 16:40 UTC
9 points
4 comments39 min readEA link

Paper sum­mary: A Para­dox for Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities and Enor­mous Values (Nick Beck­stead and Teruji Thomas)

Global Priorities Institute21 Jul 2022 15:23 UTC
43 points
7 comments7 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

The Epistemic Challenge to Longtermism

Global Priorities Institute30 Apr 2020 13:38 UTC
5 points
0 comments4 min readEA link
(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

[Question] In one hour, how could one donor com­pare the benefit of one marginal USD from 1921 to pro­tect civ­i­liza­tion in 2021?

ethankennerly17 Jul 2022 1:11 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Le­gal Pri­ori­ties Re­search: A Re­search Agenda

jonasschuett6 Jan 2021 21:47 UTC
58 points
4 comments1 min readEA link

New in­fo­graphic based on “The Precipice”. any feed­back?

michael.andregg14 Jan 2021 7:29 UTC
50 points
4 comments1 min readEA link